Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day, Money of Mine

Money of Mine

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day

An ex-underground miner, an ex-investment banker, and an ex-equity research guy breaking down the mining news of the day. It's a bit of entertainment, information, and occasionally some alpha.

Event-Driven

<ul><li>Rio Tinto sold 30% of its Winu project to Sumitomo for $400 million, surprising many with the valuation</li><li>Expecting a PFS in 2025 for a 10 million tonne per annum scenario for the Winu project</li><li>The partnership with Sumitomo signifies the rise of Japan and South Korea in the mining industry and may benefit Rio Tinto in terms of capital allocation and project development.</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

Rio Tinto sold 30% of its Winu project to Sumitomo for $400 million, surprising many with the valuationExpecting a PFS in 2025 for a 10 million tonne per annum scenario for the Winu projectThe partnership with Sumitomo signifies the rise of Japan and South Korea in the mining industry and may benefit Rio Tinto in terms of capital allocation and project development.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The BHP-China dispute seeks to revert to pre-2010 contractual norms, but we believe <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU)</a>  has the advantage, given its market position and strategic leverage.</li>
<li>Investigations into the<a href="https://www.mining.com/fatal-accident-forces-winning-to-halt-iron-ore-mine-at-simandou/" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> accident at Simandou</a> are underway, and the mine remains shut with no progress on construction until the issue is resolved. </li>
<li>We like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fenix-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7405:1" rel="noopener">Fenix Resources (FEX AU)</a> and are bullish on the name. Read our recent update, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/fenix-resources-fex-au-exciting-value-adding-catalyst-can-triple-production-again" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:200341" rel="noopener">Fenix Resources (FEX AU): Exciting Value-Adding Catalyst Can Triple Production Again</a>. </li>
</ul>


The BHP-China dispute seeks to revert to pre-2010 contractual norms, but we believe BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU)  has the advantage, given its market position and strategic leverage.
Investigations into the accident at Simandou are underway, and the mine remains shut with no progress on construction until the issue is resolved. 
We like Fenix Resources (FEX AU) and are bullish on the name. Read our recent update, Fenix Resources (FEX AU): Exciting Value-Adding Catalyst Can Triple Production Again. 


On The BHP-China Impasse: Iron Ore Will Continue To Be Over 100 USD/Ton

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fenix-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7405:1" rel="noopener">Fenix Resources (FEX AU)</a> commenced operations of its third mine, the Beebyn-W11, with the shipment of 60k tons from the port of Geraldton.</li>
<li>Beebyn-W11, Fenix’s third operating mine in the Midwest, is now operating at the planned FY26 production rate of 1.5 million tonnes per annum (Mtpa).</li>
<li>As a result, Fenix is now mining, hauling, loading and shipping at a combined run rate of more than 4Mtpa from the Company’s three mines. </li>
</ul>



Fenix Resources (FEX AU) commenced operations of its third mine, the Beebyn-W11, with the shipment of 60k tons from the port of Geraldton.
Beebyn-W11, Fenix’s third operating mine in the Midwest, is now operating at the planned FY26 production rate of 1.5 million tonnes per annum (Mtpa).
As a result, Fenix is now mining, hauling, loading and shipping at a combined run rate of more than 4Mtpa from the Company’s three mines. 


Fenix Resources Tripling of Production Achieved, 1.2x Price/OCF

<ul>
<li>Jan-Mar 2025 shipments for Australian miners <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rio-tinto-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13:1" rel="noopener">RIO AU</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP AU</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fortescue-metals-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:41:1" rel="noopener">FMG AU</a>  were sluggish, registering -9.3%,-4.3%, and 0.4% YoY, respectively, due to inclement weather.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vale-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23731:1" rel="noopener">Vale (VALE US)</a> shipments were comparatively better, up 3.6% YoY to 66.1 mn tons. The big four kept their annual production guidance intact. </li>
<li>Positive news came from Vales China clients, as blast furnace utilization passed 90%, and some mills are now making cash profits of 200 RMB/ton. </li>
</ul>


Jan-Mar 2025 shipments for Australian miners RIO AU, BHP AU, and FMG AU  were sluggish, registering -9.3%,-4.3%, and 0.4% YoY, respectively, due to inclement weather.

Vale (VALE US) shipments were comparatively better, up 3.6% YoY to 66.1 mn tons. The big four kept their annual production guidance intact. 
Positive news came from Vales China clients, as blast furnace utilization passed 90%, and some mills are now making cash profits of 200 RMB/ton. 


Gleanings From The Q1 CY25 Shipments Conference Calls Of Vale, Rio, BHP, and FMG

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

<ul>
<li>Low-Cost producer of copper and zinc with two of the biggest  ten mines in the world.</li>
<li>Recent mine acquisition and increased production at existing mines will grow earnings.</li>
<li>The supply and demand imbalance in copper will lead to higher prices.</li>
</ul>


Low-Cost producer of copper and zinc with two of the biggest  ten mines in the world.
Recent mine acquisition and increased production at existing mines will grow earnings.
The supply and demand imbalance in copper will lead to higher prices.


Mmg Limited 1208.HK - It's Got It All - Copper, EV's, and AI!

Australia

Rio Tinto Limited is an international mining company.  The Company has interests in mining for aluminum, borax, coal, copper, gold, iron ore, lead, silver, tin, uranium, zinc, titanium dioxide feedstock, diamonds, talc and zircon. Dually-listed company with RIO LN.

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Rio Tinto Ltd (RIO AU)

Rio lights up the junior copper market

Rio Tinto sells 30% stake in WINU project to Sumitomo for US$400 million, with analysts questioning the project's valuation and potential strategic...

Money of Mine

On The BHP-China Impasse: Iron Ore Will Continue To Be Over 100 USD/Ton

BHP supplies 13% of China’s 1.24B tons of iron ore imports; Australia 60%. China accounts for 70% of seaborne imports. The recent ban likely...

Sameer Taneja

Fenix Resources Tripling of Production Achieved, 1.2x Price/OCF

Fenix Resources (FEX AU) has achieved a significant milestone in increasing its production to 4 million tons. At a steady production price...

Sameer Taneja

Gleanings From The Q1 CY25 Shipments Conference Calls Of Vale, Rio, BHP, and FMG

We update the operational/shipment performance of the iron ore majors and outline the importance of tracking their numbers.

Sameer Taneja

Mmg Limited 1208.HK - It's Got It All - Copper, EV's, and AI!

Copper at 5-yr highs. Drivers: a) Tariff fear (25% on aluminium/steel) causing copper to be diverted to the US b) The inventory of copper in China...

Rikki Malik

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