Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>AIA will certainly define the radar for Asia's insurance company, since its market capitalization is the highest at USD94bn</li>
<li>Insurance companies can see major mark downs from corporate bonds related to China property, and from China Evergrande liquidation</li>
<li>A worsening economic outlook in China and also in Hong Kong, can mean that AIA and large insurers in the region, see bond impairments</li>
</ul>


AIA will certainly define the radar for Asia's insurance company, since its market capitalization is the highest at USD94bn
Insurance companies can see major mark downs from corporate bonds related to China property, and from China Evergrande liquidation
A worsening economic outlook in China and also in Hong Kong, can mean that AIA and large insurers in the region, see bond impairments


AIA - Largest Insurer in Asia Pacific, Risks Heightened with China Evergrande Liquidation

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>There is considerable worsening in net profit, including from key divisions </li>
<li>Despite rising assets for Health and Life, profit in this core division is down a lot</li>
<li>Banking exposure is significant, with a poor outlook, and making Ping An less pure</li>
</ul>


There is considerable worsening in net profit, including from key divisions 
Despite rising assets for Health and Life, profit in this core division is down a lot
Banking exposure is significant, with a poor outlook, and making Ping An less pure


Ping An Insurance - Dramatic Worsening Key Areas, Big Bank Exposure, Macro Insurance Stats Are Poor

Asia biased macro & technical analysis, Untying The Gordian Knot

Untying The Gordian Knot

Asia biased macro & technical analysis

A differentiated process with a primary focus on Asia. Technical Analysis as core and Macro drivers that could bring the view to fruition & changes that could make the idea fall apart. The objective is to be the best in class, hence corner shop.

Macroeconomics

<ul><li>Xi-Biden Summit: Geopolitical Tensions Easing, But Underlying Issues Remain</li><li>The Xi-Biden summit has led to a perception of easing geopolitical tensions and a conscious effort to de-escalate the situation.</li><li>Topics included talks on fentanyl, military matters, and artificial intelligence.</li></ul>

Xi-Biden Summit: Geopolitical Tensions Easing, But Underlying Issues RemainThe Xi-Biden summit has led to a perception of easing geopolitical tensions and a conscious effort to de-escalate the situation.Topics included talks on fentanyl, military matters, and artificial intelligence.

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Sunshine Insurance Group  Lt / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunshine-insurance-group-co-lt" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36464:1" rel="noopener">Sunshine Insurance Group (6963 HK)</a> (SIG), a life, health and P&amp;C insurance company, raised around US$850m in its HK IPO in Dec 2022. Its IPO linked lockup will expire tomorrow.</li>
<li>SIG is an integrated insurance provider which offers both life and health (L&amp;H) and property and casualty (P&amp;C) insurance in China</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



Sunshine Insurance Group (6963 HK) (SIG), a life, health and P&amp;C insurance company, raised around US$850m in its HK IPO in Dec 2022. Its IPO linked lockup will expire tomorrow.
SIG is an integrated insurance provider which offers both life and health (L&amp;H) and property and casualty (P&amp;C) insurance in China
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Sunshine Insurance Group IPO Lock-Up - US$5.3bn Lockup Release Tomorrow, with No Liquidity

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Consumer Staples (inflows of $818 million) led the inflows. Financials ($1,109 million worth of outflows), Materials ($1,131 million worth of outflows) led the outflows.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Moutai, Hygon Information Technology, Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare, Mindray, China Yangtze Power, Shenzhen Inovance Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Consumer Staples (inflows of $818 million) led the inflows. Financials ($1,109 million worth of outflows), Materials ($1,131 million worth of outflows) led the outflows.
We highlight inflows into Moutai, Hygon Information Technology, Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare, Mindray, China Yangtze Power, Shenzhen Inovance Technology.


Northbound Flows (November): Inflows (Consumer Staples, Healthcare) Offset by Outflows (Financials)

China

Ping An Bank Co Ltd provides a full range of commercial banking services including RMB and foreign currency deposit, loan, international and domestic settlement, discount, currency trading, letter of credit, bank guarantee, and other related services.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Ping An Bank Co Ltd A (000001 CH)

AIA - Largest Insurer in Asia Pacific, Risks Heightened with China Evergrande Liquidation

Asia Pacific insurance companies can be at risk from mark downs due to the Evergrande liquidation and worsening property risks in China, and also...

Daniel Tabbush

Ping An Insurance - Dramatic Worsening Key Areas, Big Bank Exposure, Macro Insurance Stats Are Poor

Expect earnings to be released soon. There remains considerable risk to core insurance operations, with worsening China and Hong Kong markets, but...

Daniel Tabbush

China Aggregate Finance Under the Hood

Xi-Biden Summit: Geopolitical Tensions Easing, But Underlying Issues Remain. The Xi-Biden summit has led to a perception of easing geopolitical...

Untying The Gordian Knot

Sunshine Insurance Group IPO Lock-Up - US$5.3bn Lockup Release Tomorrow, with No Liquidity

Sunshine Insurance Group (6963 HK) (SIG), a life, health and P&C insurance company, raised around US$850m in its HK IPO in Dec 2022. Its IPO linked...

Sumeet Singh

Northbound Flows (November): Inflows (Consumer Staples, Healthcare) Offset by Outflows (Financials)

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for November and highlight flows for Moutai, Hygon Information Technology, Shanghai United Imaging...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)