Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Since the last rebalancing of our portfolio on 5th September, it has returned 13.5% vs 9.5% from MSCI-Asia-ex-Japan. Since inception (15th May), our portfolio has appreciated 20.1% vs MXASJ's 18.6%.</li>
<li>Six stocks, SK Hynix, TSMC, Samsung Electronics, Alibaba, China Hongqiao, Tencent, contributed almost the entire return of our portfolio. Overweight on Korea drove more than half the portfolio's return.</li>
<li>We turn more selective on Chinese discretionary consumption and step into the Korean defense sector. We exclude Anta Sports and Mediatek and include Hyundai Rotem and Hon Hai Precision.</li>
</ul>


Since the last rebalancing of our portfolio on 5th September, it has returned 13.5% vs 9.5% from MSCI-Asia-ex-Japan. Since inception (15th May), our portfolio has appreciated 20.1% vs MXASJ's 18.6%.
Six stocks, SK Hynix, TSMC, Samsung Electronics, Alibaba, China Hongqiao, Tencent, contributed almost the entire return of our portfolio. Overweight on Korea drove more than half the portfolio's return.
We turn more selective on Chinese discretionary consumption and step into the Korean defense sector. We exclude Anta Sports and Mediatek and include Hyundai Rotem and Hon Hai Precision.


Asian Equities: Model Portfolio Outperformed Sharply; Less China Consumption, More Korea Defence

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (TSM US)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>US Eyes New AI Chip Restrictions on Malaysia and Thailand</li>
<li>Chip and AI Boom Driving Taiwan's Offshore Wind Expansion -- Local Stocks to Watch</li>
<li>China Set to Become World’s Largest Semiconductor Foundry Hub by 2030 -- But One Needs to Consider Leading Edge Capacity vs. Mature Capacity</li>
</ul>


US Eyes New AI Chip Restrictions on Malaysia and Thailand
Chip and AI Boom Driving Taiwan's Offshore Wind Expansion -- Local Stocks to Watch
China Set to Become World’s Largest Semiconductor Foundry Hub by 2030 -- But One Needs to Consider Leading Edge Capacity vs. Mature Capacity


Taiwan Tech Weekly: US Targets Malaysia & Thailand; Wind Power Fuels Taiwan's AI Infrastructure Push

<ul>
<li>Intel Down But Not Out -- Reportedly Wins Major Microsoft Foundry Contract; Significant Interest from Nvidia and Google</li>
<li>AMD CEO Lisa Su Presents to U.S. Senate -- Taiwan is America’s Key Ally in the AI Chip Race</li>
<li>Mediatek Approaching Potential Share Catalyst at Computex Taiwan; Nvidia PC PC Announcement Expected</li>
</ul>


Intel Down But Not Out -- Reportedly Wins Major Microsoft Foundry Contract; Significant Interest from Nvidia and Google
AMD CEO Lisa Su Presents to U.S. Senate -- Taiwan is America’s Key Ally in the AI Chip Race
Mediatek Approaching Potential Share Catalyst at Computex Taiwan; Nvidia PC PC Announcement Expected


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Intel Foundry Gains Big Tech Interest; AMD CEO Champions Taiwan in D.C

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

<ul>
<li>Mediatek beats in 1Q, good guidance for 2Q, but close to Consensus. Several positives in 2025: flagship smartphone gains, smartphone AI upgrades, strong WiFi and Connectivity growth, progress in Auto.</li>
<li>How large is the “sizable revenue” opportunity of data center custom ASICs from 2026? Management sounds increasingly positive / confident. The stock valuations reflect this.</li>
<li>The stock trades at 18.5x 2025 EPS, 15.5x 2026 EPS, not extravagant but on the high-end. If you have the stock, keep it. If you don’t, TSMC looks more interesting.  </li>
</ul>


Mediatek beats in 1Q, good guidance for 2Q, but close to Consensus. Several positives in 2025: flagship smartphone gains, smartphone AI upgrades, strong WiFi and Connectivity growth, progress in Auto.
How large is the “sizable revenue” opportunity of data center custom ASICs from 2026? Management sounds increasingly positive / confident. The stock valuations reflect this.
The stock trades at 18.5x 2025 EPS, 15.5x 2026 EPS, not extravagant but on the high-end. If you have the stock, keep it. If you don’t, TSMC looks more interesting.  


