Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

Macroeconomics

<div data-attrs='{"url":"https://gordianknot.substack.com/subscribe?","text":"Subscribe"}'><div><form class="subscription-widget-subscribe"><div><ul><li><span style="font-size: var(--content-font-size);">To a 180-degree flip at the End of the Dollar hegemony and reserve system, opinions were pushed aggressively over mainstream CNN, FOX News networks, News Headlines, and fringe opinion makers looking for click baits.</span></li><li>We look at sentiment shift, and is it different from when Dollar peaked in October 2022?</li><li>We cover JPY, CNY, KRW, INR, TWD, AUD, CHF, EUR &amp; GBP charts. We have added equity and rates charts in China, India, and Korea where possible to help corroborate cross-market analysis.</li></ul></div></form></div></div>

To a 180-degree flip at the End of the Dollar hegemony and reserve system, opinions were pushed aggressively over mainstream CNN, FOX News networks, News Headlines, and fringe opinion makers looking for click baits.We look at sentiment shift, and is it different from when Dollar peaked in October 2022?We cover JPY, CNY, KRW, INR, TWD, AUD, CHF, EUR &amp; GBP charts. We have added equity and rates charts in China, India, and Korea where possible to help corroborate cross-market analysis.

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets, At Any Rate

At Any Rate

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets

Analysts from J.P. Morgan’s Research team take a closer look at the stories behind some of the biggest trends, themes and developments in markets today.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>The US dollar remains strong despite ongoing government shutdown and uncertain economic data</li><li>Eurodollar shows resilience and potential for growth due to positive PMI data in Europe</li><li>Range-bound trading expected for Eurodollar with potential for upside breakout depending on US data and market conditions</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

The US dollar remains strong despite ongoing government shutdown and uncertain economic dataEurodollar shows resilience and potential for growth due to positive PMI data in EuropeRange-bound trading expected for Eurodollar with potential for upside breakout depending on US data and market conditionsThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Global FX: Dollar oscillates; more fiscal clarity for GBP & CAD

Covering the Mexican Economy, Actinver Research

Actinver

Covering the Mexican Economy

Actinver Research

Actinver is a mexican leading financial group, that generates well being for individuals and companies through advisory services that provides investment management to maintain and grow their wealth.

<ul>
<li>The Bank for International Settlements’ (BIS) triennial survey highlights the continued expansion of global foreign exchange activity.</li>
<li>The Mexican peso reaffirmed its relevance, ranking among the most actively traded currencies worldwide and consolidating its position as one of the leading currencies within emerging markets.</li>
<li>According to the BIS Triennial Central Bank Survey on foreign exchange markets (April 2025), global FX trading volumes increased by 28% compared with the 2022 survey, reaching an average daily turnover of USD 9.6 trillion.</li>
</ul>


The Bank for International Settlements’ (BIS) triennial survey highlights the continued expansion of global foreign exchange activity.
The Mexican peso reaffirmed its relevance, ranking among the most actively traded currencies worldwide and consolidating its position as one of the leading currencies within emerging markets.
According to the BIS Triennial Central Bank Survey on foreign exchange markets (April 2025), global FX trading volumes increased by 28% compared with the 2022 survey, reaching an average daily turnover of USD 9.6 trillion.


External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Scotiabank

Scotiabank

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Scotiabank’s global foreign exchange strategy team provides in-depth regional insights and macro-economic analysis for G10 and advanced economies, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Find technical and fundamental strategy reports focused on trade ideas, market risks, and the unfolding macro outlook. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

<ul><li>The aggregate USD short widened modestly in the week ended September 23, with a $0.8bn w/w build to $8.6bn.</li><li>This was the third consecutive week of deterioration in aggregate USD positioning, suggesting a renewed appetite for bearish USD bets following a period of short covering that was observed through much of July and August.</li><li>Adjustments among the reporting currencies were mixed, with a sizeable increase in the JPY long and short covering in CHF and GBP. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

The aggregate USD short widened modestly in the week ended September 23, with a $0.8bn w/w build to $8.6bn.This was the third consecutive week of deterioration in aggregate USD positioning, suggesting a renewed appetite for bearish USD bets following a period of short covering that was observed through much of July and August.Adjustments among the reporting currencies were mixed, with a sizeable increase in the JPY long and short covering in CHF and GBP. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CFTC Weekly Sentiment Report - JPY Net Long Sees Sizeable Build , Likely Driven By Hawkish BoJ

<ul><li>The aggregate USD short widened a notable $2.1bn in the week ended September 9, reaching $7.2bn in a reporting period that captured the US/Canada jobs disappointments and the media reporting of the BoJ’s intention to resume tightening by year end.</li><li>The largest w/w swings were observed in JPY and EUR, as both net longs increased. The CHF short widened modestly, and all of the remaining currencies saw there positions remain largely unchanged w/w.</li><li>The EUR remains the largest net long, followed by JPY, with MXN a distant third. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

The aggregate USD short widened a notable $2.1bn in the week ended September 9, reaching $7.2bn in a reporting period that captured the US/Canada jobs disappointments and the media reporting of the BoJ’s intention to resume tightening by year end.The largest w/w swings were observed in JPY and EUR, as both net longs increased. The CHF short widened modestly, and all of the remaining currencies saw there positions remain largely unchanged w/w.The EUR remains the largest net long, followed by JPY, with MXN a distant third. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CFTC Weekly Sentiment Report - JPY Sees Massive Speculative Swing On BoJ Tightening Report

United Kingdom

The British Pound Sterling is the official currency of The United Kingdom. 

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GBP (GBPUSD CURNCY)

US Dollar is Dead Redux

This note extensively focuses on sentiment as the market is overwhelmed with the Negative Dollar narrative that is mainstream. And it begs the...

Untying The Gordian Knot

Global FX: Dollar oscillates; more fiscal clarity for GBP & CAD

The US dollar remains strong amidst market volatility, the shutdown sets a new record, Eurodollar volatility persists, JPMorgan analyzes AI's...

At Any Rate

Actinver Research - Mexican Peso Trading

The Bank for International Settlements’ (BIS) triennial survey highlights the continued expansion of global foreign exchange activity.

Actinver

CFTC Weekly Sentiment Report - JPY Net Long Sees Sizeable Build , Likely Driven By Hawkish BoJ

The aggregate USD short widened modestly in the week ended September 23, with a $0.8bn w/w build to $8.6bn. This was the third consecutive week of...

Scotiabank

CFTC Weekly Sentiment Report - JPY Sees Massive Speculative Swing On BoJ Tightening Report

The aggregate USD short widened a notable $2.1bn in the week ended September 9, reaching $7.2bn in a reporting period that captured the US/Canada...

Scotiabank

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