Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Israel-Palestine /Cover Story: Hamas attack on Israel reignites region’s cycle of violence</li><li>Fraud /: Hong Kong takes aim at banking fraud as complaints surge</li><li>Securities /: China tightens rules for short selling to prop up stocks</li></ul>

Israel-Palestine /Cover Story: Hamas attack on Israel reignites region’s cycle of violenceFraud /: Hong Kong takes aim at banking fraud as complaints surgeSecurities /: China tightens rules for short selling to prop up stocks

CX Daily: Hamas Attack on Israel Reignites Region’s Cycle of Violence

Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

Haitong Securities Co Ltd (A) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>With the potential corporate action (see additional reading below) there is more interest in Haitong Securities but operationally it does not appear positive, for many reasons</li>
<li>The company is seeing worse revenue growth in asset management, brokerage and investment banking, while its Haitong Bank can see far higher credit costs</li>
<li>Total operating costs are now 63% of revenue, tax rate is a lot higher, litigation risks seem to be oversized, with potential impact to costs</li>
</ul>


With the potential corporate action (see additional reading below) there is more interest in Haitong Securities but operationally it does not appear positive, for many reasons
The company is seeing worse revenue growth in asset management, brokerage and investment banking, while its Haitong Bank can see far higher credit costs
Total operating costs are now 63% of revenue, tax rate is a lot higher, litigation risks seem to be oversized, with potential impact to costs


Haitong Securities - Portugal Bank Goodwill Impairment Surge | Overall: High Costs, Poor Revenue

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>In this China banks screen, we focus on the credit quality headwinds going forward, as well as the returns trends that can absorb potentially worsening cost of risk charges</li>
<li>China bank shares continue to be poor performers; yet we see selective contrarian buy opportunities, for those banks with deeply discounted valuations and strong balance sheets including credit quality metrics</li>
<li>We stick with Industrial Bank and CCB as buys, adding Ping An Bank to the buys both of which have attractive valuations; Minsheng remains our fundamental sell</li>
</ul>


In this China banks screen, we focus on the credit quality headwinds going forward, as well as the returns trends that can absorb potentially worsening cost of risk charges
China bank shares continue to be poor performers; yet we see selective contrarian buy opportunities, for those banks with deeply discounted valuations and strong balance sheets including credit quality metrics
We stick with Industrial Bank and CCB as buys, adding Ping An Bank to the buys both of which have attractive valuations; Minsheng remains our fundamental sell


China Banks; Deep Value Despite the Rising Credit Quality Risks

Financial sector veteran, KT Capital Group

Fern Wang

Financial sector veteran

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

<ul>
<li>PBOC and NAFR included Bank of Nanjing in its latest D-SIBs list, increasing the total D-SIBs to 20</li>
<li>13 benchmarks were used to assess the D-SIBs using 1H23 data</li>
<li>All D-SIBs fulfilled their additional capital requirements as of 1H23, but the buffer is wearing thin for some especially in view of the difficult economic environment </li>
</ul>


PBOC and NAFR included Bank of Nanjing in its latest D-SIBs list, increasing the total D-SIBs to 20
13 benchmarks were used to assess the D-SIBs using 1H23 data
All D-SIBs fulfilled their additional capital requirements as of 1H23, but the buffer is wearing thin for some especially in view of the difficult economic environment 


China's New List Of D-SIBs' Capital Buffer Is Wearing Thin For Some

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 1st.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,251.0 million, led by financials, consumer staples, and offset by consumer discretionary, information technology, health care.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for BYD, CATL, Wuliangye, Citic Securities, Ping An Bank, Moutai, East Money Information, Haitian Flavouring.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 1st.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$2,251.0 million, led by financials, consumer staples, and offset by consumer discretionary, information technology, health care.
We highlight flows for BYD, CATL, Wuliangye, Citic Securities, Ping An Bank, Moutai, East Money Information, Haitian Flavouring.


Northbound Flows (Sep 1st): BYD, CATL, Wuliangye, Citic Securities, Ping An Bank, Moutai

China

Ping An Bank Co Ltd provides a full range of commercial banking services including RMB and foreign currency deposit, loan, international and domestic settlement, discount, currency trading, letter of credit, bank guarantee, and other related services.

Price Gauge
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Ping An Bank Co Ltd A (000001 CH)

CX Daily: Hamas Attack on Israel Reignites Region’s Cycle of Violence

Israel-Palestine /Cover Story: Hamas attack on Israel reignites region’s cycle of violence Fraud /: Hong Kong takes aim at banking fraud as...

Caixin Global

Haitong Securities - Portugal Bank Goodwill Impairment Surge | Overall: High Costs, Poor Revenue

Haitong Securities is set to privatize its wholly owned subsidiary Haitong International Securities for HKD3.4bn, announced this morning.

Daniel Tabbush

China Banks; Deep Value Despite the Rising Credit Quality Risks

China banks face credit quality hurdles, yet there are opportunities with discounted valuations and strong balance sheets; Industrial Bank, CCB...

Victor Galliano

China's New List Of D-SIBs' Capital Buffer Is Wearing Thin For Some

China's total D-SIBs increased to 20 with addition of BONJ. All banks on the list complied with the additional capital requirements as end of 1H23...

Fern Wang

Northbound Flows (Sep 1st): BYD, CATL, Wuliangye, Citic Securities, Ping An Bank, Moutai

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for BYD, CATL, Wuliangye, Citic Securities, Ping An Bank,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

CX Daily: Hamas Attack on Israel Reignites Region’s Cycle of Violence

Israel-Palestine /Cover Story: Hamas attack on Israel reignites region’s cycle of violence Fraud /: Hong Kong takes aim at banking fraud as...

Caixin Global

Haitong Securities - Portugal Bank Goodwill Impairment Surge | Overall: High Costs, Poor Revenue

Haitong Securities is set to privatize its wholly owned subsidiary Haitong International Securities for HKD3.4bn, announced this morning.

Daniel Tabbush

China Banks; Deep Value Despite the Rising Credit Quality Risks

​China banks face credit quality hurdles, yet there are opportunities with discounted valuations and strong balance sheets; Industrial Bank, CCB...

Victor Galliano

China's New List Of D-SIBs' Capital Buffer Is Wearing Thin For Some

China's total D-SIBs increased to 20 with addition of BONJ. All banks on the list complied with the additional capital requirements as end of 1H23...

Fern Wang

Northbound Flows (Sep 1st): BYD, CATL, Wuliangye, Citic Securities, Ping An Bank, Moutai

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for BYD, CATL, Wuliangye, Citic Securities, Ping An Bank,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China banks face credit quality hurdles, yet there are opportunities with discounted valuations and strong balance sheets; Industrial Bank, CCB...