Asia Economist and CEO, Centennial Asia Advisors

Manu Bhaskaran

Asia Economist and CEO

Centennial Asia Advisors

At Centennial Asia Advisors, we tell it like it is. We have no vested interests, no need for a China wall, and no reason to skew our outlook any other way. With over 30 years experience covering Asia’s political economy, you can be sure our conclusions and analyses are based on the unadulterated facts. Through years of fine-tuning our research methodologies, we deliver a quality of macroeconomic analysis few other houses can match.

Centennial Asia Advisors is an independent research and advisory firm that works with governments, multilateral institutions, financial firms and leading MNCs.

Economic Policy and Strategic Advisors

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Singapore’s stunning economic performance this year, led by strong exports and resilient domestic consumption, masks concerns over the impact of AI, tariffs and other challenges. </li>
<li>Government efforts to hedge industrial bets and trade relations, as well as enhance indigenous capacity by reallocating resources, provide some buffer against these issues. </li>
<li>Yet, the volatility of flows that comes with being a hub and the instability of the South China Sea are deeply intertwined with Singapore’s economic model. </li>
</ul>


Singapore’s stunning economic performance this year, led by strong exports and resilient domestic consumption, masks concerns over the impact of AI, tariffs and other challenges. 
Government efforts to hedge industrial bets and trade relations, as well as enhance indigenous capacity by reallocating resources, provide some buffer against these issues. 
Yet, the volatility of flows that comes with being a hub and the instability of the South China Sea are deeply intertwined with Singapore’s economic model. 


Singapore Economics: Strategic Responses to a Changing Global Order

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

Zoomlion Heavy Industry H / Equity Bottom-Up

Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co., Ltd.manufactures and markets construction machinery.  The Company's products include concrete machinery, cranes, road machinery, drilling equipment, and other heavy construction equipment.  Zoomlion also produces environmental machinery and satellite navigation products.

<ul><li>We have received positive feedback on Zoomlion following the publication of our 2026 capital goods sector outlook (link) and investor call this week.</li><li>Based on our understanding, domestic demand for crane and concrete machinery continued to see meaningful recovery in Nov, while earth-moving’s growth remained solid.</li><li>We estimate Zoomlion’s domestic machinery sales growth in Oct-Nov to be 20-30% YoY, accelerating from 13% YoY in 3Q25.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We have received positive feedback on Zoomlion following the publication of our 2026 capital goods sector outlook (link) and investor call this week.Based on our understanding, domestic demand for crane and concrete machinery continued to see meaningful recovery in Nov, while earth-moving’s growth remained solid.We estimate Zoomlion’s domestic machinery sales growth in Oct-Nov to be 20-30% YoY, accelerating from 13% YoY in 3Q25.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Zoomlion (1157 HK/000157 CH) - Expect Accelerated Sales Growth in Nov

<ul><li>Taiwan insurer is emerging market subset, coming to the offshore USD bond market since Sep’24 with new issue premium ahead of the full adoption of IFRS.</li><li>Despite the tightened credit spread compared with the levels when we first put out our trade ideas in Jul’25, we continue to prefer SHIKON 6.95 06/26/35 for over NSINTWs for 20bps yield pick-up.</li><li>We also continue to prefer FUBON 5.45 12/10/35 with a yield pick-up of 10bps.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Taiwan insurer is emerging market subset, coming to the offshore USD bond market since Sep’24 with new issue premium ahead of the full adoption of IFRS.Despite the tightened credit spread compared with the levels when we first put out our trade ideas in Jul’25, we continue to prefer SHIKON 6.95 06/26/35 for over NSINTWs for 20bps yield pick-up.We also continue to prefer FUBON 5.45 12/10/35 with a yield pick-up of 10bps.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CMBI Fixed Income - Taiwan Lifers: An emerging subset with new premium

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

HealthCare Global Enterprises / Equity Bottom-Up

HealthCare Global Enterprises Limited provides medical and surgical hospital services. The Hospital offers cancer care, chemotherapy, cyberknife surgery, surgical, radiation, and medical oncology services. HealthCare Global Enterprises operates worldwide.

