Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Equity Bottom-Up

CSSC (Hong Kong) Shipping / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong and China shares have outperformed most Asian markets over the last year.  In HK the consumer discretionary sector has lost strength and momentum over the last 4 weeks.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cssc-hong-kong-shipping-co-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28068:1" rel="noopener">CSSC (Hong Kong) Shipping Co Ltd (3877 HK)</a> was rated BUY after reporting strong results.  Analysts have a target price of $2.50 on the stock.
</li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bosideng-international-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6537:1" rel="noopener">Bosideng International Holdings (3998 HK)</a> has shown earnings growth exceeding revenue growth for the last seven years. Technically, the stock looks weak near term, but analysts project 60% upside.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong and China shares have outperformed most Asian markets over the last year.  In HK the consumer discretionary sector has lost strength and momentum over the last 4 weeks.

CSSC (Hong Kong) Shipping Co Ltd (3877 HK) was rated BUY after reporting strong results.  Analysts have a target price of $2.50 on the stock.

Bosideng International Holdings (3998 HK) has shown earnings growth exceeding revenue growth for the last seven years. Technically, the stock looks weak near term, but analysts project 60% upside.


BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Update (January 10)

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-dongxiang-group-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1068:1" rel="noopener">China Dongxiang (3818 HK)</a> turned around in 1H FY25 as it reported a net profit of Rmb137m, vs. losses of Rmb410m a year ago. Interim DPS increased 92.7% YoY.</li>
<li>Investment gain is the key driver, reaching Rmb171m in the period, compared with losses of Rmb497m previously. Most investment categories contributed positively. </li>
<li>CDNX trades on a 76.9% discount to its SOTP value and a P/B of just 0.22x. Net cash amounted to Rmb3.2bn, or 58.3% more than its market capitalisation. </li>
</ul>



China Dongxiang (3818 HK) turned around in 1H FY25 as it reported a net profit of Rmb137m, vs. losses of Rmb410m a year ago. Interim DPS increased 92.7% YoY.
Investment gain is the key driver, reaching Rmb171m in the period, compared with losses of Rmb497m previously. Most investment categories contributed positively. 
CDNX trades on a 76.9% discount to its SOTP value and a P/B of just 0.22x. Net cash amounted to Rmb3.2bn, or 58.3% more than its market capitalisation. 


China Dongxiang (3818 HK): Investment Gain Remains the Driver

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong is showing strong market momentum as consumer staples, consumer discretionary, healthcare and tech surge on increased momentum.</li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xtep-international-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18118:1" rel="noopener">Xtep International (1368 HK)</a> had a good 1H24 and benefited from better consumer sentiment. Analysts are upgrading <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tongcheng-travel-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27363:1" rel="noopener">Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK) on an improved outlook.</a></li>
<li>Goldman Sachs upgraded their rating on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bilibili-inc-83a27302-cd7d-4e6a-a1de-bcf93eb022c3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32215:1" rel="noopener">Bilibili (9626 HK)</a> , <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bilibili-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26793:1" rel="noopener">Bilibili (BILI US)</a> to a BUY with improving user MAU/DAU measures and the success of its newly launched game.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong is showing strong market momentum as consumer staples, consumer discretionary, healthcare and tech surge on increased momentum.
Xtep International (1368 HK) had a good 1H24 and benefited from better consumer sentiment. Analysts are upgrading Tongcheng Travel Holdings (780 HK) on an improved outlook.
Goldman Sachs upgraded their rating on Bilibili (9626 HK) , Bilibili (BILI US) to a BUY with improving user MAU/DAU measures and the success of its newly launched game.


BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (September 28)

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>In August, Tesla’s shipments grew by 3% YoY, while top domestic producers’ shipments grew over 30% YoY.</li>
<li>The revenues of two domestic sneaker makers, 361 Degree and Anta, increased by 19% YoY and 14% YoY in 1H24.</li>
<li>In 2Q24, NIO’s deliveries and revenue increased by 144% YoY and 99% YoY, but its losses were still significant.</li>
</ul>


In August, Tesla’s shipments grew by 3% YoY, while top domestic producers’ shipments grew over 30% YoY.
The revenues of two domestic sneaker makers, 361 Degree and Anta, increased by 19% YoY and 14% YoY in 1H24.
In 2Q24, NIO’s deliveries and revenue increased by 144% YoY and 99% YoY, but its losses were still significant.


China Consumption Weekly (9 Sep 2024): Tesla, NIO, PDD, Anta, 361 Degree

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 23rd.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tencent (700 HK), China Mobile (941 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 23rd.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Tencent (700 HK), China Mobile (941 HK).


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Aug 23rd): Tencent, China Mobile

China

361 Degrees International is a leading Chinese sportswear enterprise that manufactures and trades in a wide range of sporting goods, including footwear, apparel, and accessories for adults and children. The company focuses on professional sports functionality and offers products under its 361° core and 361° Kids brand names. It was founded in 2003 and is headquartered in Xiamen, People's Republic of China.

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361 Degrees International (1361 HK)

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Update (January 10)

HK/China markets have outperformed other Asian markets since the beginning of 2024. In HK the consumer discretionary sector has lost momentum as...

David Mudd

China Dongxiang (3818 HK): Investment Gain Remains the Driver

China Dongxiang turned around in 1H FY25 with a net profit of Rmb137m, driven by investment gains. CDNX trades at a significant discount to its...

Osbert Tang, CFA

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (September 28)

Hong Kong market continues to re-rate on the back of PBOC stimulus. XTEP and Tongcheng benefit from improved consumer sentiment and earnings...

David Mudd

China Consumption Weekly (9 Sep 2024): Tesla, NIO, PDD, Anta, 361 Degree

In August, Tesla’s shipments grew by only 3% YoY in China, much lower than the industry average 30%. NIO denied bankruptcy.

Ming Lu

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Aug 23rd): Tencent, China Mobile

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Tencent (700 HK), China Mobile (941 HK).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Update (January 10)

HK/China markets have outperformed other Asian markets since the beginning of 2024. In HK the consumer discretionary sector has lost momentum as...

David Mudd

China Dongxiang (3818 HK): Investment Gain Remains the Driver

​China Dongxiang turned around in 1H FY25 with a net profit of Rmb137m, driven by investment gains. CDNX trades at a significant discount to its...

Osbert Tang, CFA

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (September 28)

Hong Kong market continues to re-rate on the back of PBOC stimulus. XTEP and Tongcheng benefit from improved consumer sentiment and earnings...

David Mudd

China Consumption Weekly (9 Sep 2024): Tesla, NIO, PDD, Anta, 361 Degree

In August, Tesla’s shipments grew by only 3% YoY in China, much lower than the industry average 30%. NIO denied bankruptcy.

Ming Lu

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Aug 23rd): Tencent, China Mobile

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Tencent (700 HK), China Mobile (941 HK).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China Dongxiang turned around in 1H FY25 with a net profit of Rmb137m, driven by investment gains. CDNX trades at a significant discount to its...