Japanese Equity Specialist, Ortus Advisors

Andrew Jackson

Japanese Equity Specialist

Ortus Advisors

Equity Bottom-Up

Micron Technology, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets dynamic random access memory chips (DRAMs), very fast static random access memory chips (SRAMs), Flash Memory, other semiconductor components, and memory modules.

<ul>
<li>Micron management only meeting 55-60% of core customer memory demand, with the supply crunch set to last for all of 2026.</li>
<li>Trump Media and Entertainment looking to merge with nuclear fusion firm TAE technologies as the US scrambles for ways to power its rapid AI data center expansion   </li>
<li>KB Homes numbers miss as high interest rates continue to weigh on order outlook for new homes. </li>
</ul>


Micron management only meeting 55-60% of core customer memory demand, with the supply crunch set to last for all of 2026.
Trump Media and Entertainment looking to merge with nuclear fusion firm TAE technologies as the US scrambles for ways to power its rapid AI data center expansion   
KB Homes numbers miss as high interest rates continue to weigh on order outlook for new homes. 


Micron Revives the Upbeat Tone, While Trump Media Pivots to Nuclear Fusion

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

<ul>
<li>Huge beat in Nov-25 and Feb-26. The impact of price hikes (Commodity Memory), mix change (more HBM and server) driven by AI growth and low capacity increase. </li>
<li>Management is cautious on bit growth but very positive on 2026-28 outlook. HBM sold out for ‘26. Shortages continue in ’26-27. HBM market to increase ~3x by ‘28.</li>
<li>Consensus should revise up FY26 by ~60%, FY27 by ~80%. This implies that the stock trades at 7.5x FY26 EPS and 5.4x FY27. </li>
</ul>


Huge beat in Nov-25 and Feb-26. The impact of price hikes (Commodity Memory), mix change (more HBM and server) driven by AI growth and low capacity increase. 
Management is cautious on bit growth but very positive on 2026-28 outlook. HBM sold out for ‘26. Shortages continue in ’26-27. HBM market to increase ~3x by ‘28.
Consensus should revise up FY26 by ~60%, FY27 by ~80%. This implies that the stock trades at 7.5x FY26 EPS and 5.4x FY27. 


Micron: Nov-25 Beat by 30%, Feb-26 Guidance 80% Above Consensus

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

<ul>
<li>Back on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/samsung-electronics-005930-ks-1-7-t-krw-block-deal-sale-where-to-buy-the-inevitable-pullback" target="_blank" rel="noopener">October 24th we forecasted</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a>'s pullback. Samsung pulled back 1 week after, ended in the support BUY zone we predicted and rallied higher from there.</li>
<li>Now, fast-forward to December 8th, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/samsung-electronics-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:191:1" rel="noopener">Samsung Electronics (005930 KS)</a> is getting very close to the previous top at 112,400. Our model says the stock is overbought. </li>
<li>Double top? Not necessarily, but in the short-term the stock is about to pullback again. Our analysis tries to identify when the pullback can happen and where to enter LONG.
</li>
</ul>


Back on October 24th we forecastedSamsung Electronics (005930 KS)'s pullback. Samsung pulled back 1 week after, ended in the support BUY zone we predicted and rallied higher from there.
Now, fast-forward to December 8th, Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) is getting very close to the previous top at 112,400. Our model says the stock is overbought. 
Double top? Not necessarily, but in the short-term the stock is about to pullback again. Our analysis tries to identify when the pullback can happen and where to enter LONG.



Samsung Electronics (005930 KS) Tactical Outlook: The Stock Is OVERBOUGHT

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. operates as a semiconductor contract manufacturing and design company. The Company offers chips designed for markets such as mobility, automotive, computing and wired connectivity, and consumer internet of things (IoT). GLOBALFOUNDRIES serves customers worldwide.

<ul><li>GlobalFoundries Inc. recently reported its third-quarter financial results for fiscal 2025, showcasing a mixed performance across diverse segments and underscoring specific strategic directions aimed at driving long-term growth.</li><li>The company's revenue for the quarter stood at $1.688 billion, marking a slight 3% decrease year-over-year, though it aligned with the high end of the anticipated guidance.</li><li>Gross margins saw expansion both sequentially and year-over-year, landing at approximately 26% due to shifts toward higher-margin product mixes and increased revenue from non-wafer technology services.</li></ul>

GlobalFoundries Inc. recently reported its third-quarter financial results for fiscal 2025, showcasing a mixed performance across diverse segments and underscoring specific strategic directions aimed at driving long-term growth.The company's revenue for the quarter stood at $1.688 billion, marking a slight 3% decrease year-over-year, though it aligned with the high end of the anticipated guidance.Gross margins saw expansion both sequentially and year-over-year, landing at approximately 26% due to shifts toward higher-margin product mixes and increased revenue from non-wafer technology services.

GlobalFoundries: Leveraging Differentiated Technologies Across Autos, Mobile, & Power!

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Derivatives

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Ltd. manufactures and markets integrated circuits. The Company provides the following services: wafer manufacturing, wafer probing, assembly and testing, mask production, and design services. TSMC's ICs are used in computer, communication, consumer electronics, automotive, and industrial equipment industries.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>A tactical snapshot of the Asian and US indices and stocks we cover.</li>
<li>Many Asian and US stocks are getting overbought. Wednesday's Fed meeting is a potential volatility trigger, consider hedging or short exposure.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-motor-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:73:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Motor (7203 JP)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amazon-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:409:1" rel="noopener">Amazon (AMZN US)</a> are the only stocks a bit oversold, possibly worth considering for LONG trades, at the moment.</li>
</ul>


A tactical snapshot of the Asian and US indices and stocks we cover.
Many Asian and US stocks are getting overbought. Wednesday's Fed meeting is a potential volatility trigger, consider hedging or short exposure.

China Mobile (941 HK), Toyota Motor (7203 JP) , Amazon (AMZN US) are the only stocks a bit oversold, possibly worth considering for LONG trades, at the moment.


Asian and US Stocks Tactical Outlook Before Fed Meeting

Insights on Companies in the AMD Supply Chain