Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

SK IE Technology   / Equity Capital Markets

<div class="content-highlight"><ul>
<li>SK IET plans to complete its IPO in May.  The IPO price range is from 78,000 won to 105,000 won. The IPO base deal size is from $1.5 billion to $2.0 billion. According to the bankers' valuation, the expected market cap of SK IET is from 5.6 trillion won to 7.5 trillion won. SK IET IPO will be the biggest IPO in Korea so far this year, beating <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-bioscience-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31484:1" rel="noopener">SK Bioscience (302440 KS)</a> which recently raised $1.3 billion in its IPO in March. </li>
<li>The company will offer 21.39 million shares in the IPO (8.56 million new shares and 12.83 million old shares). The offered shares of 21.39 million represents nearly 30% of the outstanding shares (post IPO), which is large relative to its total outstanding shares. SK Innovation, which has a 90% stake in SK IET, plans to sell a 22.7% stake in the company in this IPO. In September 2020, SK Innovation sold a 10% stake in <a href="https://www.kedglobal.com/newsView/ked202009220004" target="_blank" rel="noopener">SK IET</a> for 300 billion won to Premier Partners, a local fund management company. </li>
<li>SK IET generated 197 billion won in EBITDA in 2020. Applying a 48.1x EV/EBITDA multiple (average valuation multiple of the company's comps), this results in an EV of 9,458 billion won and implied market cap of 9,309 billion won (130,572 won per share). After applying IPO discount 19.6% - 40.3%, this results in an IPO price range of 78,000 - 105,000 won. </li>
</ul></div>


SK IET plans to complete its IPO in May.  The IPO price range is from 78,000 won to 105,000 won. The IPO base deal size is from $1.5 billion to $2.0 billion. According to the bankers' valuation, the expected market cap of SK IET is from 5.6 trillion won to 7.5 trillion won. SK IET IPO will be the biggest IPO in Korea so far this year, beating SK Bioscience (302440 KS) which recently raised $1.3 billion in its IPO in March. 
The company will offer 21.39 million shares in the IPO (8.56 million new shares and 12.83 million old shares). The offered shares of 21.39 million represents nearly 30% of the outstanding shares (post IPO), which is large relative to its total outstanding shares. SK Innovation, which has a 90% stake in SK IET, plans to sell a 22.7% stake in the company in this IPO. In September 2020, SK Innovation sold a 10% stake in SK IET for 300 billion won to Premier Partners, a local fund management company. 
SK IET generated 197 billion won in EBITDA in 2020. Applying a 48.1x EV/EBITDA multiple (average valuation multiple of the company's comps), this results in an EV of 9,458 billion won and implied market cap of 9,309 billion won (130,572 won per share). After applying IPO discount 19.6% - 40.3%, this results in an IPO price range of 78,000 - 105,000 won. 


Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Last Week in Event SPACE: Jardine Matheson/Strategic, Xiaomi, Vocus Comms, Sanken Electric, Cocokara

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

The Nikkei reported on Monday (08th March 2021) that the Japanese electronics maker <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/panasonic-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:222:1" rel="noopener">Panasonic Corp (6752 JP)</a>  is set to acquire Blue Yonder, a leader in the US supply chain software market for JPY700bn (approx. US$6.5bn). Blue Yonder is mainly focused on supply chain management and Panasonic in May 2020 bought a 20% stake in the former for about JPY86bn.Panasonic is said to be in the final stages of purchasing the rest of Blue Yonder’s shares from its other shareholders that include Blackstone Group and New Mountain Capital. If completed, the deal would mark Panasonic’s largest M&amp;A since 2011 where it spent JPY800bn on making Sanyo Electric and Panasonic Electric Works wholly owned subsidiaries.

The Nikkei reported on Monday (08th March 2021) that the Japanese electronics maker Panasonic Corp (6752 JP)  is set to acquire Blue Yonder, a leader in the US supply chain software market for JPY700bn (approx. US$6.5bn). Blue Yonder is mainly focused on supply chain management and Panasonic in May 2020 bought a 20% stake in the former for about JPY86bn.Panasonic is said to be in the final stages of purchasing the rest of Blue Yonder’s shares from its other shareholders that include Blackstone Group and New Mountain Capital. If completed, the deal would mark Panasonic’s largest M&amp;A since 2011 where it spent JPY800bn on making Sanyo Electric and Panasonic Electric Works wholly owned subsidiaries.

Panasonic in Talks to Buy Blue Yonder; Supply Chain Management Likely to Be a Key Growth Driver

Travis Lundy

Last Friday, mid-cap specialist elevator maker (in the top ten globally) <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fujitec-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11686:1" rel="noopener">Fujitec Co Ltd (6406 JP)</a> announced a <a href="https://www.fujitec.com/common/fjhp/doc/top_global/document/irnews/2139/20201204_Fujitec%20Co.,%20Ltd.%20Announces%20Future%20Strategic%20Direction%20Plan.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Future Strategy Direction Plan</a> which focused on "priority business areas in the medium-and-long-term, the Company's medium- and long-term strategic targets, and measures aimed at strengthening its governance structure. This sounds kind of jargon-y. Some of it certainly is. But there is actually more than that under the cover, and it is designed to mollify activists who have pursued the company for years. The stock has hardly reacted. Some details clearly kick the can but there is a timer set for summer 2022. More below the fold.

Last Friday, mid-cap specialist elevator maker (in the top ten globally) Fujitec Co Ltd (6406 JP) announced a Future Strategy Direction Plan which focused on "priority business areas in the medium-and-long-term, the Company's medium- and long-term strategic targets, and measures aimed at strengthening its governance structure. This sounds kind of jargon-y. Some of it certainly is. But there is actually more than that under the cover, and it is designed to mollify activists who have pursued the company for years. The stock has hardly reacted. Some details clearly kick the can but there is a timer set for summer 2022. More below the fold. 

Activist Pressure FINALLY Works on Fujitec (6406)- Going Up? (Albeit Slowly)

Founder & CEO Bond Angle, LLC, Bond Angle, LLC

Vicki Bryan

Founder & CEO Bond Angle, LLC

Bond Angle, LLC

Insightful commentary and analysis on bond markets and market movers, including financial, economic, and industry catalysts and management shenanigans. 

High yield market investment research

Credit

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-motors-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla Motors (TSLA US)</a> has<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/compose/insight/44419/Germany,%20France,%20Italy,%20the%20Netherlands,%20Portugal,%20Switzerland%20and%20Sweden" target="_blank" rel="noopener"> shipped 7,000</a> Made-In-China Model 3s to Europe, with expected distribution upon arrival next month to Germany, France, Italy, the Netherlands, Portugal, Switzerland, and Sweden.Interestingly, this news comes after Tesla managed to top reduced market consensus estimates for revenue and profits reported for its third quarter, released after the market closed Wednesday and projected full year deliveries up 30-40%.However, as I projected, Tesla again needed a sizable boost from energy credits and accounting maneuvers to increase operating revenue and profits sufficiently to mask yet another loss because its car business, its energy generation &amp; storage business, and its parts &amp; service business are still losing money after 17 years (see <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/what-to-expect-in-tesla-s-critical-q3" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:43768" rel="noopener">What To Expect in Tesla's Critical Q3</a> on 10/19/20).This didn't seem to worry Tesla's fans who initially boosted the stock up by 5% the following Thursday, though it should. Because Tesla has failed to overcome persistent weakness in core demand that I have been tracking for two years persist despite multiple rounds of price cuts and expensive discounting to boost sales. It has happened with every Tesla model in every key market.And now Tesla is trying to find new markets for excess inventory out of its new Shanghai plant versus the existing China market which CEO Elon Musk had projected last year would be so strong for Tesla it would need <a href="https://bloom.bg/3otCEDy" target="_blank" rel="noopener">several China plants to supply it</a>.So what's really going on with Tesla's demand?<div class="content-highlight">Read on for Bond Angleanalysis of Tesla's multi-year demand trends and prospects across markets.</div>

Tesla Motors (TSLA US) has shipped 7,000 Made-In-China Model 3s to Europe, with expected distribution upon arrival next month to Germany, France, Italy, the Netherlands, Portugal, Switzerland, and Sweden.Interestingly, this news comes after Tesla managed to top reduced market consensus estimates for revenue and profits reported for its third quarter, released after the market closed Wednesday and projected full year deliveries up 30-40%.However, as I projected, Tesla again needed a sizable boost from energy credits and accounting maneuvers to increase operating revenue and profits sufficiently to mask yet another loss because its car business, its energy generation &amp; storage business, and its parts &amp; service business are still losing money after 17 years (see What To Expect in Tesla's Critical Q3 on 10/19/20).This didn't seem to worry Tesla's fans who initially boosted the stock up by 5% the following Thursday, though it should. Because Tesla has failed to overcome persistent weakness in core demand that I have been tracking for two years persist despite multiple rounds of price cuts and expensive discounting to boost sales. It has happened with every Tesla model in every key market.And now Tesla is trying to find new markets for excess inventory out of its new Shanghai plant versus the existing China market which CEO Elon Musk had projected last year would be so strong for Tesla it would need several China plants to supply it.So what's really going on with Tesla's demand?Read on for Bond Angleanalysis of Tesla's multi-year demand trends and prospects across markets.

Japan

Panasonic Corporation manufactures electric and electronic products. The Company produces home appliances, car navigation systems, digital devices, computer peripherals, telecommunications, industrial equipment, and electronic parts. Panasonic has associated companies around the world.

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Panasonic Corp (6752 JP)

SK IET IPO Preview

SK IET plans to complete its IPO in May. The IPO price range is from 78,000 won to 105,000 won. The IPO base deal size is from $1.5 billion to...

Douglas Kim

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The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Panasonic in Talks to Buy Blue Yonder; Supply Chain Management Likely to Be a Key Growth Driver

The acquisition of Blue Yonder should help Panasonic transform away from its hardware business into a recurring revenue mode such as its consumer...

Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

Activist Pressure FINALLY Works on Fujitec (6406)- Going Up? (Albeit Slowly)

Fujitec activist pressure finally seems to have shown results as the company buckles, and undertakes to pursue some activist demands. A small win....

Travis Lundy

What's Going On With Tesla's Demand?

Tesla still struggles to sustain sales strength in its largest markets, even as it plans extraordinary increases in capacity. What’s really going...

Vicki Bryan

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