Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In <a href="https://skr.ma/rLy5v" target="_blank" rel="noopener">StubWorld: Batu Kawan &amp; MKH Share Suspensions Point To MKHOP Exit</a>, I mused <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mkh-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6966:1" rel="noopener">MKH (MKH MK)</a>'s price movement suggested it was exiting <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mkh-oil-palm-east-kalimantan-berhad" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:50123:1" rel="noopener">MKH Oil Palm (MKHOP MK)</a>.</li>
<li>Not quite. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/batu-kawan-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8276:1" rel="noopener">Batu Kawan Bhd (BAK MK)</a>, the controlling shareholder of palm oil giant <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kuala-lumpur-kepong-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17039:1" rel="noopener">Kuala Lumpur Kepong (KLK MK)</a>, is taking out the Chen family's controlling stake (47.7%) in  MKH. </li>
<li>Should (or when) the unconditional and conditional share sale agreements complete, BAK will launch a conditional MGO for MAK @RM2/share and MKHOP (likely) at RM0.6478.</li>
</ul>


In StubWorld: Batu Kawan &amp; MKH Share Suspensions Point To MKHOP Exit, I mused MKH (MKH MK)'s price movement suggested it was exiting MKH Oil Palm (MKHOP MK).
Not quite. Batu Kawan Bhd (BAK MK), the controlling shareholder of palm oil giant Kuala Lumpur Kepong (KLK MK), is taking out the Chen family's controlling stake (47.7%) in  MKH. 
Should (or when) the unconditional and conditional share sale agreements complete, BAK will launch a conditional MGO for MAK @RM2/share and MKHOP (likely) at RM0.6478.


Batu Kawan's Conditional MGOs For MKH AND MKHOP

<ul>
<li>For September 2026, 11 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$26bn.</li>
<li>
The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in September was ~46%; and a year-to-date average of ~45%.</li>
<li>The average premiums for transactions in 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, and 2019 were 49%, 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.</li>
</ul>


For September 2026, 11 new transactions (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma (by the Quiddity team) with an overall announced deal size of ~US$26bn.

The average premium for the new transactions announced (or first discussed) in September was ~46%; and a year-to-date average of ~45%.
The average premiums for transactions in 2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, and 2019 were 49%, 43%, 39%, 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31%.


Asia-Pac M&A [Sept 2026 Wrap]: Northern Star, Kadoya Sesame, Ingenia, Leopalace21, IDP, Sharingtech

<ul>
<li>I tally 37- mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.</li>
<li>Two new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: Tender Offers for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/leopalace21-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8244:1" rel="noopener">Leopalace21 Corp (8848 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kadoya-sesame-mills-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10367:1" rel="noopener">Kadoya Sesame Mills (2612 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news also took place on: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/transpacific-industries-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19885:1" rel="noopener">Cleanaway Waste Management (CWY AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/european-lithium-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10716:1" rel="noopener">European Lithium (EUR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/gabia-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13535:1" rel="noopener">Gabia Inc (079940 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/refine-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34857:1" rel="noopener">Refine Co Ltd (377450 KS)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fleetpartners-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:339:1" rel="noopener">FleetPartners Group (FPR AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 37- mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.
Two new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this week: Tender Offers for Leopalace21 Corp (8848 JP) and Kadoya Sesame Mills (2612 JP).
Key updates/news also took place on: Cleanaway Waste Management (CWY AU), European Lithium (EUR AU), Gabia Inc (079940 KS), Refine Co Ltd (377450 KS), and FleetPartners Group (FPR AU).


Asia-Pac Weekly Wrap: Leopalace21, Cleanaway, Kadoya Sesame Mills, Gabia, Refine, FleetPartners

<ul>
<li>I tally 35 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.</li>
<li>Two new deals were was discussed on Smartkarma this week: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ingenia-communities-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5495:1" rel="noopener">Ingenia Communities (INA AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/albis-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16344:1" rel="noopener">Albis Co Ltd (7475 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sharingtechnology-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26948:1" rel="noopener">Sharingtechnology Inc (3989 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates/news also took place on:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakaku-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7408:1" rel="noopener">Kakaku.com Inc (2371 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zenith-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3234:1" rel="noopener">Zenith Minerals (ZNC AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cygnus-metals-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30504:1" rel="noopener">Cygnus Metals (CY5 AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


I tally 35 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - arb transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Those arbs metrics and upcoming events are detailed below.
Two new deals were was discussed on Smartkarma this week: Ingenia Communities (INA AU), Albis Co Ltd (7475 JP), and Sharingtechnology Inc (3989 JP).
Key updates/news also took place on:Kakaku.com Inc (2371 JP), Zenith Minerals (ZNC AU), and Cygnus Metals (CY5 AU).


Asia-Pac Weekly Wrap: Kakaku, Ingenia Communities, Albis, Sharingtechnology, Cygnus Metals

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-sheet-glass-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9013:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Sheet Glass (5202 JP)</a> is now down to "pure arb." All approvals are in. All financing done. The remaining trade is to buy and hold until the cash settles.</li>
<li>I see no startling revelation when inspecting <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guotai-junan-international-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13438:1" rel="noopener">Guotai Junan International (1788 HK)</a>'s s329 investigative reports.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/resonac-holdings-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1496:1" rel="noopener">Resonac (4004 JP)</a> is spinning off 80+% of its petrochemical division. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crasus-chemical" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:58630:1" rel="noopener">Crasus Chemical</a> is unlikely to stay in MSCI. Definitely not Nikkei 225. Big selling on Day 1 at the close likely.</li>
</ul>



Nippon Sheet Glass (5202 JP) is now down to "pure arb." All approvals are in. All financing done. The remaining trade is to buy and hold until the cash settles.
I see no startling revelation when inspecting Guotai Junan International (1788 HK)'s s329 investigative reports.

Resonac (4004 JP) is spinning off 80+% of its petrochemical division. Crasus Chemical is unlikely to stay in MSCI. Definitely not Nikkei 225. Big selling on Day 1 at the close likely.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Nippon Sheet Glass, Guotai Junan, Resonac, Skyworth, Fosun, Austal

Malaysia

MKH Berhad is a property development company. The Company's current portfolio comprises a range of developments across all property sectors which are mainly located in Kajang, Damansara, Semenyih, Serdang and Melawati. MKH is also involved in oil palm plantation, project management, property investment, construction and furniture manufacturing.

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Mkh Bhd (MKH MK)

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David Blennerhassett

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