Iron Ore, Copper, Equities, Mint Finance

Umang Agrawal

Iron Ore, Copper, Equities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Vale's China strategy is paying off, with premium products and a richer sales mix driving stronger growth while peers struggle to protect their foothold in China.</li>
<li>Bacaba's early start-up is more than a scheduling win. It signals tangible progress toward Vale's ambition to significantly expand copper production.</li>
<li>Higher iron ore C1 costs, mounting pressure on Chinese steel demand, and Serra Sul +20 execution remain key watchpoints.</li>
</ul>


Vale's China strategy is paying off, with premium products and a richer sales mix driving stronger growth while peers struggle to protect their foothold in China.
Bacaba's early start-up is more than a scheduling win. It signals tangible progress toward Vale's ambition to significantly expand copper production.
Higher iron ore C1 costs, mounting pressure on Chinese steel demand, and Serra Sul +20 execution remain key watchpoints.


Vale: Deepening Its China Advantage, Preparing for the Copper Boom

High Quality Stock Setups, Weekly Stock Bull Finder

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

High Quality Stock Setups

Finding high potential stock setups on quality companies

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>This past week the news was dominated by political midterm election results and a brewing crypto market implosion but also featured a late week rally after a surprising CPI inflation print which beat estimates on Thursday.</li><li>While pundits can posit various reasons for Thursday and Friday’s market rallies, there appears to be at least a few brewing catalysts that could carry positive momentum into 2023 which include 1) continued downside surprises in either CPI or PCE inflation data which would allow the Fed to back off its aggressive tightening campaign 2) steps leading to Chinese economy reopening reducing existing supply chain bottlenecks 3) steps leading to a ceasefire or peace agreement in Ukraine and 4) significant improvement in EU energy security situation resulting in lower EU inflation.</li><li>In the near term, it appears as of this writing that political gridlock in Washington D.C. will be upon us for the next 2 years removing the worst case scenarios of any significant market-negative legislation (i.e. tax hikes, etc.) being passed.</li></ul>

This past week the news was dominated by political midterm election results and a brewing crypto market implosion but also featured a late week rally after a surprising CPI inflation print which beat estimates on Thursday.While pundits can posit various reasons for Thursday and Friday’s market rallies, there appears to be at least a few brewing catalysts that could carry positive momentum into 2023 which include 1) continued downside surprises in either CPI or PCE inflation data which would allow the Fed to back off its aggressive tightening campaign 2) steps leading to Chinese economy reopening reducing existing supply chain bottlenecks 3) steps leading to a ceasefire or peace agreement in Ukraine and 4) significant improvement in EU energy security situation resulting in lower EU inflation.In the near term, it appears as of this writing that political gridlock in Washington D.C. will be upon us for the next 2 years removing the worst case scenarios of any significant market-negative legislation (i.e. tax hikes, etc.) being passed.

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Australia in the past month.</li>
<li>We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.</li>
<li>We highlighted EPS revision on BHP, Rio Tinto, Lynas Rare Earths, Woodside Energy, Evolution Mining, Santos.</li>
</ul>


We analysed the earning revision of component stocks of MS-Australia in the past month.
We tabulated stocks with the top impact on index's EPS, stocks' EPS revision, and revenue revision.
We highlighted EPS revision on BHP, Rio Tinto, Lynas Rare Earths, Woodside Energy, Evolution Mining, Santos.


MS-Australia Index Earning Revision (Jul): BHP, Rio Tinto, Lynas Rare Earths, Woodside Energy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 27th July, published on the 23st July.</li>
<li>The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.8bn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$0.1bn out of "Biotech". Net shorts inclined A$1.7bn week-on-week.</li>
<li>Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pro-medicus-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13516:1" rel="noopener">Pro Medicus (PME AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wesfarmers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1104:1" rel="noopener">Wesfarmers (WES AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/computershare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:679:1" rel="noopener">Computershare (CPU AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csl-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:917:1" rel="noopener">CSL (CSL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asx-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:552:1" rel="noopener">ASX (ASX AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stockland" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:661:1" rel="noopener">Stockland (SGP AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 27th July, published on the 23st July.
The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.8bn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$0.1bn out of "Biotech". Net shorts inclined A$1.7bn week-on-week.
Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: Pro Medicus (PME AU), Wesfarmers (WES AU), Computershare (CPU AU), CSL (CSL AU), ASX (ASX AU), and Stockland (SGP AU).


Aussie Shorts [27July 2026]: Pro Medicus, Wesfarmers, Computershare, CSL, ASX, Stockland

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

ICICI Lombard General Insurance / Equity Bottom-Up

ICICI Lombard General Insurance (ICICIGI IN)

<ul>
<li>
Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.</li>
<li>
 Highlights: Currently nine pair trade opportunities persist across five markets and four sectors. 
</li>
<li>
Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.</li>
</ul>



Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.

 Highlights: Currently nine pair trade opportunities persist across five markets and four sectors. 


Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.


Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (3 Aug 2026)

Australia

BHP Billiton Limited is an international resources company.  The Company's principal business lines are mineral exploration and production, including coal, iron ore, gold, titanium, ferroalloys, nickel and copper concentrate, as well as petroleum exploration, production, and refining.  Dually-listed company with BLT LN.

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BHP Group Ltd (BHP US)

Vale: Deepening Its China Advantage, Preparing for the Copper Boom

Serra Sul +20 is reshaping Vale's iron ore advantage, while Bacaba's accelerated rollout signals management is executing faster than the market...

Mint Finance

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 11/14

This past week the news was dominated by political midterm election results and a brewing crypto market implosion but also featured a late week...

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

MS-Australia Index Earning Revision (Jul): BHP, Rio Tinto, Lynas Rare Earths, Woodside Energy

We analyzed MS-Australia's consensus for Jul 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in BHP, Rio Tinto, Lynas Rare Earths, Woodside Energy, Evolution...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Aussie Shorts [27July 2026]: Pro Medicus, Wesfarmers, Computershare, CSL, ASX, Stockland

The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.8bn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$0.1bn out of "Biotech". Net...

David Blennerhassett

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (3 Aug 2026)

Discover nine pair trade opportunities across five markets and four sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Vale: Deepening Its China Advantage, Preparing for the Copper Boom

Serra Sul +20 is reshaping Vale's iron ore advantage, while Bacaba's accelerated rollout signals management is executing faster than the market...

Mint Finance

Weekly Stock Bullfinder - Week of 11/14

This past week the news was dominated by political midterm election results and a brewing crypto market implosion but also featured a late week...

Weekly Stock Bull Finder

MS-Australia Index Earning Revision (Jul): BHP, Rio Tinto, Lynas Rare Earths, Woodside Energy

We analyzed MS-Australia's consensus for Jul 2026 and highlighted changes of EPS in BHP, Rio Tinto, Lynas Rare Earths, Woodside Energy, Evolution...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Aussie Shorts [27July 2026]: Pro Medicus, Wesfarmers, Computershare, CSL, ASX, Stockland

The largest industry net increase in the past week was A$0.8bn into "Banks"; the largest industry net decrease was A$0.1bn out of "Biotech". Net...

David Blennerhassett

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (3 Aug 2026)

​Discover nine pair trade opportunities across five markets and four sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.

Gaudenz Schneider

Discover nine pair trade opportunities across five markets and four sectors using statistical mean-reversion methodology for actionable insights.