Equity Long-Short

Mo Aziz

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>AI has transformed memory from a cyclical commodity industry into strategic infrastructure, supported by constrained wafer capacity, disciplined supply growth and increasingly durable earnings.</li>
<li>There are fears that the cycle has peaked. However, the insatiable AI demand, limited new capacity, and long-term supply agreements suggest that the industry just passed the half-time.</li>
<li>We are overwhelmingly positive across our coverage universe, with six BUY ratings, one HOLD and one SELL, reflecting our expectation of further upside over the next 12 months.</li>
</ul>


AI has transformed memory from a cyclical commodity industry into strategic infrastructure, supported by constrained wafer capacity, disciplined supply growth and increasingly durable earnings.
There are fears that the cycle has peaked. However, the insatiable AI demand, limited new capacity, and long-term supply agreements suggest that the industry just passed the half-time.
We are overwhelmingly positive across our coverage universe, with six BUY ratings, one HOLD and one SELL, reflecting our expectation of further upside over the next 12 months.


Semiconductor Memory Handbook: Investing Beyond the Cycle (OUTPERFORM)

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>The US market is showing signs of buyer exhaustion.  High valuations, declining breadth, single-stock option skew, extreme momentum crowding, and lofty analyst earnings projections present risks to the bull market.</li>
<li>Wall Street earnings upgrades in April were almost entirely in the tech sector and were heavily dependent on a historically high estimate of S&amp;P operating margins.</li>
<li>Rushed mega-IPOs and equity placements by hyperscalers pose another risk to the market as liquidity requirements for the tech sector grow rapidly.</li>
</ul>


The US market is showing signs of buyer exhaustion.  High valuations, declining breadth, single-stock option skew, extreme momentum crowding, and lofty analyst earnings projections present risks to the bull market.
Wall Street earnings upgrades in April were almost entirely in the tech sector and were heavily dependent on a historically high estimate of S&amp;P operating margins.
Rushed mega-IPOs and equity placements by hyperscalers pose another risk to the market as liquidity requirements for the tech sector grow rapidly.


Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

<ul>
<li>On 19 May 2026, China’s Hubei securities regulator accepted CITIC Securities’ tutoring filing for Yangtze Memory Technologies Holding Co., Ltd. (YMTC), the country’s only end-to-end 3D NAND manufacturer.</li>
<li>Reports suggest YMTC Q1 2026 revenue of  ¥20 billion, doubling YoY, driven by AI data center NAND demand.</li>
<li>Once Phase III ramps, Guosheng estimates YMTC’s global NAND share exceeds 15%. After that, two more fabs are reportedly planned that would double total YMTC capacity at full production. Yikes! </li>
</ul>


On 19 May 2026, China’s Hubei securities regulator accepted CITIC Securities’ tutoring filing for Yangtze Memory Technologies Holding Co., Ltd. (YMTC), the country’s only end-to-end 3D NAND manufacturer.
Reports suggest YMTC Q1 2026 revenue of  ¥20 billion, doubling YoY, driven by AI data center NAND demand.
Once Phase III ramps, Guosheng estimates YMTC’s global NAND share exceeds 15%. After that, two more fabs are reportedly planned that would double total YMTC capacity at full production. Yikes! 


YMTC’s Submits "Tutoring" Filing In Preparation For Another STAR IPO

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities, Mint Finance

Raghav Vashisht

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

<ul>
<li>TurboQuant triggered the sell-off, but the market appears to have priced a uniform demand shock across memory, despite the impact being limited to inference efficiency.</li>
<li>Supply remains tight; HBM capacity largely locked into 2026; TrendForce revised DRAM and NAND pricing sharply higher after the TurboQuant announcement. </li>
<li>Relevant risks sit elsewhere: early signs of pricing resistance in commodity memory, emerging share gains from Chinese suppliers, and a shift toward more staggered hyperscaler spending</li>
</ul>


