Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Bottom-Up

Yancoal Australia Ltd. provides mining services. The Company mines, sells, exports, and markets clean and coking coal. Yancoal operates internationally.

<ul>
<li>
Context: The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yancoal-australia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4145:1" rel="noopener">Yancoal Australia (YAL AU)</a> vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/woodside-energy-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13190:1" rel="noopener">Woodside Energy (WDS AU)</a> price ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Going long Yancoal Australia (YAL AU) and short Woodside Energy (WDS AU) targets a 6% return.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.</li>
</ul>



Context: The Yancoal Australia (YAL AU) vs. Woodside Energy (WDS AU) price ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.

Highlights: Going long Yancoal Australia (YAL AU) and short Woodside Energy (WDS AU) targets a 6% return.

Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.


Long Yancoal (YAL AU) Vs. Short Woodside (WDS AU): Proven Pair Trade Back in Play, Targeting 6%

Woodside Energy Group Ltd / Equity Bottom-Up

Woodside Energy Group Ltd offers services to the underground coal mining industry, and builds oil, natural gas, and water pipelines.

<ul>
<li>
Context: The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/woodside-energy-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13190:1" rel="noopener">Woodside Energy Group (WDS AU)</a> vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ampol-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:345:1" rel="noopener">Ampol (ALD AU)</a> price ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Going long Woodside Energy Group (WDS AU) and short Ampol (ALD AU) targets a 8% return.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.</li>
</ul>



Context: The Woodside Energy Group (WDS AU) vs. Ampol (ALD AU) price ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.

Highlights: Going long Woodside Energy Group (WDS AU) and short Ampol (ALD AU) targets a 8% return.

Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.


Long Woodside (WDS AU) Vs. Short Ampol (ALD AU): Repeat Pair Trade Opens with 8% Target Return

ARB Corporation Ltd. distributes and sells motor vehicles accessories and light metal engineering works for four wheel drive vehicles.  ARB produces bull bars, rear step tow bars, turbochargers, winches and related recovery equipment. ARB's main export product is the 'Air Locker', a lockable 4-wheel drive pneumatic differential system.

<ul>
<li>
Context: The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/arb-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19228:1" rel="noopener">ARB Corp (ARB AU)</a> vs. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/amotiv-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19883:1" rel="noopener">Amotiv (AOV AU)</a> price ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.</li>
<li>
Highlights: Going long ARB Corp (ARB AU) and short Amotiv (AOV AU) targets a 6% return.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.</li>
</ul>



Context: The ARB Corp (ARB AU) vs. Amotiv (AOV AU) price ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.

Highlights: Going long ARB Corp (ARB AU) and short Amotiv (AOV AU) targets a 6% return.

Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.


Long ARB Corp (ARB AU) Vs. Short Amotiv (AOV AU): Statistical Arbitrage Targeting a 6% Return

ICICI Bank Limited operates as a bank. The Bank offers saving accounts, loans, debit, credit cards, insurance, investments, mortgages, and online banking services. ICICI Bank serves customers worldwide.

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
Opportunity: Currently eight pair trade opportunities across four markets and five sectors persist.</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

Opportunity: Currently eight pair trade opportunities across four markets and five sectors persist.

Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (15 Dec)

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We remain BULLISH on gold for the long term; however, price corrections will depend on shorter-term trends in geopolitical factors, central bank buying, and buyer exhaustion. </li>
<li>The strong support for the price of gold comes from rapidly declining real rates and global currency debasement.  These underlying trends coupled with safe haven demand drive the recent surge.</li>
<li>ETFs have become the largest source of demand for gold in 2025 at over 50%.  Gold held by central banks is increasing as dollar FX reserves have declined since 2020.</li>
</ul>


We remain BULLISH on gold for the long term; however, price corrections will depend on shorter-term trends in geopolitical factors, central bank buying, and buyer exhaustion. 
The strong support for the price of gold comes from rapidly declining real rates and global currency debasement.  These underlying trends coupled with safe haven demand drive the recent surge.
ETFs have become the largest source of demand for gold in 2025 at over 50%.  Gold held by central banks is increasing as dollar FX reserves have declined since 2020.


Sector/market-neutral pairs and long/short trades

Pair Trades and Long/Short Ideas
Sector/market-neutral pairs and long/short trades

Long Yancoal (YAL AU) Vs. Short Woodside (WDS AU): Proven Pair Trade Back in Play, Targeting 6%

Potential statistical arbitrage opportunity with a 6% return by going long YAL AU and short WDS AU. Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean...

Gaudenz Schneider

Long Woodside (WDS AU) Vs. Short Ampol (ALD AU): Repeat Pair Trade Opens with 8% Target Return

Woodside Energy Group vs. Ampol price ratio signals a ~8% relative value trade to the one-standard-deviation line, ideal for quant traders...

Gaudenz Schneider

Long ARB Corp (ARB AU) Vs. Short Amotiv (AOV AU): Statistical Arbitrage Targeting a 6% Return

Pair Trade opportunity for a 6% return by going long ARB Corp and short Amotiv due to price ratio deviation, essential for quantitative traders...

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (15 Dec)

Discover statistical pair trade opportunities based on mean-reversion analysis in various markets and sectors, offering unique insights for...

Gaudenz Schneider

Gold: DON'T MELT YOUR JEWELRY YET!

Gold is reacting to the Fed's decision to ease monetary policy substantially with a renewed QE program. The sizeable $40B monthly purchases...

David Mudd

Long Yancoal (YAL AU) Vs. Short Woodside (WDS AU): Proven Pair Trade Back in Play, Targeting 6%

Potential statistical arbitrage opportunity with a 6% return by going long YAL AU and short WDS AU. Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean...

Gaudenz Schneider

Long Woodside (WDS AU) Vs. Short Ampol (ALD AU): Repeat Pair Trade Opens with 8% Target Return

​Woodside Energy Group vs. Ampol price ratio signals a ~8% relative value trade to the one-standard-deviation line, ideal for quant traders...

Gaudenz Schneider

Long ARB Corp (ARB AU) Vs. Short Amotiv (AOV AU): Statistical Arbitrage Targeting a 6% Return

​Pair Trade opportunity for a 6% return by going long ARB Corp and short Amotiv due to price ratio deviation, essential for quantitative traders...

Gaudenz Schneider

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (15 Dec)

​Discover statistical pair trade opportunities based on mean-reversion analysis in various markets and sectors, offering unique insights for...

Gaudenz Schneider

Gold: DON'T MELT YOUR JEWELRY YET!

Gold is reacting to the Fed's decision to ease monetary policy substantially with a renewed QE program. The sizeable $40B monthly purchases...

David Mudd

Woodside Energy Group vs. Ampol price ratio signals a ~8% relative value trade to the one-standard-deviation line, ideal for quant traders...

Pair Trade opportunity for a 6% return by going long ARB Corp and short Amotiv due to price ratio deviation, essential for quantitative traders...

Discover statistical pair trade opportunities based on mean-reversion analysis in various markets and sectors, offering unique insights for...