Head of Research, Krungthai XSpring

Waraporn Wiboonkanarak

Head of Research

A full service Thai brokerage

Krungthai XSpring

Krungthai XSpring is a full service broker. The company provides a wide range of investment services such as Securities Brokerage, Derivative Agent Business, Securities Borrowing and Lending, Securities Trading, Underwriting, Financial Advisory, Wealth Advisory, Private Fund Management and International Markets Securities Trading. 

In terms of credibility, Fitch Ratings has assigned Krunghtai XSpring a long-term rating of AA- and a national short-term rating of F1+ with stable outlook.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways up, with resistance at 1,372 points (200-day EMA)/1,383 points (50-week EMA) and the support at 1,358/1,353 points (10-day EMA).</li><li>In the short term, the index is undergoing a correction before resuming its upward movement.</li><li>We maintain our recommendation that investors buy when it weakens.</li></ul>

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways up, with resistance at 1,372 points (200-day EMA)/1,383 points (50-week EMA) and the support at 1,358/1,353 points (10-day EMA).In the short term, the index is undergoing a correction before resuming its upward movement.We maintain our recommendation that investors buy when it weakens.

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. September 5, 2024

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors, Fabricated Knowledge

Douglas O'Laughlin

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors

Fabricated Knowledge

Learn more about the world's most important manufactured product. Meaningful insight, timely analysis, and an occasional investment idea.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Hot Chips this year was primarily about AI chips (per the theme of every semiconductor conference as of late).</li><li>The most impactful presentation by far was the Broadcom CPO presentation, SuperMicro water cooling, MTIA, and some honorable mentions to Enfabrica and Dojo/Mojo from Tesla.</li><li>The biggest disappointment was AMD, which presented nothing incremental and, of course, the CPU announcements.</li></ul>

Hot Chips this year was primarily about AI chips (per the theme of every semiconductor conference as of late).The most impactful presentation by far was the Broadcom CPO presentation, SuperMicro water cooling, MTIA, and some honorable mentions to Enfabrica and Dojo/Mojo from Tesla.The biggest disappointment was AMD, which presented nothing incremental and, of course, the CPU announcements.

AI and Global Deep Tech, Mint Finance

Uttkarsh Kohli

AI and Global Deep Tech

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

<ul>
<li>Vanguard’s 95.3% reduction in TSMC holdings underscores concerns over geopolitical tensions and supply chain risks impacting the semiconductor sector’s stability and future growth. </li>
<li>Citadel’s 876% increase in Thermo Fisher shares reflects strong confidence in the healthcare sector, particularly in companies poised to benefit from technological advancements and market expansion. </li>
<li>Berkshire Hathaway’s 49.3% cut in Apple holdings suggests a strategic move to lock in profits after significant gains, while reallocating capital to less volatile investments.</li>
</ul>


Vanguard’s 95.3% reduction in TSMC holdings underscores concerns over geopolitical tensions and supply chain risks impacting the semiconductor sector’s stability and future growth. 
Citadel’s 876% increase in Thermo Fisher shares reflects strong confidence in the healthcare sector, particularly in companies poised to benefit from technological advancements and market expansion. 
Berkshire Hathaway’s 49.3% cut in Apple holdings suggests a strategic move to lock in profits after significant gains, while reallocating capital to less volatile investments.


Institutions Adjust Portfolios Amid Economic Uncertainty and Market Volatility (13F Filings 30/Jun)

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We continue to play the hand we have been dealt; i.e., riding the trend higher on the SPX and Nasdaq 100, and being overweight large-cap growth</li>
<li>Russell 1000 GrowthVs.Value ratio is breaking out from a 4-year base, suggesting growth's outperformance is likely to continue in the months ahead. Growth outperforming during bull markets is no surprise.</li>
<li>Latest bullish developments include the equal-weighted Nasdaq 100 (QQQE) breaking out from a 4-month base, while Discretionary (XLY) displays a 6-month base breakout and RS is reversing its YTD downtrend</li>
</ul>


We continue to play the hand we have been dealt; i.e., riding the trend higher on the SPX and Nasdaq 100, and being overweight large-cap growth
Russell 1000 GrowthVs.Value ratio is breaking out from a 4-year base, suggesting growth's outperformance is likely to continue in the months ahead. Growth outperforming during bull markets is no surprise.
Latest bullish developments include the equal-weighted Nasdaq 100 (QQQE) breaking out from a 4-month base, while Discretionary (XLY) displays a 6-month base breakout and RS is reversing its YTD downtrend


Play the Hand You're Dealt; Bullish Outlook Intact; Remain Overweight Large-Cap Growth; Tech Buys

<ul>
<li>Mega-Cap growth names such as AMZN, TSLA, MSFT, GOOGL, and META have picked up the slack as semiconductors (SMH, SOXX, NVDA, AVGO, etc.) are simply consolidating after getting extended.</li>
<li>This was a possibility we discussed in last week's Compass (6/25/24), which means we are not seeing any lasting rotation away from large-cap growth.</li>
<li>We remain bullish on all names listed (including the semiconductors), and we continue to recommend an overweight to large-cap growth (relative to value) as initially discussed in our 5/29/24 Compass</li>
</ul>


Mega-Cap growth names such as AMZN, TSLA, MSFT, GOOGL, and META have picked up the slack as semiconductors (SMH, SOXX, NVDA, AVGO, etc.) are simply consolidating after getting extended.
This was a possibility we discussed in last week's Compass (6/25/24), which means we are not seeing any lasting rotation away from large-cap growth.
We remain bullish on all names listed (including the semiconductors), and we continue to recommend an overweight to large-cap growth (relative to value) as initially discussed in our 5/29/24 Compass


Remain Overweight Large-Cap Growth; Downgrading Materials to Underweight; Software Buys $MSTR $CRWD

United States

Broadcom Inc. designs, develops, and supplies semiconductor and infrastructure software solutions. The Company offers storage adapters, controllers, networking processors, motion control encoders, and optical sensors, as well as infrastructure and security software to modernize, optimize, and secure the most complex hybrid environments. Broadcom serves customers worldwide.

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Broadcom (AVGO US)

Krungthai XSpring Zoom Eng. September 5, 2024

Technically, the SET Index is expected to move sideways up, with resistance at 1,372 points (200-day EMA)/1,383 points (50-week EMA) and the...

Krungthai XSpring

Hotchips Conference Sparknotes

Hot Chips this year was primarily about AI chips (per the theme of every semiconductor conference as of late). The most impactful presentation by...

Fabricated Knowledge

Institutions Adjust Portfolios Amid Economic Uncertainty and Market Volatility (13F Filings 30/Jun)

Investors are moving away from overvalued tech stocks towards undervalued sectors like infrastructure and healthcare due to increasing economic...

Mint Finance

Play the Hand You're Dealt; Bullish Outlook Intact; Remain Overweight Large-Cap Growth; Tech Buys

Play the Hand You're Dealt; Bullish Outlook Intact $SPX $QQQ $IWM; Remain Overweight Large-Cap Growth $IWF $NVDA $AVGO $TSM $AMD $ASML $AAPL $MSFT...

Vermilion Research

Remain Overweight Large-Cap Growth; Downgrading Materials to Underweight; Software Buys $MSTR $CRWD

Remain Overweight Large-Cap Growth $IWF as discussed 5/29/24; Downgrading Materials $XLB to Underweight; Buy/Stay Long Software Stocks $IGV $MSFT...

Vermilion Research

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