Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>For September 2026, 11 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$26bn.</li>
<li>
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in September was ~46%; and a year-to-date average of ~45%.</li>
<li>The average premiums for transactions in 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, and 2019 were 49%, 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.</li>
</ul>


For September 2026, 11 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$26bn.

The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in September was ~46%; and a year-to-date average of ~45%.
The average premiums for transactions in 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, and 2019 were 49%, 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.


Asia-Pac M&A [Sept 2026 Wrap]: Northern Star, Kadoya Sesame, Ingenia, Leopalace21, IDP, Sharingtech

<ul>
<li>On the 13th July 2026, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ooh-media-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8662:1" rel="noopener">oOh!Media Ltd (OML AU)</a>, Australia's No.1 player in outdoor advertising, announced three NBIOs (I-Squared, Pacific Equity Partners (PEP), and Oaktree), and due diligence was afforded.</li>
<li>On 10 August 2026, OML and I-Squared announced a Scheme Implementation Deed under which I-Squared would acquire OML for A$1.70/share in cash. Reportedly, neither PEP nor Oaktree lodged final bids</li>
<li>
<a href="https://announcements.asx.com.au/asxpdf/20260929/pdf/074nmxczhqcflz.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">The Scheme Booklet is now out</a>, with a 2nd November Scheme Meeting, and expected implementation on the 26th November. The IE (Grant Samuel) concluded " fair and reasonable". Clean deal.</li>
</ul>


On the 13th July 2026, oOh!Media Ltd (OML AU), Australia's No.1 player in outdoor advertising, announced three NBIOs (I-Squared, Pacific Equity Partners (PEP), and Oaktree), and due diligence was afforded.
On 10 August 2026, OML and I-Squared announced a Scheme Implementation Deed under which I-Squared would acquire OML for A$1.70/share in cash. Reportedly, neither PEP nor Oaktree lodged final bids

The Scheme Booklet is now out, with a 2nd November Scheme Meeting, and expected implementation on the 26th November. The IE (Grant Samuel) concluded " fair and reasonable". Clean deal.


OOh!Media (OML AU): 2nd November Vote On I-Squared's A$1.70/Share Fair Offer

Kobayashi Pharmaceutical Co / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>I tally 36 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.</li>
<li>Three new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/global-lithium-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34827:1" rel="noopener">Global Lithium Resources Ltd (GL1 AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/idp-education-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1098:1" rel="noopener">IDP Education (IEL AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kobayashi-pharmaceutical-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14930:1" rel="noopener">Kobayashi Pharmaceutical Co (4967 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news also took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ofx-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8376:1" rel="noopener">OFX Group (OFX AU)</a>,<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/changhong-jiahua-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5849:1" rel="noopener">Changhong Jiahua (3991 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ajinomoto-malaysia-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12499:1" rel="noopener">Ajinomoto Malaysia (AJI MK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/carnaby-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4197:1" rel="noopener">Carnaby Resources (CNB AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/reliance-worldwide-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22690:1" rel="noopener">Reliance Worldwide Corp (RWC AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 36 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.
Three new deals were discussed on Smartkarma this week: Global Lithium Resources Ltd (GL1 AU), IDP Education (IEL AU), and Kobayashi Pharmaceutical Co (4967 JP).
Key updates/news also took place on: OFX Group (OFX AU),Changhong Jiahua (3991 HK), Ajinomoto Malaysia (AJI MK), Carnaby Resources (CNB AU), and Reliance Worldwide Corp (RWC AU).


