Iron Ore, Copper, Equities, Mint Finance

Umang Agrawal

Iron Ore, Copper, Equities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>CMRG tightened control to shift pricing power, but BHP’s resilient exports and swift rebound after easing signal more flexible, evolving trade flows. </li>
<li>EPS downgrades and rising diesel costs are squeezing margins, as disruptions push BHP toward lower production guidance and weaken near-term earnings visibility. </li>
<li>Elevated volatility and near-term positioning dominate, while heavier put interest signals growing caution and downside expectations ahead of BHP’s operational update. </li>
</ul>


CMRG tightened control to shift pricing power, but BHP’s resilient exports and swift rebound after easing signal more flexible, evolving trade flows. 
EPS downgrades and rising diesel costs are squeezing margins, as disruptions push BHP toward lower production guidance and weaken near-term earnings visibility. 
Elevated volatility and near-term positioning dominate, while heavier put interest signals growing caution and downside expectations ahead of BHP’s operational update. 


CMRG Relief Sparked the Rally, But BHP Now Faces a Tougher Reality Ahead

Financial News, Analysis and Data, FNArena

FNArena

Financial News, Analysis and Data

Online financial media company focused on Australian equities, with a global perspective

<ul><li>Morgans has initiated coverage of Deterra Royalties, highlighting the company&rsquo;s defensive, reliable iron ore royalty stream and lithium upside.</li><li> Deterra Royalties derives 95% of revenue from iron ore production Recently acquired Thacker Pass offers diversification and lithium upside Royalty streams are cost-free for Thacker Iron ore little impacted by Middle East conflict</li></ul>

Morgans has initiated coverage of Deterra Royalties, highlighting the company&rsquo;s defensive, reliable iron ore royalty stream and lithium upside. Deterra Royalties derives 95% of revenue from iron ore production Recently acquired Thacker Pass offers diversification and lithium upside Royalty streams are cost-free for Thacker Iron ore little impacted by Middle East conflict

BHP Group Ltd - The Investment Case For Deterra Royalties

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Record US copper imports point to aggressive stockpiling, while Congo’s rising cathode shipments signal growing competition for physical demand outside COMEX channels.</li>
<li>Copper options retain a clear bullish tilt, with OI PCR at 0.55 and volume PCR at 0.30 signaling strong upside demand, while the easing CVOL points to lower volatility expectations.</li>
<li>Political pushback puts VBM’s IPO on hold, while Vale plans to double its copper business, keeping its growth strategy firmly focused on expanding production.</li>
</ul>


Record US copper imports point to aggressive stockpiling, while Congo’s rising cathode shipments signal growing competition for physical demand outside COMEX channels.
Copper options retain a clear bullish tilt, with OI PCR at 0.55 and volume PCR at 0.30 signaling strong upside demand, while the easing CVOL points to lower volatility expectations.
Political pushback puts VBM’s IPO on hold, while Vale plans to double its copper business, keeping its growth strategy firmly focused on expanding production.


Copper in Focus: US Tariff Risks Fuel Stockpiling; VBM IPO Hits Roadblock

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 27th March, published ~9AM on the 2nd April.</li>
<li>The largest industry net increase in the past week was into "Diversified Metals &amp; Mining"; the largest industry net decrease was out of "Diversified Banks". Net shorts increased A$1.7bn week-on-week.</li>
<li>Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP (BHP AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nextdc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8570:1" rel="noopener">Nextdc (NXT AU)</a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nextdc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8570:1" rel="noopener"></a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/flight-centre-travel-group-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7537:1" rel="noopener">Flight Centre Travel (FLT AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/web-travel-group-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17059:1" rel="noopener">WEB Travel  (WEB AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bapcor-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8433:1" rel="noopener">Bapcor (BAP AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wisetech-global-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22669:1" rel="noopener">Wisetech Global (WTC AU)</a>
</li>
</ul>


Australia's ASIC releases the aggregated short position data four business days after the reporting day. Data in this insight is up to 27th March, published ~9AM on the 2nd April.
The largest industry net increase in the past week was into "Diversified Metals &amp; Mining"; the largest industry net decrease was out of "Diversified Banks". Net shorts increased A$1.7bn week-on-week.
Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: BHP (BHP AU), Nextdc (NXT AU), Flight Centre Travel (FLT AU), WEB Travel  (WEB AU), Bapcor (BAP AU), and Wisetech Global (WTC AU)



Aussie Shorts (27th Mar 2026): BHP, Nextdc, Flight Centre, WEB Travel, Bapcor, Wisetech Global

Bayon Financial

Graeme Cunningham

Independent Insight Provider

Bayon Financial provides industry and company analysis focusing on mid and small cap equity research coverage across a range of sectors including mining, financials and telecoms.

<ul>
<li>The China iron ore ban remains opaque, with some reports of an expansion to Newman fines, but others indicating a pause, and it has had limited effect on trade statistics</li>
<li>The company has selected 'surprise' new CEO, Mr. Brandon Craig, who has experience across all three major divisions, over the previous frontrunner Ms. Geraldine Slattery </li>
<li>We see a marginal effect from the China ban, but other major risks to the iron ore and copper divisions, and there is downside to our SOTP with moderate multiples </li>
</ul>


The China iron ore ban remains opaque, with some reports of an expansion to Newman fines, but others indicating a pause, and it has had limited effect on trade statistics
The company has selected 'surprise' new CEO, Mr. Brandon Craig, who has experience across all three major divisions, over the previous frontrunner Ms. Geraldine Slattery 
We see a marginal effect from the China ban, but other major risks to the iron ore and copper divisions, and there is downside to our SOTP with moderate multiples 


BHP: Iron Ore Ban Opacity, Surprise New CEO

Australia

BHP Group Ltd operates as an international resources company. The Company offers mineral exploration and production, including coal, iron ore, gold, titanium, ferroalloys, nickel, and copper concentrate, as well as petroleum exploration, production, and refining. BHP Group serves customers worldwide.

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BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU)

CMRG Relief Sparked the Rally, But BHP Now Faces a Tougher Reality Ahead

A relief-driven rebound meets rising cost pressures and softer volumes, as options markets quietly turn cautious ahead of BHP’s update.

Mint Finance

BHP Group Ltd - The Investment Case For Deterra Royalties

Morgans has initiated coverage of Deterra Royalties, highlighting the company’s defensive, reliable iron ore royalty stream and lithium...

FNArena

Copper in Focus: US Tariff Risks Fuel Stockpiling; VBM IPO Hits Roadblock

Chile’s supply disruptions and firm physical demand support copper, while a firmer US dollar, measured positioning and profit-taking introduce...

Mint Finance

Aussie Shorts (27th Mar 2026): BHP, Nextdc, Flight Centre, WEB Travel, Bapcor, Wisetech Global

Net shorts increased A$1.7bn week-on-week. Companies mentioned in this regular weekly report include: BHP, Nextdc, Flight Centre Travel, WEB...

David Blennerhassett

BHP: Iron Ore Ban Opacity, Surprise New CEO

The continued opaque China iron ban has had minimal effect on BHP's price, a 'surprise' CEO has been chosen, and our SOTP implies aggressive...

Graeme Cunningham

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