Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

China Merchants China Direct Investments / Event-Driven

China Merchants China Direct Investments (133 HK)

<ul>
<li>At the <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/0620/2024062000484.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AGM yesterday</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-china-direct-investments" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6862:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants China Direct Investments (133 HK)</a>'s director Elizabeth Kan was re-appointed, but by a wafer-thin margin: 29.97% of shares out FOR, and 29.44% AGAINST.</li>
<li>Stripping out Victor Chu's stake (~2%?) and China Merchant's (27.6%), or collectively ~29.6% of shares out, it's fair to say the remainder of the shareholder register wants her out. </li>
<li>CMCDI is currently trading at a 55% discount to the latest NAV (as at 31st May 2024) of <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/0614/2024061400482.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">HK$30.42/share</a>.  Argyle continues to add to its position. </li>
</ul>


At the AGM yesterday, China Merchants China Direct Investments (133 HK)'s director Elizabeth Kan was re-appointed, but by a wafer-thin margin: 29.97% of shares out FOR, and 29.44% AGAINST.
Stripping out Victor Chu's stake (~2%?) and China Merchant's (27.6%), or collectively ~29.6% of shares out, it's fair to say the remainder of the shareholder register wants her out. 
CMCDI is currently trading at a 55% discount to the latest NAV (as at 31st May 2024) of HK$30.42/share.  Argyle continues to add to its position. 


CMCDI (133 HK): Kan Re-Elected. But Only Just

Keisei Electric Railway Co / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Palliser/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keisei-electric-railway-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10876:1" rel="noopener">Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP)</a> is an unconvincing trade. Avoid being long Keisei vs <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oriental-land-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13517:1" rel="noopener">Oriental Land (4661 JP)</a> except in short-term impact events. Avoid the drift trade also.</li>
<li>On the subject of activism, keep an eye on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-china-direct-investments" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6862:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants China Direct Investments (133 HK)</a>'s 20th June AGM. If Kan's re-election is rejected, this stock should gain more momentum.</li>
<li>A <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sigma-healthcare-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15966:1" rel="noopener">Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)</a>/Chemist Warehouse merger carried regulatory risk. And now the ACCC has raised a raft of concerns. </li>
</ul>


The Palliser/Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP) is an unconvincing trade. Avoid being long Keisei vs Oriental Land (4661 JP) except in short-term impact events. Avoid the drift trade also.
On the subject of activism, keep an eye on China Merchants China Direct Investments (133 HK)'s 20th June AGM. If Kan's re-election is rejected, this stock should gain more momentum.
A Sigma Healthcare (SIG AU)/Chemist Warehouse merger carried regulatory risk. And now the ACCC has raised a raft of concerns. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric, CMCDI, Sigma Healthcare, Sun Corp, Segantii

<ul>
<li>Colour me perplexed. Murakami Group ran up <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mitsui-matsushima-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13569:1" rel="noopener">Mitsui Matsushima (1518 JP)</a>'s share price in acquiring 29%. The pattern was clear, but one assumes everyone in-group was on the same page.</li>
<li>Two activist shareholders. And long only upping its stake. Heavily discounted <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-china-direct-investments" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6862:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants China Direct Investments (133 HK)</a> is in play.</li>
<li>A HUGE new buyback for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kansai-paint-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13340:1" rel="noopener">Kansai Paint (4613 JP)</a>. Really big. Buy Kansai Paint vs Nippon Paint. One can buy the pop. One can buy any dips after the pop. </li>
</ul>


Colour me perplexed. Murakami Group ran up Mitsui Matsushima (1518 JP)'s share price in acquiring 29%. The pattern was clear, but one assumes everyone in-group was on the same page.
Two activist shareholders. And long only upping its stake. Heavily discounted China Merchants China Direct Investments (133 HK) is in play.
A HUGE new buyback for Kansai Paint (4613 JP). Really big. Buy Kansai Paint vs Nippon Paint. One can buy the pop. One can buy any dips after the pop. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Mitsui Matsushima, China Merchants,Kansai Paint, Teijin, Sciclone Pharma

<ul>
<li>In January this year, Argyle Street, a (now) 8% shareholder of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-china-direct-investments" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6862:1" rel="noopener">China Merchants China Direct Investments (133 HK)</a> (CMCDI), a closed-end investment company, proposed a solution to boost shareholder value.</li>
<li>Two months later, Rydal Value Fund (stake unknown) also proposed a means to boosting shareholder value along similar lines.</li>
<li>CMCDI is currently trading at a ~63% discount to NAV. But it is up 78% since Argyle's initial proposal, and recently touched a six-year high. Argyle is still buying.</li>
</ul>


In January this year, Argyle Street, a (now) 8% shareholder of China Merchants China Direct Investments (133 HK) (CMCDI), a closed-end investment company, proposed a solution to boost shareholder value.
Two months later, Rydal Value Fund (stake unknown) also proposed a means to boosting shareholder value along similar lines.
CMCDI is currently trading at a ~63% discount to NAV. But it is up 78% since Argyle's initial proposal, and recently touched a six-year high. Argyle is still buying.


Hong Kong

China Merchants China Direct Investments is an investment holding company specializing in direct investments in China, primarily in unlisted enterprises. It invests across various sectors including financial services, culture and media, manufacturing, real estate, information technology, energy and resources, and medical. The company is headquartered in Hong Kong and started its operations in 1993.

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China Merchants China Direct Investments (133 HK)

CMCDI (133 HK): Kan Re-Elected. But Only Just

CMCDI remains cheap. Argyle is still buying. If small, illiquid names, with a activism angle are your forte, get involved.

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Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric, CMCDI, Sigma Healthcare, Sun Corp, Segantii

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Activism Takes On CMCDI (133 HK)

This in interesting. As per my note, Lazard held 15.89%. Lazard's latest disclosure states they've cleared 14%, paying $14.67/share, implying they...

David Blennerhassett

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