Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>A review of recent events and data impacting our investment themes and outlook</li>
<li>China has another breakthrough moment with DeepSeek changing standard AI architecture</li>
<li>The case for precious metals and commodities continues to build, but short-term caution is warranted.</li>
</ul>


A review of recent events and data impacting our investment themes and outlook
China has another breakthrough moment with DeepSeek changing standard AI architecture
The case for precious metals and commodities continues to build, but short-term caution is warranted.


Overview #46 - From GPUs to Geopolitics: Is China Winning the AI Race?

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sk-hynix-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16955:1" rel="noopener">SK Hynix (000660 KS)</a> (SKH), a leading global memory producer, aims to raise over US$10bn via an ADR listing.</li>
<li>SKH has confidentially filed for an ADR issuance which could see it potentially launch a raising in July 2026, as per media reports.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.</li>
</ul>



SK Hynix (000660 KS) (SKH), a leading global memory producer, aims to raise over US$10bn via an ADR listing.
SKH has confidentially filed for an ADR issuance which could see it potentially launch a raising in July 2026, as per media reports.
In this note, we look at its past performance and other deal dynamics that might impact the listing.


Aequitas: SK Hynix ADR Listing - Part 2 - The Quest for a US$1tn+ Valuation

Chief Executive Officer, Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Chief Executive Officer

Emmer Capital Partners Limited

Emmer Capital Partners is an Asia Pacific focused financial advisory firm engaging in strategic financial asset allocation advice, bespoke thematic research and advising early-stage companies and connecting them to investors. Emmer Capital provides macro-economic and multi-asset investment strategy inputs to institutions, family offices, private wealth managers, private equity, and corporate boards directly and through independent research platforms. Emmer Capital also advises a wide range of startup companies on fund raising and business strategy. Emmer Capital's active engagement with the print and electronic media reaches a broad spectrum of investors across the globe.

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>Since the last rebalancing on 30th January, our portfolio appreciated 3.4% against MSCI Asia-ex-Japan's 1%. Since inception on May 15, 2025, our portfolio has appreciated 35.8%, vs MXASJ's 32.8%. </li>
<li>Since last reshuffle, the portfolio was driven by Korea (2.57% return contribution), Taiwan (1.3%) and India (0.75%). Four Chinese internet stocks, Alibaba, Tencent, Tencent Music and Netease, contributed -1.97% return.</li>
<li>We now exclude Dr Lal Pathlabs in India and include Tata Steel. We also include Maybank in Malaysia. All our inclusions have seen sharp EPS estimate upgrades lately.</li>
</ul>


Since the last rebalancing on 30th January, our portfolio appreciated 3.4% against MSCI Asia-ex-Japan's 1%. Since inception on May 15, 2025, our portfolio has appreciated 35.8%, vs MXASJ's 32.8%. 
Since last reshuffle, the portfolio was driven by Korea (2.57% return contribution), Taiwan (1.3%) and India (0.75%). Four Chinese internet stocks, Alibaba, Tencent, Tencent Music and Netease, contributed -1.97% return.
We now exclude Dr Lal Pathlabs in India and include Tata Steel. We also include Maybank in Malaysia. All our inclusions have seen sharp EPS estimate upgrades lately.


Asian Equities: Model Portfolio - We Reshuffle India, Add Malaysia; Korea Remains Biggest Overweight

<ul>
<li>Asian rerating is over. A new chapter has commenced. Asian earnings estimate upgrades are in full swing and so is an earnings-driven rally, particularly in a few markets and sectors.</li>
<li>Korea is the most notable earnings-driven market. The market has appreciated 12.4% since late October and its forward PE has declined 17%. Hong Kong and Indonesia also fit the bill.</li>
<li>Nine market-sectors have the strongest EPS revisions and strongest earnings growth forecasts. HK materials, Korean technology and utilities, Taiwan technology, Indonesian materials, Thai technology and communications and Malaysia tech services.</li>
</ul>


Asian rerating is over. A new chapter has commenced. Asian earnings estimate upgrades are in full swing and so is an earnings-driven rally, particularly in a few markets and sectors.
Korea is the most notable earnings-driven market. The market has appreciated 12.4% since late October and its forward PE has declined 17%. Hong Kong and Indonesia also fit the bill.
Nine market-sectors have the strongest EPS revisions and strongest earnings growth forecasts. HK materials, Korean technology and utilities, Taiwan technology, Indonesian materials, Thai technology and communications and Malaysia tech services.


