European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Index Rebalance

Ferrovial SE is a global operator of sustainable infrastructure. The Company specializes in construction, promotion, investment, and operation of toll roads, airports, electrical transmission networks, water treatment plants, and other infrastructures. Ferrovial serves customers worldwide.

<ul>
<li>Ferrovial sits in a strong position for Nasdaq-100 second-round inclusion, with several incumbents likely to drop below rank 125.</li>
<li>Inclusion could trigger ~$315M passive inflows and broaden U.S. investor ownership.</li>
<li>Fundamentals already reflect a U.S.-centric infra operator, supported by JFK NTO and toll-road ramp-ups through 2027.</li>
</ul>


Ferrovial sits in a strong position for Nasdaq-100 second-round inclusion, with several incumbents likely to drop below rank 125.
Inclusion could trigger ~$315M passive inflows and broaden U.S. investor ownership.
Fundamentals already reflect a U.S.-centric infra operator, supported by JFK NTO and toll-road ramp-ups through 2027.


Positioned for the Upgrade: Ferrovial’s Path Into the Nasdaq-100

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business, Auctus Advisors

Auctus Advisors

Equity Capital Markets and Advisory Business

Auctus Advisors is a specialist Equity Capital Markets and Advisory business with a focus in the Energy Sector. The partners have complementary skill sets, with decades of experience across Equity Capital Markets, Investment Banking and the Energy industry. We have worked at Société Générale, Canaccord Capital, BMO Capital Markets and Schlumberger. Most recently we have worked together for many years at GMP FirstEnergy. Auctus has been set up at the beginning of a new decade in which we see significant opportunities in the Energy space. Globally, demand for energy is at record levels and continues to grow. Conversely, investment in traditional energy sources has been severely constrained. We believe this imbalance creates opportunities for both companies and investors. Auctus provides Corporate Broking, Equity Research and Investment Banking services.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.20 per share: Resource estimates boost in Sicily – ADX has increased its aggregated prospective gas resource estimates for its Sicily Channel permit from 103–369–772 bcf to 188–484–1,265 bcf (P90–P50–P10 cases).</li><li>The new mean prospective resource of 619 bcf reflects the increased upside potential for the permit.</li><li>Individual prospect sizes range between 37–111 bcf (P50 case), with four prospects each estimated at 60–68 bcf (P50).</li></ul>

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.20 per share: Resource estimates boost in Sicily – ADX has increased its aggregated prospective gas resource estimates for its Sicily Channel permit from 103–369–772 bcf to 188–484–1,265 bcf (P90–P50–P10 cases).The new mean prospective resource of 619 bcf reflects the increased upside potential for the permit.Individual prospect sizes range between 37–111 bcf (P50 case), with four prospects each estimated at 60–68 bcf (P50).

Fundamental Analyses, Contrarian Cashflows

Contrarian Cashflows

Fundamental Analyses

The purpose of Contrarian Cashflows is to document my investment research and share it with everyone who is interested in value investing. My long term aspiration for Contrarian Cashflows is to become a platform for professional investors and serious amateurs where they can get inspiration and discuss investing-related topics.
I plan to publish one company deep dive per month that is guided by my investment approach. All information I use for my write-ups is publicly available and most of the time directly sourced from public filings issued by the respective companies. To guarantee maximum transparency, for every post I provide a list of all used sources in the resources section.
Contrarian Cashflows is built around the principles of respect, honesty, open-mindedness and a touch of humour. Please consider these principles in any engagement interaction with me, other readers and the content on this blog. Misbehaviour is not tolerated.
If you want to reach out to me directly, the best way is via LinkedIn, Twitter or email. You can find the details at my homepage contrariancashflows.com

<ul><li>A lot of ink has been spilled on the pros and cons of investing in “private” assets.</li><li>With the recent introduction of private equity investments for retail investors in my home country of Germany, I’ve been repeatedly approached by friends and family about my opinion on these products.</li><li>In Germany, two neo-brokers, LIQID and Trade Republic, recently introduced private equity (PE) investments for retail investors starting from as little as €1 per trade (in the case of Trade Republic), while marketing returns between 12% and 14% annually with low volatility.</li></ul>

A lot of ink has been spilled on the pros and cons of investing in “private” assets.With the recent introduction of private equity investments for retail investors in my home country of Germany, I’ve been repeatedly approached by friends and family about my opinion on these products.In Germany, two neo-brokers, LIQID and Trade Republic, recently introduced private equity (PE) investments for retail investors starting from as little as €1 per trade (in the case of Trade Republic), while marketing returns between 12% and 14% annually with low volatility.

