Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Same as last quarter: very strong AI / Server demand, capacity sold out for 12 months, HBM3E 12Hi becomes majority in 2Q25. HBM is the only driver. </li>
<li>Everything else remains weak. The conundrum remains: there is only 1 driver: AI / HBM. SK Hynix is the leading vendor, 12-18 months ahead of competitors. Is it sustainable? </li>
<li>The market thinks not sustainable and the stock is very cheap at 5x 2025 4x 2026 EPS. SK Hynix still trades like a cyclical stock – is it?</li>
</ul>


Same as last quarter: very strong AI / Server demand, capacity sold out for 12 months, HBM3E 12Hi becomes majority in 2Q25. HBM is the only driver. 
Everything else remains weak. The conundrum remains: there is only 1 driver: AI / HBM. SK Hynix is the leading vendor, 12-18 months ahead of competitors. Is it sustainable? 
The market thinks not sustainable and the stock is very cheap at 5x 2025 4x 2026 EPS. SK Hynix still trades like a cyclical stock – is it?


SK Hynix: Record-High Profits, the Stock Gets Cheaper.

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Global semiconductor sales for the month of January 2025 hit $56.5 billion, an increase of 17.9% YoY, but down 1.7% MoM</li>
<li>TSMC is also off to an excellent start in 2025. YTD revenues through February are up 39.2%.</li>
<li>2025 Semi forecast? Think 2024 without the memory boom and way more volatility</li>
</ul>


Global semiconductor sales for the month of January 2025 hit $56.5 billion, an increase of 17.9% YoY, but down 1.7% MoM
TSMC is also off to an excellent start in 2025. YTD revenues through February are up 39.2%.
2025 Semi forecast? Think 2024 without the memory boom and way more volatility


Semiconductors. Key Indicator Updates, 2024 In Review, 2025 Forecasts

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>Google Diversifying from Broadcom to Mediatek for Next Generation AI Chip</li>
<li>Hon Hai CEO: Clients' U.S.-Based Tech Manufacturing Set To Expand</li>
<li>Memory Monitor: Multiple Reports Indicate Rising NAND &amp; DRAM Prices</li>
</ul>


Google Diversifying from Broadcom to Mediatek for Next Generation AI Chip
Hon Hai CEO: Clients' U.S.-Based Tech Manufacturing Set To Expand
Memory Monitor: Multiple Reports Indicate Rising NAND &amp; DRAM Prices


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Mediatek Wins Google AI Chip from Broadcom; Hon Hai to Expand U.S. Production

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>Apple’s AI struggle. Google’s Gemini has won? TSMC ex-Chairman is joining Micron’s board</li>
<li>SK Hynix out of image sensors. Korean Gvt launch US$100bn fund for strategic industries</li>
<li>Stargate first data center is under way. Close to 100k Nvidia GPU in 2026. Hon Hai makes the servers.</li>
</ul>


Apple’s AI struggle. Google’s Gemini has won? TSMC ex-Chairman is joining Micron’s board
SK Hynix out of image sensors. Korean Gvt launch US$100bn fund for strategic industries
Stargate first data center is under way. Close to 100k Nvidia GPU in 2026. Hon Hai makes the servers.


Tech News This Week. Apple AI, TSMC, Korea's Giga-Fund, Stargate

<ul>
<li>Nanya Tech Soared in February on DRAM Recovery and Custom HBM News</li>
<li>Nanya’s Custom HBM Strategy &amp; the Positive DRAM Market Outlook</li>
<li>Memory Monitor Universe: SK Hynix &amp; Micron Still Have Strong FY2025E Expected Growth; Nanya Tech Still Negative</li>
</ul>


Nanya Tech Soared in February on DRAM Recovery and Custom HBM News
Nanya’s Custom HBM Strategy &amp; the Positive DRAM Market Outlook
Memory Monitor Universe: SK Hynix &amp; Micron Still Have Strong FY2025E Expected Growth; Nanya Tech Still Negative


Memory Monitor: Nanya Tech Soared on DRAM Recovery and Custom HBM News

United States

Micron Technology, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets dynamic random access memory chips (DRAMs), very fast static random access memory chips (SRAMs), Flash Memory, other semiconductor components, and memory modules.

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Micron Technology (MU US)

SK Hynix: Record-High Profits, the Stock Gets Cheaper.

Strong AI and server demand driving SK Hynix's success, but market questions sustainability of HBM as stock remains undervalued.

Nicolas Baratte

Semiconductors. Key Indicator Updates, 2024 In Review, 2025 Forecasts

2025 Semi forecast? Think 2024 without the memory boom and way more volatility. Chaos will ultimately beget opportunity, just not yet...

William Keating

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Mediatek Wins Google AI Chip from Broadcom; Hon Hai to Expand U.S. Production

Google is switching from Broadcom to Mediatek for AI chips, Hon Hai CEO predicts growth in U.S.-based tech manufacturing, and reports show...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tech News This Week. Apple AI, TSMC, Korea's Giga-Fund, Stargate

Apple AI adopting Google Gemini. TSMC ex-Chairman joins Micron board. SK Hynix exits image sensors, Korean Govt launches $100bn fund. Stargate...

Nicolas Baratte

Memory Monitor: Nanya Tech Soared on DRAM Recovery and Custom HBM News

Nanya Tech sees growth in February from DRAM recovery and custom HBM strategy, but still lags behind SK Hynix and Micron in expected growth for 2025.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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SK Hynix: Record-High Profits, the Stock Gets Cheaper.

​Strong AI and server demand driving SK Hynix's success, but market questions sustainability of HBM as stock remains undervalued.

Nicolas Baratte

Semiconductors. Key Indicator Updates, 2024 In Review, 2025 Forecasts

2025 Semi forecast? Think 2024 without the memory boom and way more volatility. Chaos will ultimately beget opportunity, just not yet...

William Keating

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Mediatek Wins Google AI Chip from Broadcom; Hon Hai to Expand U.S. Production

​Google is switching from Broadcom to Mediatek for AI chips, Hon Hai CEO predicts growth in U.S.-based tech manufacturing, and reports show...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Tech News This Week. Apple AI, TSMC, Korea's Giga-Fund, Stargate

​Apple AI adopting Google Gemini. TSMC ex-Chairman joins Micron board. SK Hynix exits image sensors, Korean Govt launches $100bn fund. Stargate...

Nicolas Baratte

Memory Monitor: Nanya Tech Soared on DRAM Recovery and Custom HBM News

​Nanya Tech sees growth in February from DRAM recovery and custom HBM strategy, but still lags behind SK Hynix and Micron in expected growth for 2025.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Strong AI and server demand driving SK Hynix's success, but market questions sustainability of HBM as stock remains undervalued.

Google is switching from Broadcom to Mediatek for AI chips, Hon Hai CEO predicts growth in U.S.-based tech manufacturing, and reports show...

Apple AI adopting Google Gemini. TSMC ex-Chairman joins Micron board. SK Hynix exits image sensors, Korean Govt launches $100bn fund. Stargate...

Nanya Tech sees growth in February from DRAM recovery and custom HBM strategy, but still lags behind SK Hynix and Micron in expected growth for 2025.