Mediatek 1Q25 6% Beat, Growth Accelerating in 2Q, Large Revenue Opportunity for Data Center ASIC

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

<ul>
<li>From mid-Feb-25 to yesterday, MTK's stock has declined -18% versus TSM -25%. Similar enough.  But Mediatek is trading at average forward PEx 16.6x whereas TSMC is cheap at 12.8x. </li>
<li>Consensus forecasts more growth for TSM over 2025-27, a strong 2025 with EPS up 33%. Less growth for MTK, a slow 2025 with EPS up 9%. Why MTK more expensive? </li>
<li>Higher growth but lower PEx, how much risk in TSM earnings? Low valuations could reflect a misunderstanding on the impact of US import tariffs. </li>
</ul>


From mid-Feb-25 to yesterday, MTK's stock has declined -18% versus TSM -25%. Similar enough.  But Mediatek is trading at average forward PEx 16.6x whereas TSMC is cheap at 12.8x. 
Consensus forecasts more growth for TSM over 2025-27, a strong 2025 with EPS up 33%. Less growth for MTK, a slow 2025 with EPS up 9%. Why MTK more expensive? 
Higher growth but lower PEx, how much risk in TSM earnings? Low valuations could reflect a misunderstanding on the impact of US import tariffs. 


Is the Valuations Divergence Justified? Mediatek Vs TSMC

Taiwan

MediaTek Inc. is a fabless semiconductor company for wireless communications and digital multimedia solutions. The company provides SOC system solutions for wireless communications, high-definition TV, optical storage, DVD and Blu-ray products.

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Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)

Asian Equities: Model Portfolio Outperformed Sharply; Less China Consumption, More Korea Defence

China's economic data (FAI & industrial growth sharply lower than expected, retail sales growth underwhelming) underscores the need for nuanced...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Taiwan Tech Weekly: US Targets Malaysia & Thailand; Wind Power Fuels Taiwan's AI Infrastructure Push

US considering new AI chip restrictions on Malaysia and Thailand, Taiwan's offshore wind expansion driven by chip and AI boom, Intel should invest...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Intel Foundry Gains Big Tech Interest; AMD CEO Champions Taiwan in D.C

Intel secures Microsoft contract, AMD emphasizes Taiwan alliance in AI chip race, Mediatek poised for growth at Computex Taiwan.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Mediatek 1Q25 6% Beat, Growth Accelerating in 2Q, Large Revenue Opportunity for Data Center ASIC

Mediatek's strong performance in 1Q and positive outlook for 2Q, with potential growth in flagship smartphones, AI upgrades, and connectivity, but...

Nicolas Baratte

Is the Valuations Divergence Justified? Mediatek Vs TSMC

MTK's stock has declined less than TSM's, but TSMC is cheaper with higher growth forecasts. Low valuations for TSM could be due to...

Nicolas Baratte

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Asian Equities: Model Portfolio Outperformed Sharply; Less China Consumption, More Korea Defence

China's economic data (FAI & industrial growth sharply lower than expected, retail sales growth underwhelming) underscores the need for nuanced...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Taiwan Tech Weekly: US Targets Malaysia & Thailand; Wind Power Fuels Taiwan's AI Infrastructure Push

​US considering new AI chip restrictions on Malaysia and Thailand, Taiwan's offshore wind expansion driven by chip and AI boom, Intel should invest...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Intel Foundry Gains Big Tech Interest; AMD CEO Champions Taiwan in D.C

​Intel secures Microsoft contract, AMD emphasizes Taiwan alliance in AI chip race, Mediatek poised for growth at Computex Taiwan.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Mediatek 1Q25 6% Beat, Growth Accelerating in 2Q, Large Revenue Opportunity for Data Center ASIC

​Mediatek's strong performance in 1Q and positive outlook for 2Q, with potential growth in flagship smartphones, AI upgrades, and connectivity, but...

Nicolas Baratte

Is the Valuations Divergence Justified? Mediatek Vs TSMC

​MTK's stock has declined less than TSM's, but TSMC is cheaper with higher growth forecasts. Low valuations for TSM could be due to...

Nicolas Baratte

US considering new AI chip restrictions on Malaysia and Thailand, Taiwan's offshore wind expansion driven by chip and AI boom, Intel should invest...

Intel secures Microsoft contract, AMD emphasizes Taiwan alliance in AI chip race, Mediatek poised for growth at Computex Taiwan.

Mediatek's strong performance in 1Q and positive outlook for 2Q, with potential growth in flagship smartphones, AI upgrades, and connectivity, but...

MTK's stock has declined less than TSM's, but TSMC is cheaper with higher growth forecasts. Low valuations for TSM could be due to...