TurboQuant triggered the sell-off, but the market appears to have priced a uniform demand shock across memory, despite the impact being limited to inference efficiency.
Supply remains tight; HBM capacity largely locked into 2026; TrendForce revised DRAM and NAND pricing sharply higher after the TurboQuant announcement. 
Relevant risks sit elsewhere: early signs of pricing resistance in commodity memory, emerging share gains from Chinese suppliers, and a shift toward more staggered hyperscaler spending


Memory's TurboQuant Panic Misses Where Demand Actually Sits

Index Rebalance and Special Situations Coverage, Quiddity Advisors

Anjana Amarasuriya

Index Rebalance and Special Situations Coverage

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The Nasdaq 100 index tracks the 100 largest names listed on the Nasdaq Stock Exchange.</li>
<li>In this insight, we have presented our expectations for ADDs/DELs for the upcoming annual reconstitution in December 2026.</li>
<li>We expect threes changes at the December index rebal event and no intra-review changes before then.</li>
</ul>


The Nasdaq 100 index tracks the 100 largest names listed on the Nasdaq Stock Exchange.
In this insight, we have presented our expectations for ADDs/DELs for the upcoming annual reconstitution in December 2026.
We expect threes changes at the December index rebal event and no intra-review changes before then.


Quiddity Leaderboard Nasdaq100 Dec26 Rebal: 3 ADDs/DELs; US$42bn One-Way Flow

United States

SanDisk Corporation designs, develops, and manufactures data storage solutions in a variety of form factors using our flash memory, proprietary controller and firmware technologies. The Company's solutions include removable cards, embedded products, universal serial bus, or USB, drives, digital media players, wafers and components.

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Sandisk Corp (SNDK US)

Semiconductor Memory Handbook: Investing Beyond the Cycle (OUTPERFORM)

AI has revolutionized the memory industry, shifting it from a cyclical commodity to strategic infrastructure with sustainable earnings and growth...

Mo Aziz

US MARKET EXHAUSTION (June 26)

The US market is showing signs of buyer exhaustion. High valuations, narrow breadth, single-stock option skew, momentum crowding, & lofty analyst...

David Mudd

YMTC’s Submits "Tutoring" Filing In Preparation For Another STAR IPO

Once Phase III ramps, Guosheng estimates YMTC’s global NAND share exceeds 15%. After that, two more fabs are reportedly planned that would double...

William Keating

Memory's TurboQuant Panic Misses Where Demand Actually Sits

TurboQuant sell-off triggers panic on inference efficiency. However, supply is tight, and pricing is revised higher. Risks seen in Chinese...

Mint Finance

Quiddity Leaderboard Nasdaq100 Dec26 Rebal: 3 ADDs/DELs; US$42bn One-Way Flow

Moderna replacing WBD is the last expected intra-review change before December. The annual reconstitution should bring three more Nasdaq-100...

Anjana Amarasuriya

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Semiconductor Memory Handbook: Investing Beyond the Cycle (OUTPERFORM)

​AI has revolutionized the memory industry, shifting it from a cyclical commodity to strategic infrastructure with sustainable earnings and growth...

Mo Aziz

US MARKET EXHAUSTION (June 26)

The US market is showing signs of buyer exhaustion. High valuations, narrow breadth, single-stock option skew, momentum crowding, & lofty analyst...

David Mudd

YMTC’s Submits "Tutoring" Filing In Preparation For Another STAR IPO

Once Phase III ramps, Guosheng estimates YMTC’s global NAND share exceeds 15%. After that, two more fabs are reportedly planned that would double...

William Keating

Memory's TurboQuant Panic Misses Where Demand Actually Sits

​TurboQuant sell-off triggers panic on inference efficiency. However, supply is tight, and pricing is revised higher. Risks seen in Chinese...

Mint Finance

Quiddity Leaderboard Nasdaq100 Dec26 Rebal: 3 ADDs/DELs; US$42bn One-Way Flow

Moderna replacing WBD is the last expected intra-review change before December. The annual reconstitution should bring three more Nasdaq-100...

Anjana Amarasuriya

AI has revolutionized the memory industry, shifting it from a cyclical commodity to strategic infrastructure with sustainable earnings and growth...

TurboQuant sell-off triggers panic on inference efficiency. However, supply is tight, and pricing is revised higher. Risks seen in Chinese...