Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Despite the chip market's 19% overall 2024 Y/Y increase, the only real growth was in semiconductors for AI applications.  A turn in the AI business could cause a collapse.</li>
<li>Outside of AI, growth was significantly more modest at 4.8%, which is good compared to the industry's historical growth rate of 3.9%, but is nowhere near the 19% overall number.</li>
<li>The US' trade sanctions appear to be having some impact on chip shipments to China vs. the Americas, but this may be an illusion.</li>
</ul>


Despite the chip market's 19% overall 2024 Y/Y increase, the only real growth was in semiconductors for AI applications.  A turn in the AI business could cause a collapse.
Outside of AI, growth was significantly more modest at 4.8%, which is good compared to the industry's historical growth rate of 3.9%, but is nowhere near the 19% overall number.
The US' trade sanctions appear to be having some impact on chip shipments to China vs. the Americas, but this may be an illusion.


What Do Detailed 2024 Semi Stats Tell Us?

Founder at Stock Spin-off Investing, Stock Spin-Off Investing

Richard Howe

Founder at Stock Spin-off Investing

Stock Spin-Off Investing

Generate attractive returns by taking advantage of inefficiencies in the stock spin-off market.

Stock Spin-offs

Event-Driven

<ul><li>On February 24, 2025, Western Digital (WDC) will spin-off 80.1% of its stake in Sandisk (SNDK).</li><li>Sandisk is trading in the when issued market at $48.26. At that share price, SNDK is trading at an EV/ annualized revenue of 1.0x and a price to annualized earnings of 9.9x.</li><li>This price looks relatively attractive given Sandisk’s NAND flash memory partner, Xioxia, is trading at 1.3x TTM revenue.</li></ul>

On February 24, 2025, Western Digital (WDC) will spin-off 80.1% of its stake in Sandisk (SNDK).Sandisk is trading in the when issued market at $48.26. At that share price, SNDK is trading at an EV/ annualized revenue of 1.0x and a price to annualized earnings of 9.9x.This price looks relatively attractive given Sandisk’s NAND flash memory partner, Xioxia, is trading at 1.3x TTM revenue.

<ul>
<li>A new AI platform named DeepSeek threatens today's Large Language Model status quo</li>
<li>Certain chip companies have become over-dependent on AI, including Nvidia, Samsung, SK hynix, and Micron, and their stock has tumbled</li>
<li>It's too early to tell what will occur over the long term</li>
</ul>


A new AI platform named DeepSeek threatens today's Large Language Model status quo
Certain chip companies have become over-dependent on AI, including Nvidia, Samsung, SK hynix, and Micron, and their stock has tumbled
It's too early to tell what will occur over the long term


Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Silicon Motion Technology / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>What is PCIe 5.0 and Why SIMO is Poised to Expand Market Share with PCIe 5.0</li>
<li>PCIe 5.0 and Beyond -- Importance for Enterprise HPC and AI Data Centers</li>
<li>Looking Ahead: MaxLinear Arbitration in 2H25E -- We Believe SIMO Likely to Win Its Termination Fee Plus Additional Award for Additional Damages</li>
</ul>


What is PCIe 5.0 and Why SIMO is Poised to Expand Market Share with PCIe 5.0
PCIe 5.0 and Beyond -- Importance for Enterprise HPC and AI Data Centers
Looking Ahead: MaxLinear Arbitration in 2H25E -- We Believe SIMO Likely to Win Its Termination Fee Plus Additional Award for Additional Damages


Silicon Motion: Memory Controllers Emerging as Strategic Pillar for Global HPC and AI Leadership

Founder/CEO of ROK Advisory, ROK Advisory LLC

Ken S. Kim

Founder/CEO of ROK Advisory

ROK Advisory LLC

ROK is an independent research advisory firm. We guide you to minimize the information gap between foreign and local investors in Northeast Asia with a focus in Korea, Taiwan and Japan.

Independent Research Advisory Firm

<ul>
<li>Politics - where do we go from here and is more uncertainty ahead? </li>
<li>Changes to corporate governance for the better for minority investors? </li>
<li>Can the KOSPI perform if Samsung Electronics continues not to? </li>
</ul>


Politics - where do we go from here and is more uncertainty ahead? 
Changes to corporate governance for the better for minority investors? 
Can the KOSPI perform if Samsung Electronics continues not to? 


United States

Micron Technology, Inc., through its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets dynamic random access memory chips (DRAMs), very fast static random access memory chips (SRAMs), Flash Memory, other semiconductor components, and memory modules.

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Micron Technology (MU US)

What Do Detailed 2024 Semi Stats Tell Us?

The chip market saw 19% 2024 growth driven by AI semiconductors, but growth outside AI is modest. This is cause for concern. Meanwhile US trade...

Jim Handy

Sandisk Spin-off Overview

On February 24, 2025, Western Digital (WDC) will spin-off 80.1% of its stake in Sandisk (SNDK). Sandisk is trading in the when issued market at...

Richard Howe

Semiconductor's Over-Dependency on AI

The emergence of DeepSeek AI platform threatens current Large Language Models, causing stock tumbles for chip companies like Nvidia and Samsung....

Jim Handy

Silicon Motion: Memory Controllers Emerging as Strategic Pillar for Global HPC and AI Leadership

PCIe 5.0 is set to revolutionize data centers, with SIMO positioned to benefit from its expansion in the market. We also analyze a potential...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

2025 Korea

What to expect in Korea for 2025 after a doldrum 2024? Korea has been one of the better performers to start 2025...can it continue?

Ken S. Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

What Do Detailed 2024 Semi Stats Tell Us?

​The chip market saw 19% 2024 growth driven by AI semiconductors, but growth outside AI is modest. This is cause for concern. Meanwhile US trade...

Jim Handy

Sandisk Spin-off Overview

On February 24, 2025, Western Digital (WDC) will spin-off 80.1% of its stake in Sandisk (SNDK). Sandisk is trading in the when issued market at...

Richard Howe

Semiconductor's Over-Dependency on AI

​The emergence of DeepSeek AI platform threatens current Large Language Models, causing stock tumbles for chip companies like Nvidia and Samsung....

Jim Handy

Silicon Motion: Memory Controllers Emerging as Strategic Pillar for Global HPC and AI Leadership

​PCIe 5.0 is set to revolutionize data centers, with SIMO positioned to benefit from its expansion in the market. We also analyze a potential...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

2025 Korea

What to expect in Korea for 2025 after a doldrum 2024? Korea has been one of the better performers to start 2025...can it continue?

Ken S. Kim

The chip market saw 19% 2024 growth driven by AI semiconductors, but growth outside AI is modest. This is cause for concern. Meanwhile US trade...

The emergence of DeepSeek AI platform threatens current Large Language Models, causing stock tumbles for chip companies like Nvidia and Samsung....

PCIe 5.0 is set to revolutionize data centers, with SIMO positioned to benefit from its expansion in the market. We also analyze a potential...