Asia-Pac Weekly Wrap: Kobayashi Pharma, Global Lithium, IDP, OFX, Ajinomoto, Reliance Worldwide

<ul>
<li>I tally 37- mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.</li>
<li>Two new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: Tender Offers for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/leopalace21-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8244:1" rel="noopener">Leopalace21 Corp (8848 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kadoya-sesame-mills-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10367:1" rel="noopener">Kadoya Sesame Mills (2612 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news also took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/transpacific-industries-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19885:1" rel="noopener">Cleanaway Waste Management (CWY AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/european-lithium-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10716:1" rel="noopener">European Lithium (EUR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gabia-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13535:1" rel="noopener">Gabia Inc (079940 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/refine-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34857:1" rel="noopener">Refine Co Ltd (377450 KS)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fleetpartners-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:339:1" rel="noopener">FleetPartners Group (FPR AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 37- mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.
Two new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: Tender Offers for Leopalace21 Corp (8848 JP) and Kadoya Sesame Mills (2612 JP).
Key updates/news also took place on: Cleanaway Waste Management (CWY AU), European Lithium (EUR AU), Gabia Inc (079940 KS), Refine Co Ltd (377450 KS), and FleetPartners Group (FPR AU).


Asia-Pac Weekly Wrap: Leopalace21, Cleanaway, Kadoya Sesame Mills, Gabia, Refine, FleetPartners

<ul>
<li>You probably have downside to ¥3,720 if EQT's bid lapses. Downside may be limited to ¥3,760 if <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakaku-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7408:1" rel="noopener">Kakaku.com (2371 JP)</a> convinces Bain to bid up to negotiate with KDDI.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/northern-star-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4243:1" rel="noopener">Northern Star Resources (NST AU)</a> extends an olive branch to Elliott, (temporarily?) avoiding a proxy fight.</li>
<li>If one wants SBI to raise the price for<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/base-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28353:1" rel="noopener"> (4477 JP)</a>, it behooves the market to trade at ¥345 again. Get long, or get longer.</li>
</ul>


You probably have downside to ¥3,720 if EQT's bid lapses. Downside may be limited to ¥3,760 if Kakaku.com (2371 JP) convinces Bain to bid up to negotiate with KDDI.

Northern Star Resources (NST AU) extends an olive branch to Elliott, (temporarily?) avoiding a proxy fight.
If one wants SBI to raise the price for (4477 JP), it behooves the market to trade at ¥345 again. Get long, or get longer.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Kakaku, Northern Star Resources, BASE Inc, Reliance Worldwide, Cloudbreak

Hong Kong

Maxnerva Technology Services is an investment holding company operating in the Industrial Solution, Smart Office, and New Retail business sectors. The company provides smart manufacturing solutions, including software systems, automation equipment, and facility management, as well as smart office equipment and digital retail signage solutions. It was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Tsim Sha Tsui East, Hong Kong.

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Maxnerva Technology Services (1037 HK)

Asia-Pac M&A [Sept 2026 Wrap]: Northern Star, Kadoya Sesame, Ingenia, Leopalace21, IDP, Sharingtech

For the month of Sept, 11 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma, with an overall deal size of ~US$26bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac Weekly Wrap: Kobayashi Pharma, Global Lithium, IDP, OFX, Ajinomoto, Reliance Worldwide

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac Weekly Wrap: Leopalace21, Cleanaway, Kadoya Sesame Mills, Gabia, Refine, FleetPartners

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week In Event SPACE: Kakaku, Northern Star Resources, BASE Inc, Reliance Worldwide, Cloudbreak

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

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Market Cap (USDm)

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Asia-Pac M&A [Sept 2026 Wrap]: Northern Star, Kadoya Sesame, Ingenia, Leopalace21, IDP, Sharingtech

For the month of Sept, 11 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma, with an overall deal size of ~US$26bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

OOh!Media (OML AU): 2nd November Vote On I-Squared's A$1.70/Share Fair Offer

Trading super tight at 0.9%/5.9%, gross/annualised. Unless already in and/or can take advantage of the franking credits, I'd be looking elsewhere.

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac Weekly Wrap: Kobayashi Pharma, Global Lithium, IDP, OFX, Ajinomoto, Reliance Worldwide

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Asia-Pac Weekly Wrap: Leopalace21, Cleanaway, Kadoya Sesame Mills, Gabia, Refine, FleetPartners

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week In Event SPACE: Kakaku, Northern Star Resources, BASE Inc, Reliance Worldwide, Cloudbreak

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett