UK: 1Q19 GDP Growth Tracking up to 0.5%
UK monthly GDP stayed surprisingly strong in Feb-19, growing 0.2% m-o-m after 0.5% in Jan-19. Services matched my bullish forecast and show no...
626 Views
Brexit: No Soft-Touch Extension
The European Council will consider the UK’s latest request for an extension at its 10 April meeting. It is not a soft touch seeking to reward...
609 Views
The Probability Of "Softer Brexit" Rises Markedly; No-Deal Brexit Virtually Ruled Out
After numerous false starts -- including a narrow defeat of "permanent Customs Union" last Wednesday (8 votes) and this Monday (3 votes) -- the...
661 Views
UK: PMIs Diverge as Bias Intensifies in Mar-19
The pace of activity growth implied by the UK services PMI collapsed again in Mar-19 as the index fell by 2.4 points to 48.9. It is biased to...
643 Views
May Opens a Path to Unlock the Brexit Jam
PM May calls for a unified government approach to unlock the Brexit jam.Failing a unified plan, she has offered parliament a meaningful vote on a...
672 Views