Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The January 2023 TOPIX FFW Trade was announced today. The two-way trade is worth about ¥325bn. </li>
<li>There are four ADDs previously discussed: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sun-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36668:1" rel="noopener">Sun* (4053 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/appier-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32165:1" rel="noopener">Appier Group (4180 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chubu-steel-plate-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18535:1" rel="noopener">Chubu Steel Plate (5461 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chubu-steel-plate-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18535:1" rel="noopener">Chubu Steel Plate (5461 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>There are 57 downweights, 11 upweights (but only seven FFW buys). The rest is reverse funding to buy. There are 10 names with &gt;$10mm AND &gt;3 days ADV to sell.</li>
</ul>


The January 2023 TOPIX FFW Trade was announced today. The two-way trade is worth about ¥325bn. 
There are four ADDs previously discussed: Sun* (4053 JP), Appier Group (4180 JP), Chubu Steel Plate (5461 JP), and Chubu Steel Plate (5461 JP). 
There are 57 downweights, 11 upweights (but only seven FFW buys). The rest is reverse funding to buy. There are 10 names with &gt;$10mm AND &gt;3 days ADV to sell.


January TOPIX FFW Review - Some Big Sells

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Skymark Airlines / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/skymark-airlines-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20430:1" rel="noopener">Skymark Airlines (9204 JP)</a> raised US$242m in its Japan IPO. Skymark Airlines (SA) is a Japanese low-cost airline, being the third largest domestic airline according to the company.</li>
<li>SA began its operations in Japan as a domestic airline and gradually increased the number of routes offered to passengers. However, it has a mired history of bankruptcy.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance and talked about valuations. In this note, we’ll talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Skymark Airlines (9204 JP) raised US$242m in its Japan IPO. Skymark Airlines (SA) is a Japanese low-cost airline, being the third largest domestic airline according to the company.
SA began its operations in Japan as a domestic airline and gradually increased the number of routes offered to passengers. However, it has a mired history of bankruptcy.
In our previous notes, we looked at the company’s past performance and talked about valuations. In this note, we’ll talk about the trading dynamics.


Skymark Airlines IPO Trading - Subscription Has Been Strong Despite Asking More than Peers

Telco/Internet specialist

Kirk Boodry

Redex Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Domestic results were better than we expected driving operating income to its highest level in six quarters.  Management will launch credit card services to boost fintech exposure</li>
<li>The US business remains a drag on results with platform sales down 5% YoY and expanding operating losses. A downgrade to expectations is likely in the quarters ahead</li>
<li>Q1 results were better than we expected but a weak US business and higher spending ahead may disappoint markets that bid shares 28% higher over the last month</li>
</ul>


Domestic results were better than we expected driving operating income to its highest level in six quarters.  Management will launch credit card services to boost fintech exposure
The US business remains a drag on results with platform sales down 5% YoY and expanding operating losses. A downgrade to expectations is likely in the quarters ahead
Q1 results were better than we expected but a weak US business and higher spending ahead may disappoint markets that bid shares 28% higher over the last month


Mercari - Q1 23 Results Reaction: Strong Domestic Drives OP Beat but Spending to Rise

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/socionext-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36351:1" rel="noopener">Socionext (6526 JP)</a> raised around US$463m in its Japan IPO. The IPO consisted of 100% secondary shares.</li>
<li>Socionext is a fabless semiconductor provider which commenced operations after integrating the system on a chip (SoC) businesses of Fujitsu Semiconductor Limited and Panasonic Holding Corporation.  </li>
<li>In this note we will talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Socionext (6526 JP) raised around US$463m in its Japan IPO. The IPO consisted of 100% secondary shares.
Socionext is a fabless semiconductor provider which commenced operations after integrating the system on a chip (SoC) businesses of Fujitsu Semiconductor Limited and Panasonic Holding Corporation.  
In this note we will talk about the trading dynamics.


Socionext IPO Trading - Upsized IPO with Strong Demand. Peers Inched Downwards, but Upside Remains

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

<ul>
<li>The sell-side analyst community seems anchored to the view that Mercari is a growth stock</li>
<li>Analysts seem reluctant to turn negative on the name despite taking a large knife to earnings estimates</li>
<li>We repeat our view that the company faces a challenging couple of years and that the stock is still significantly overvalued</li>
</ul>


The sell-side analyst community seems anchored to the view that Mercari is a growth stock
Analysts seem reluctant to turn negative on the name despite taking a large knife to earnings estimates
We repeat our view that the company faces a challenging couple of years and that the stock is still significantly overvalued


Mercari (4385) | Analysts Anchored to Outdated Views

Japan

Mercari, Inc. operates as an electronic commercial company. The Company offers electronic commercial software, operation management, marketing planning, and other marketplace services. Mercari serves customers worldwide.

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Mercari (4385 JP)

January TOPIX FFW Review - Some Big Sells

The TOPIX January 2023 FFW trade was announced today. 57 down-weights, 11 FFW up-weights. The Phased Weight Reduction has its second leg. Total to...

Travis Lundy

Skymark Airlines IPO Trading - Subscription Has Been Strong Despite Asking More than Peers

Skymark Airlines (9204 JP) raised US$242m in its Japan IPO. Skymark Airlines (SA) is a Japanese low-cost airline, being the third largest domestic...

Clarence Chu

Mercari - Q1 23 Results Reaction: Strong Domestic Drives OP Beat but Spending to Rise

Results for the domestic business were strong and fintech expansion could be interesting but associated spending and a weak US business may...

Kirk Boodry

Socionext IPO Trading - Upsized IPO with Strong Demand. Peers Inched Downwards, but Upside Remains

Socionext (6526 JP) raised around US$463m in its Japan IPO. The IPO consisted of 100% secondary shares. In this note we will talk about the trading...

Clarence Chu

Mercari (4385) | Analysts Anchored to Outdated Views

The analyst community remains too bullish on Mercari. We have a consensus Bearish view and see up to 40% downside from the stock.

Mark Chadwick

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