<ul><li>HCG’s management hosted an investor and analyst interaction where the new CEO, Mr. Manish Mattoo (a practicing anaesthesiologist and MBA in Finance), outlined a clear four-pillar strategy centered on clinical outcomes, profitable growth, capital efficiency, and patient experience.</li><li>There will be a shift in the reporting framework from the “mature vs. new” category to regional clusters and oncology-appropriate KPIs such as ARPP and patient volumes.</li><li>The medium-term aspiration is to grow ahead of the industry, improve EBITDA margins beyond the historical CAGR, and uplift company-level ROCE to 20% as more centres mature.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

HCG’s management hosted an investor and analyst interaction where the new CEO, Mr. Manish Mattoo (a practicing anaesthesiologist and MBA in Finance), outlined a clear four-pillar strategy centered on clinical outcomes, profitable growth, capital efficiency, and patient experience.There will be a shift in the reporting framework from the “mature vs. new” category to regional clusters and oncology-appropriate KPIs such as ARPP and patient volumes.The medium-term aspiration is to grow ahead of the industry, improve EBITDA margins beyond the historical CAGR, and uplift company-level ROCE to 20% as more centres mature.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Healthcare Global Enterprises Ltd - 5 Th December, 2025

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Bell Potter Securities

Bell Potter

Bell Potter Securities

Bell Potter Securities is a leading Australian stockbroking, investment and financial advisory firm that provides a comprehensive offering of financial services to individuals, institutions and corporations. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Imdex Ltd operates as a mining equipment, technology, and services company. The Company provides drilling fluids and down hole instrumentation to mining, oil and gas, water well, and civil engineering industries worldwide.

<ul><li>IMD has entered into binding agreements to acquire 100% of Advanced Logic Technology S.A. (ALT) and its subsidiary Mount Sopris Instruments Inc. (MSI), global leaders in borehole geophysical imaging solutions, imaging probes and accompanying visualisation and data processing software.</li><li>These acquisitions are expected to expand IMD’s TAM in the mining, infrastructure, environmental and energy sectors.</li><li>The ALT and MSI acquisitions will complement IMD’s existing rock property sensor offering and digital earth knowledge capabilities; under the EarthNet platform IMD seeks to create a unified, open platform for earth systems data analytics, supporting smarter and faster decision making for clients.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

IMD has entered into binding agreements to acquire 100% of Advanced Logic Technology S.A. (ALT) and its subsidiary Mount Sopris Instruments Inc. (MSI), global leaders in borehole geophysical imaging solutions, imaging probes and accompanying visualisation and data processing software.These acquisitions are expected to expand IMD’s TAM in the mining, infrastructure, environmental and energy sectors.The ALT and MSI acquisitions will complement IMD’s existing rock property sensor offering and digital earth knowledge capabilities; under the EarthNet platform IMD seeks to create a unified, open platform for earth systems data analytics, supporting smarter and faster decision making for clients.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Asia (APAC)
Insights on Asia Pacific (APAC)

Singapore Economics: Strategic Responses to a Changing Global Order

Singapore's strong economic performance is overshadowed by concerns over AI, tariffs, and other challenges, but government efforts provide some...

Manu Bhaskaran

Zoomlion (1157 HK/000157 CH) - Expect Accelerated Sales Growth in Nov

We have received positive feedback on Zoomlion following the publication of our 2026 capital goods sector outlook (link) and investor call this week.

CMB International

CMBI Fixed Income - Taiwan Lifers: An emerging subset with new premium

Taiwan insurer is emerging market subset, coming to the offshore USD bond market since Sep’24 with new issue premium ahead of the full adoption of...

CMB International

Healthcare Global Enterprises Ltd - 5 Th December, 2025

There will be a shift in the reporting framework from the “mature vs. new” category to regional clusters and oncology-appropriate KPIs such as ARPP...

Axis Direct

Imdex (IMD): Reading the Strata

IMD has entered into binding agreements to acquire 100% of Advanced Logic Technology S.A. (ALT) and its subsidiary Mount Sopris Instruments Inc. (MSI)

Bell Potter

Singapore Economics: Strategic Responses to a Changing Global Order

​Singapore's strong economic performance is overshadowed by concerns over AI, tariffs, and other challenges, but government efforts provide some...

Manu Bhaskaran

Zoomlion (1157 HK/000157 CH) - Expect Accelerated Sales Growth in Nov

We have received positive feedback on Zoomlion following the publication of our 2026 capital goods sector outlook (link) and investor call this week.

CMB International

CMBI Fixed Income - Taiwan Lifers: An emerging subset with new premium

Taiwan insurer is emerging market subset, coming to the offshore USD bond market since Sep’24 with new issue premium ahead of the full adoption of...

CMB International

Healthcare Global Enterprises Ltd - 5 Th December, 2025

There will be a shift in the reporting framework from the “mature vs. new” category to regional clusters and oncology-appropriate KPIs such as ARPP...

Axis Direct

Imdex (IMD): Reading the Strata

IMD has entered into binding agreements to acquire 100% of Advanced Logic Technology S.A. (ALT) and its subsidiary Mount Sopris Instruments Inc. (MSI)

Bell Potter

Singapore's strong economic performance is overshadowed by concerns over AI, tariffs, and other challenges, but government efforts provide some...