Iron Ore and Dry Bulk Freight, Mint Finance

Umang Agrawal

Iron Ore and Dry Bulk Freight

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Pilbara shipments are tracking the lower end of guidance, with cyclone recovery hinging on a strong Q4.</li>
<li>Simandou shipments stay on schedule, adding supply pressure amid weak Chinese steel demand and negative margins.</li>
<li>China’s diversification and RMB trade shift threaten Rio’s pricing power, demanding agility and strategic adaptation.</li>
</ul>


Pilbara shipments are tracking the lower end of guidance, with cyclone recovery hinging on a strong Q4.
Simandou shipments stay on schedule, adding supply pressure amid weak Chinese steel demand and negative margins.
China’s diversification and RMB trade shift threaten Rio’s pricing power, demanding agility and strategic adaptation.


Rio's Simandou Shipments Near, But Can China’s Sluggish Mills Handle the Inflow?

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

<ul>
<li>
Context: Friday’s sell-off occurred after the Australian market closed, but several ASX-listed companies were swept up in the decline through dual listings or U.S.-traded ADRs.</li>
<li>
This Insight looks at the impact on prominent <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200</a> constituents — including BHP, CSL, and major banks. While some companies showed limited movement, others, such as BHP, experienced sharper declines.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Understand where the Australian market might be headed when trading resumes after the weekend.</li>
</ul>



Context: Friday’s sell-off occurred after the Australian market closed, but several ASX-listed companies were swept up in the decline through dual listings or U.S.-traded ADRs.

This Insight looks at the impact on prominent S&amp;P/ASX 200 constituents — including BHP, CSL, and major banks. While some companies showed limited movement, others, such as BHP, experienced sharper declines.

Why Read: Understand where the Australian market might be headed when trading resumes after the weekend.


BHP (BHP AU/US) And Woodside (WDS AU/US) Slide as U.S. Sell-Off Spills Into Australian Stocks

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Oct 3rd (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD28.3bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in ALS, Washington H Soul Pattinson&amp;Co, Brambles, CAR, Fortescue.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of ASX Stocks as of Oct 3rd (reported today). The aggregated short interest was USD28.3bn.
We tabulate league tables for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in ALS, Washington H Soul Pattinson&amp;Co, Brambles, CAR, Fortescue.


ASX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 3rd): ALS, Washington H Soul Pattinson&Co, Brambles, CAR, Fortescue

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day, Money of Mine

Money of Mine

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day

An ex-underground miner, an ex-investment banker, and an ex-equity research guy breaking down the mining news of the day. It's a bit of entertainment, information, and occasionally some alpha.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Discussion of major gold news in the market, including departures at Barrick and Newmont and China's involvement</li><li>Interview with Jeff Quartermain about Perseus's journey in the gold market and his decision to step down</li><li>Comparison of valuation landscape during Quartermain's tenure at Perseus with current challenges in acquiring projects at a reasonable cost</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Discussion of major gold news in the market, including departures at Barrick and Newmont and China's involvementInterview with Jeff Quartermain about Perseus's journey in the gold market and his decision to step downComparison of valuation landscape during Quartermain's tenure at Perseus with current challenges in acquiring projects at a reasonable costThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Gold Soars & China Corners BHP (Jeff Quartermaine)

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
Context: Volatility cones provide a straightforward framework to evaluate whether options are trading cheap or rich. This Insight provides volatility analysis for ten prominent Australian stocks and the benchmark.</li>
<li>
Highlights: December implied volatility tends to be rich for the banks and cheap for the miners. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> implied volatility is cheap across the curve.</li>
<li>
Why Read: Spot opportunities, assess regime shifts, and manage risk effectively — volatility cones turn complex data into actionable insights for traders and investors.</li>
</ul>



Context: Volatility cones provide a straightforward framework to evaluate whether options are trading cheap or rich. This Insight provides volatility analysis for ten prominent Australian stocks and the benchmark.

Highlights: December implied volatility tends to be rich for the banks and cheap for the miners. S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) implied volatility is cheap across the curve.

Why Read: Spot opportunities, assess regime shifts, and manage risk effectively — volatility cones turn complex data into actionable insights for traders and investors.


From Banks to Miners: Cheap Vs. Rich Volatility Across Australia

Australia

BHP Billiton Limited is an international resources company.  The Company's principal business lines are mineral exploration and production, including coal, iron ore, gold, titanium, ferroalloys, nickel and copper concentrate, as well as petroleum exploration, production, and refining.  Dually-listed company with BLT LN.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

BHP Group Ltd (BHP US)

Rio's Simandou Shipments Near, But Can China’s Sluggish Mills Handle the Inflow?

Rio Tinto’s steady operations mask deeper challenges ahead, as oversupply, weak steel margins, and sluggish Chinese demand pressure its outlook.

Mint Finance

BHP (BHP AU/US) And Woodside (WDS AU/US) Slide as U.S. Sell-Off Spills Into Australian Stocks

Friday’s U.S. market rout pushed dual-listed Australian stocks lower, with BHP and Woodside among the biggest movers. US-traded ADRs and futures...

Gaudenz Schneider

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 3rd): ALS, Washington H Soul Pattinson&Co, Brambles, CAR, Fortescue

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in ALS, Washington H Soul Pattinson&Co, Brambles, CAR,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Gold Soars & China Corners BHP (Jeff Quartermaine)

This week's gold news includes departures at Barrick and Newmont, China's involvement in the market, and a discussion of Perseus CEO Jeff...

Money of Mine

From Banks to Miners: Cheap Vs. Rich Volatility Across Australia

Volatility cones help evaluate options trading, showing Australian banks are rich and miners are cheap in December. Spot opportunities and manage...

Gaudenz Schneider

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Rio's Simandou Shipments Near, But Can China’s Sluggish Mills Handle the Inflow?

Rio Tinto’s steady operations mask deeper challenges ahead, as oversupply, weak steel margins, and sluggish Chinese demand pressure its outlook.

Mint Finance

BHP (BHP AU/US) And Woodside (WDS AU/US) Slide as U.S. Sell-Off Spills Into Australian Stocks

Friday’s U.S. market rout pushed dual-listed Australian stocks lower, with BHP and Woodside among the biggest movers. US-traded ADRs and futures...

Gaudenz Schneider

ASX Short Interest Weekly (Oct 3rd): ALS, Washington H Soul Pattinson&Co, Brambles, CAR, Fortescue

We analyzed ASX short interest report for the past week and highlight short interest changes in ALS, Washington H Soul Pattinson&Co, Brambles, CAR,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Gold Soars & China Corners BHP (Jeff Quartermaine)

This week's gold news includes departures at Barrick and Newmont, China's involvement in the market, and a discussion of Perseus CEO Jeff...

Money of Mine

From Banks to Miners: Cheap Vs. Rich Volatility Across Australia

​Volatility cones help evaluate options trading, showing Australian banks are rich and miners are cheap in December. Spot opportunities and manage...

Gaudenz Schneider

Volatility cones help evaluate options trading, showing Australian banks are rich and miners are cheap in December. Spot opportunities and manage...