RW-11-25: Should I Invest in Private Equity?

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day, Money of Mine

Money of Mine

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day

An ex-underground miner, an ex-investment banker, and an ex-equity research guy breaking down the mining news of the day. It's a bit of entertainment, information, and occasionally some alpha.

Commodities

Gold is a chemical element with the symbol Au (from Latin: aurum) and the atomic number 79. In its purest form, it is a bright, slightly reddish yellow, dense, soft, malleable and ductile metal. Chemically, gold is a transition metal and a group 11 element. It is one of the least reactive chemical elements, and is solid under standard conditions. The metal therefore occurs often in free elemental (native) form, as nuggets or grains, in rocks, in veins and in alluvial deposits. It occurs in a solid solution series with the native element silver (as electrum) and also naturally alloyed with copper and palladium. Less commonly, it occurs in minerals as gold compounds, often with tellurium (gold tellurides).

<ul><li>Central banks have been buying gold since after the GFC to diversify from US Dollars, underpinning the market with tightness</li><li>Gold bull markets have been influenced by periods of conflict and economic stability, with central banks playing a significant role in influencing the price</li><li>The second gold bull market starting around 2000 saw the gold industry aggressively buying back their hedges, pushing the price up alongside central bank buying and market forces</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Central banks have been buying gold since after the GFC to diversify from US Dollars, underpinning the market with tightnessGold bull markets have been influenced by periods of conflict and economic stability, with central banks playing a significant role in influencing the priceThe second gold bull market starting around 2000 saw the gold industry aggressively buying back their hedges, pushing the price up alongside central bank buying and market forcesThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Why The Mining Boom is Just Beginning (Hedley Widdup)

Podcast of business and financial stories, Behind the Money

Behind the Money

Podcast of business and financial stories

From hostile takeovers to C-suite intrigue, Behind the Money takes you inside the business and financial stories of the moment with reporting from Financial Times journalists around the world.

Equity Bottom-Up

Southwest Airlines Co. is a domestic airline that provides primarily short-haul, high-frequency, point-to-point service.  The Company offers flights throughout the United States.

<ul><li>Southwest Airlines was founded in 1966 by Herb Kelleher and Rollin King in San Antonio, Texas based on the idea of creating a triangle route between Dallas, San Antonio, and Houston.</li><li>Southwest Airlines was able to avoid federal regulation by operating solely within the state of Texas and establishing a profitable business model with consistent profitability.</li><li>Southwest Airlines revolutionized the airline industry by offering affordable and convenient flights within Texas, challenging the traditional business model of major airlines and achieving long-term success.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Southwest Airlines was founded in 1966 by Herb Kelleher and Rollin King in San Antonio, Texas based on the idea of creating a triangle route between Dallas, San Antonio, and Houston.Southwest Airlines was able to avoid federal regulation by operating solely within the state of Texas and establishing a profitable business model with consistent profitability.Southwest Airlines revolutionized the airline industry by offering affordable and convenient flights within Texas, challenging the traditional business model of major airlines and achieving long-term success.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Business History: The Secret of Southwest’s Success

United States
Insights on the United States (USA)

Positioned for the Upgrade: Ferrovial’s Path Into the Nasdaq-100

Ferrovial is a credible Nasdaq-100 entrant with ~$315M passive inflow potential. U.S. assets, liquidity and growth drivers support ongoing re...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 05/12/2025

AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; Target price of A$0.20 per share: Resource estimates boost in...

Auctus Advisors

RW-11-25: Should I Invest in Private Equity?

A lot of ink has been spilled on the pros and cons of investing in “private” assets. With the recent introduction of private equity investments...

Contrarian Cashflows

Why The Mining Boom is Just Beginning (Hedley Widdup)

Central banks purchasing gold as a diversification strategy has historically influenced gold prices and tightens the market, contributing to the...

Money of Mine

Business History: The Secret of Southwest’s Success

Southwest Airlines was founded in 1966 with a simple triangle drawn on a cocktail napkin, focusing on low-cost flights within Texas to avoid...

Behind the Money