Asian Equities: An Emerging Earnings-Driven Rally - Watch These Three Markets and Nine Sectors

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

<ul>
<li>Guided down: ASML, Applied Materials, Tokyo Electron. Revised up: LAM. A number of reasons are mentioned for a slower outlook. China slowdown. TSMC lumpy. Export licenses. Geo-Globo uncertainty. </li>
<li>Yes, But: 1) Chinese firms bought too much equipment in 2022-24  2) Logic Capex of Intel Samsung will decline further  3) Chinese SPE vendors are gaining share </li>
<li>AI is real, HBM is real, SOCAMM is real, but TSMC and SK Hynix are not revising up Capex in 2025. Expect higher Capex in 2026 and 2027. </li>
</ul>


Guided down: ASML, Applied Materials, Tokyo Electron. Revised up: LAM. A number of reasons are mentioned for a slower outlook. China slowdown. TSMC lumpy. Export licenses. Geo-Globo uncertainty. 
Yes, But: 1) Chinese firms bought too much equipment in 2022-24  2) Logic Capex of Intel Samsung will decline further  3) Chinese SPE vendors are gaining share 
AI is real, HBM is real, SOCAMM is real, but TSMC and SK Hynix are not revising up Capex in 2025. Expect higher Capex in 2026 and 2027. 


SPE – Semi Production Equipment: The Big Reset Is Happening. SPE Firms Expectations Is the Problem

South Korea

Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd. manufactures a wide range of consumer and industrial electronic equipment and products such as semiconductors, personal computers, peripherals, monitors, televisions, and home appliances including air conditioners and microwave ovens. The Company also produces Internet access network systems and telecommunications equipment including mobile phones.

Samsung Electronics Pref Shares (005935 KS)

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Samsung Electronics Pref Shares (005935 KS)

Overview #46 - From GPUs to Geopolitics: Is China Winning the AI Race?

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. We look at the implications of recent Chinese tech breakthroughs

Rikki Malik

Aequitas: SK Hynix ADR Listing - Part 2 - The Quest for a US$1tn+ Valuation

SK Hynix (000660 KS) (SKH), a leading global memory producer, aims to raise over US$10bn via an ADR listing. In this note, we have a look at the...

Sumeet Singh

Asian Equities: Model Portfolio - We Reshuffle India, Add Malaysia; Korea Remains Biggest Overweight

Our Portfolio outperformed MXASJ since last reshuffle & since inception, driven by KR, TW & IN. We include reasonably valued stocks with strong...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Asian Equities: An Emerging Earnings-Driven Rally - Watch These Three Markets and Nine Sectors

Asian markets are experiencing an earnings-driven rally with earnings est upgrades, particularly in KR, HK, and Indonesia. 9 market-sectors show...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

SPE – Semi Production Equipment: The Big Reset Is Happening. SPE Firms Expectations Is the Problem

Slower outlook for semiconductor equipment industry due to China slowdown, TSMC uncertainty, and export licenses. Expect higher Capex in 2026 and...

Nicolas Baratte

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Overview #46 - From GPUs to Geopolitics: Is China Winning the AI Race?

A review of recent events/data impacting our investment themes and outlook. We look at the implications of recent Chinese tech breakthroughs

Rikki Malik

Aequitas: SK Hynix ADR Listing - Part 2 - The Quest for a US$1tn+ Valuation

SK Hynix (000660 KS) (SKH), a leading global memory producer, aims to raise over US$10bn via an ADR listing. In this note, we have a look at the...

Sumeet Singh

Asian Equities: Model Portfolio - We Reshuffle India, Add Malaysia; Korea Remains Biggest Overweight

​Our Portfolio outperformed MXASJ since last reshuffle & since inception, driven by KR, TW & IN. We include reasonably valued stocks with strong...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

Asian Equities: An Emerging Earnings-Driven Rally - Watch These Three Markets and Nine Sectors

​Asian markets are experiencing an earnings-driven rally with earnings est upgrades, particularly in KR, HK, and Indonesia. 9 market-sectors show...

Manishi Raychaudhuri

SPE – Semi Production Equipment: The Big Reset Is Happening. SPE Firms Expectations Is the Problem

​Slower outlook for semiconductor equipment industry due to China slowdown, TSMC uncertainty, and export licenses. Expect higher Capex in 2026 and...

Nicolas Baratte

Our Portfolio outperformed MXASJ since last reshuffle & since inception, driven by KR, TW & IN. We include reasonably valued stocks with strong...

Asian markets are experiencing an earnings-driven rally with earnings est upgrades, particularly in KR, HK, and Indonesia. 9 market-sectors show...

Slower outlook for semiconductor equipment industry due to China slowdown, TSMC uncertainty, and export licenses. Expect higher Capex in 2026 and...