External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Scotiabank

Scotiabank

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Scotiabank’s global foreign exchange strategy team provides in-depth regional insights and macro-economic analysis for G10 and advanced economies, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Find technical and fundamental strategy reports focused on trade ideas, market risks, and the unfolding macro outlook. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>The trend in recent CFTC data reports has reflected a moderation in bullish USD sentiment since the mid-January peak and that trend continued with the latest report filed on Friday.</li><li>Aggregate net long USD positioning among Non-Commercial (speculative) traders dropped USD4.7bn to USD26.5bn, the largest decline since late September (though that was just before the USD started its three-month rally).</li><li>Softening bullish sentiment is reflected in reduced net USD longs held by Leveraged (hedge fund) traders, which fell USD1bn to USD14.2bn while Real Money (institutional) traders slashed net USD longs by more than half to USD2.4bn this week. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The trend in recent CFTC data reports has reflected a moderation in bullish USD sentiment since the mid-January peak and that trend continued with the latest report filed on Friday.Aggregate net long USD positioning among Non-Commercial (speculative) traders dropped USD4.7bn to USD26.5bn, the largest decline since late September (though that was just before the USD started its three-month rally).Softening bullish sentiment is reflected in reduced net USD longs held by Leveraged (hedge fund) traders, which fell USD1bn to USD14.2bn while Real Money (institutional) traders slashed net USD longs by more than half to USD2.4bn this week. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - USD Sentiment Fades as JPY Bulls Return

<ul><li>Dollar-bullish sentiment eased for a third week in a row though last Tuesday, the latest snapshot of FX positioning from the CFTC shows.</li><li>That’s a little surprising, considering that the data cover the period when tariff concerns had eased somewhat but were still elevated.</li><li>Non-Commercial (speculative) traders pared aggregate USD longs some USD2.5bn overall to just over USD31bn. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Dollar-bullish sentiment eased for a third week in a row though last Tuesday, the latest snapshot of FX positioning from the CFTC shows.That’s a little surprising, considering that the data cover the period when tariff concerns had eased somewhat but were still elevated.Non-Commercial (speculative) traders pared aggregate USD longs some USD2.5bn overall to just over USD31bn. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - Bullish USD Sentiment Softens Further

Podcast Exploring Themes Driving Global Markets, Nomura - The Week Ahead

Nomura – The Week Ahead

Podcast Exploring Themes Driving Global Markets

Nomura - The Week Ahead

We explore the main themes that will drive global markets over the coming week, discussing the key market moving events and risks to keep on your radar.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Colleagues in the US made an important change to their Fed forecasts this year</li><li>Market sentiment may be jittery in February, with focus on global tech stocks and testing US Exceptionalism narrative</li><li>US Employment report at the end of the week is extra important to watch, with expectations for benign data, but potential risks and noise in the report due to factors like wildfires and updates to population estimates for the household survey.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Colleagues in the US made an important change to their Fed forecasts this yearMarket sentiment may be jittery in February, with focus on global tech stocks and testing US Exceptionalism narrativeUS Employment report at the end of the week is extra important to watch, with expectations for benign data, but potential risks and noise in the report due to factors like wildfires and updates to population estimates for the household survey.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

<ul><li>CFTC data for the week through January 21st reflects the first pullback in USD bullish positioning since the start of December, with net Non-Commercial (speculative) traders trimming just under USD1 bn off their dollar longs.</li><li>Additional data shows Real Money (institutional) traders cutting around USD2bn off their net USD long positioning while Leveraged (hedge fund) traders held net longs unchanged.</li><li>The combined USD long positions across these three trading groups eased to approximately USD59bn—lower than the recent peak but still looking quite extended.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CFTC data for the week through January 21st reflects the first pullback in USD bullish positioning since the start of December, with net Non-Commercial (speculative) traders trimming just under USD1 bn off their dollar longs.Additional data shows Real Money (institutional) traders cutting around USD2bn off their net USD long positioning while Leveraged (hedge fund) traders held net longs unchanged.The combined USD long positions across these three trading groups eased to approximately USD59bn—lower than the recent peak but still looking quite extended.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - Speculative Traders Pare USD Longs

<ul><li>Early January trading saw little change in FX market positioning, according to the latest CFTC data.</li><li>Broad, USD bullish sentiment persists but the build-up in USD long positioning slowed among Non-Commercial (speculative) accounts—perhaps not too surprisingly.</li><li>Aggregate USD longs increased USD874mn over the past week to reach a total of USD34.6bn—the biggest speculative bull punt on the USD since H1 2018. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Early January trading saw little change in FX market positioning, according to the latest CFTC data.Broad, USD bullish sentiment persists but the build-up in USD long positioning slowed among Non-Commercial (speculative) accounts—perhaps not too surprisingly.Aggregate USD longs increased USD874mn over the past week to reach a total of USD34.6bn—the biggest speculative bull punt on the USD since H1 2018. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - Bullish Sentiment Build for USD Slows

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Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - USD Sentiment Fades as JPY Bulls Return

The trend in recent CFTC data reports has reflected a moderation in bullish USD sentiment since the mid-January peak and that trend continued with...

Scotiabank

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - Bullish USD Sentiment Softens Further

Dollar-bullish sentiment eased for a third week in a row though last Tuesday, the latest snapshot of FX positioning from the CFTC shows.

Scotiabank

The Week Ahead – Snaky Ways

Colleagues in the US made an important change to Fed forecasts, market sentiment may be jittery in February with questions about tech stocks and US...

Nomura – The Week Ahead

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - Speculative Traders Pare USD Longs

CFTC data for the week through January 21st reflects the first pullback in USD bullish positioning since the start of December

Scotiabank

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - Bullish Sentiment Build for USD Slows

Broad, USD bullish sentiment persists but the build-up in USD long positioning slowed among Non-Commercial (speculative) accounts—perhaps not too...

Scotiabank

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