External broker reports, Nordea

Nordea

External broker reports

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Nordea is the bank in the Nordics dedicated to serving corporations and institutional customers. Our offering includes a diverse range of financing, cash management and payment services, investment banking, capital markets products, securities services and more. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Norges Bank plans to increase NGB issuance to between 100 and 110 bn NOK in 2024, a large increase from the 80bn issued this year. </li><li>NGBs are mainly used to fund various government lending schemes, but the bulk of next year’s increase is not from these programs and a source of some uncertainty to us. </li><li>The Government Budget cites the end of the special income stream from the discontinuation of a government infrastructure fund (it added 100bn in 2023) as the reason behind the increased funding needs (“Gul bok” p44 and p88, in Norwegian only).</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Norges Bank plans to increase NGB issuance to between 100 and 110 bn NOK in 2024, a large increase from the 80bn issued this year. NGBs are mainly used to fund various government lending schemes, but the bulk of next year’s increase is not from these programs and a source of some uncertainty to us. The Government Budget cites the end of the special income stream from the discontinuation of a government infrastructure fund (it added 100bn in 2023) as the reason behind the increased funding needs (“Gul bok” p44 and p88, in Norwegian only).Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Junior Finance Analyst, Steno Research

Ulrik Simmelholt

Junior Finance Analyst

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

<ul><li>We’ll start today’s 5 things with a look at the central bank outlook for in 2024, then we’ll address the troubles for OPEC.</li><li>We move over to talk about China and afterwards Ukraine for some geopolitics.</li><li>Finally, we’ll end this year’s last 5 things with a crypto outlook.</li></ul>

We’ll start today’s 5 things with a look at the central bank outlook for in 2024, then we’ll address the troubles for OPEC.We move over to talk about China and afterwards Ukraine for some geopolitics.Finally, we’ll end this year’s last 5 things with a crypto outlook.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Scotiabank

Scotiabank

Scotiabank’s global foreign exchange strategy team provides in-depth regional insights and macro-economic analysis for G10 and advanced economies, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Find technical and fundamental strategy reports focused on trade ideas, market risks, and the unfolding macro outlook. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>High beta currencies have done well over the past week.</li><li>A crack in the Fed’s hawkishness at last Wednesday’s FOMC boosted risk appetite and lifted pro-cyclical currencies.</li><li>Top of the pack over the last five trading sessions is the NOK (helped by the jump in Brent around Red Sea focus, for sure), followed by the ZAR, AUD, SEK and NZD.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

High beta currencies have done well over the past week.A crack in the Fed’s hawkishness at last Wednesday’s FOMC boosted risk appetite and lifted pro-cyclical currencies.Top of the pack over the last five trading sessions is the NOK (helped by the jump in Brent around Red Sea focus, for sure), followed by the ZAR, AUD, SEK and NZD.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Snapshot - Stretched Valuation Does Not Preclude More USDCAD Losses

Metals, Ores, and Mining Firms, Mint Finance

Pranay Yadav

Metals, Ores, and Mining Firms

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

<ul>
<li>European banks opted to hold rates steady and their statements were more dovish than the Fed. ECB and BoE statements suggested rates would need to stay elevated for some time. </li>
<li>EU and UK economies are slowing sharply which draws concerns over how long rates can stay elevated without their economies tilting into recession.</li>
<li>UK and EU equities reacted negatively to the announcements while commodities rallied. Bond markets were largely unchanged. EUR and GBP outperformed JPY after the announcements while DXY fell further. </li>
</ul>


European banks opted to hold rates steady and their statements were more dovish than the Fed. ECB and BoE statements suggested rates would need to stay elevated for some time. 
EU and UK economies are slowing sharply which draws concerns over how long rates can stay elevated without their economies tilting into recession.
UK and EU equities reacted negatively to the announcements while commodities rallied. Bond markets were largely unchanged. EUR and GBP outperformed JPY after the announcements while DXY fell further. 


Mint Macro Roundup: BoE and ECB Policy Meetings

<ul><li>Norges Bank was the first and is now the last hawk amongst G10 central banks in this hiking cycle.</li><li>With a Fed and ECB pivot in sight, Norges Bank will need to keep rates higher for longer due to higher and more pronounced price pressures in the Norwegian economy than in the US and Europe.</li><li>The central bank needs a stronger NOK to bring the price pressure under control.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Norges Bank was the first and is now the last hawk amongst G10 central banks in this hiking cycle.With a Fed and ECB pivot in sight, Norges Bank will need to keep rates higher for longer due to higher and more pronounced price pressures in the Norwegian economy than in the US and Europe.The central bank needs a stronger NOK to bring the price pressure under control.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

NOK Update: Norges Bank Wants the NOK to Fly High

Norway

The Norwegian krone is the official currency of the Kingdom of Norway.  The US dollar is the official currency of the United States of America.

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NOK (USDNOK CURNCY)

NGB: Borrowing Programme 2024

Norges Bank plans a large increase in bond issuance next year and could at the same time restart their swap program. We comment on last week's...

Nordea

Five Things We Watch For In 2024

The thing to watch is probably employment numbers and once the labor markets start turning bad, expect CBs to cut in a hurry (especially if it is...

Steno Research

FX Snapshot - Stretched Valuation Does Not Preclude More USDCAD Losses

High beta currencies have done well over the past week. A crack in the Fed’s hawkishness at last Wednesday’s FOMC boosted risk appetite and lifted...

Scotiabank

Mint Macro Roundup: BoE and ECB Policy Meetings

European banks hold rates steady, but concerns arise over slowing economies and the need to keep rates elevated. Equities dip, commodities rise.

Mint Finance

NOK Update: Norges Bank Wants the NOK to Fly High

We also expect NOK sales on behalf of the Government to be halved next year, starting from January. This should also support the NOK ahead.

Nordea

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

NGB: Borrowing Programme 2024

Norges Bank plans a large increase in bond issuance next year and could at the same time restart their swap program. We comment on last week's...

Nordea

Five Things We Watch For In 2024

The thing to watch is probably employment numbers and once the labor markets start turning bad, expect CBs to cut in a hurry (especially if it is...

Steno Research

FX Snapshot - Stretched Valuation Does Not Preclude More USDCAD Losses

High beta currencies have done well over the past week. A crack in the Fed’s hawkishness at last Wednesday’s FOMC boosted risk appetite and lifted...

Scotiabank

Mint Macro Roundup: BoE and ECB Policy Meetings

​European banks hold rates steady, but concerns arise over slowing economies and the need to keep rates elevated. Equities dip, commodities rise.

Mint Finance

NOK Update: Norges Bank Wants the NOK to Fly High

We also expect NOK sales on behalf of the Government to be halved next year, starting from January. This should also support the NOK ahead.

Nordea

European banks hold rates steady, but concerns arise over slowing economies and the need to keep rates elevated. Equities dip, commodities rise.