Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

All regions—both geographic and economic—share a common through-line: bullish technicals. And we expect this trend to continue, an outlook supported by a cast of multi-year base patterns (esp. in Europe and Japan), weakness in defensive sectors, and strength in cyclicals. In today’s report we highlight the follow themes:<ul><li>Buy energy, miners. Discussed above... see pages 3-6</li><li>Autos are strengthening. Developed market auto stocks, a lagging group for the past three years, present an opportunity. Names like BMW (BMW-DE), Ford (F), Peugeot (UG-FR), and Toyota (TM) are breaking out/bullishly inflecting... see pages 7-8</li></ul>

All regions—both geographic and economic—share a common through-line: bullish technicals. And we expect this trend to continue, an outlook supported by a cast of multi-year base patterns (esp. in Europe and Japan), weakness in defensive sectors, and strength in cyclicals. In today’s report we highlight the follow themes:Buy energy, miners. Discussed above... see pages 3-6Autos are strengthening. Developed market auto stocks, a lagging group for the past three years, present an opportunity. Names like BMW (BMW-DE), Ford (F), Peugeot (UG-FR), and Toyota (TM) are breaking out/bullishly inflecting... see pages 7-8

Int'l Compass: Inflation Trade Is Gathering Steam -- Buy Energy, Miners, Autos; Stay Overweight EM

A wave of breakouts is visible throughout the global mining industry, where stocks are responding to long-term trend reversals in base metals, including aluminum, copper, and zinc. This is one of our favorite themes, one that we have highlighted extensively over the past several months, especially in our weekly International Compass But is it too late to add exposure? No. Most names, including Alcoa (AA), Freeport-McMoRan (FCX), Norsk Hydro (NHY-NO), are just beginning to break out this week.In today’s report we highlight a selection of actionable charts within this theme, sorted by market capitalization.

A wave of breakouts is visible throughout the global mining industry, where stocks are responding to long-term trend reversals in base metals, including aluminum, copper, and zinc. This is one of our favorite themes, one that we have highlighted extensively over the past several months, especially in our weekly International Compass  But is it too late to add exposure? No. Most names, including Alcoa (AA), Freeport-McMoRan (FCX), Norsk Hydro (NHY-NO), are just beginning to break out this week.In today’s report we highlight a selection of actionable charts within this theme, sorted by market capitalization.

Breadth is waning – there’s no question about that. Yet selling appears to be discriminate, so far, as if there’s a reason behind which stocks get hit, not the indiscriminate “sell-button.” But even with waning breadth, the weight-of-the-evidence still supports further upside. We believe this dip in breadth is a favorable sign for stock-pickers, creating an environment where selectivity can aid in outperformance. This week we provide an update to our investment thesis and highlight attractive opportunities within the gaming stocks, and a wide range of other cyclical companies.

Breadth is waning – there’s no question about that. Yet selling appears to be discriminate, so far, as if there’s a reason behind which stocks get hit, not the indiscriminate “sell-button.” But even with waning breadth, the weight-of-the-evidence still supports further upside. We believe this dip in breadth is a favorable sign for stock-pickers, creating an environment where selectivity can aid in outperformance. This week we provide an update to our investment thesis and highlight attractive opportunities within the gaming stocks, and a wide range of other cyclical companies.

Asia-Focused Industry Research, Speeda Research

Speeda

Asia-Focused Industry Research

Speeda Research

Speeda Research analysts cover China, Japan, India and SEA on the latest trends and topics. We have analysts of diverse nationalities who are able to access information in their respective local languages to provide customers with comprehensive reports. With access to private company data in these regions, Speeda Research is also able to provide insights into niche sectors which are not usually covered by other parties. We are also able to undertake ad hoc company and industry research reports.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<h2>What are the Alternative Taxes and Tariffs Under Consideration and the Objective and the Nature of Each Option?</h2>In the US, the Trump Administration is considering a variety of options to contain the increasing trade deficit, particularly with regard to one the US’ trading partners, Mexico. In 2015, the United States had a USD67bn trade deficit with Mexico in automobiles and auto parts. USD50.5bn in vehicles were shipped to the US from Mexico in 2015. Total exports in auto parts for OEMs and the…

What are the Alternative Taxes and Tariffs Under Consideration and the Objective and the Nature of Each Option?In the US, the Trump Administration is considering a variety of options to contain the increasing trade deficit, particularly with regard to one the US’ trading partners, Mexico. In 2015, the United States had a USD67bn trade deficit with Mexico in automobiles and auto parts. USD50.5bn in vehicles were shipped to the US from Mexico in 2015. Total exports in auto parts for OEMs and the…

Trump Tax Impact on US-Mexico Auto Industry Could Have Greatest Impact on Mazda/Mitsubishi

CHINA - Healthcare, Steel, Autos, Education, Research From Beijing

Scott Laprise/ 乐天虎

CHINA - Healthcare, Steel, Autos, Education

The market is expecting US tariffs on Chinese steel exports wrongly believing Chinese are major steel   exporters to the US.Steel exports to US from China are low at about 2.9mt in November. If the US adds more steel tariffs, it will have little impact to the steel market or prices but it will possibly cause a retaliation by the Chinese.China only exports 26% of Global Steel Exports, far lower than the 50% of their total global steel production. Most of Chinese steel exports go to other Asian…

The market is expecting US tariffs on Chinese steel exports wrongly believing Chinese are major steel   exporters to the US.Steel exports to US from China are low at about 2.9mt in November. If the US adds more steel tariffs, it will have little impact to the steel market or prices but it will possibly cause a retaliation by the Chinese.China only exports 26% of Global Steel Exports, far lower than the 50% of their total global steel production. Most of Chinese steel exports go to other Asian…

Market Is Wrong on US Tariffs for Chinese Steel

United States

Southern Copper Corporation conducts mining operations in Peru and Mexico.  The Company owns and operates open pit mines and metallurgical complexes that produce copper, molybdenum, zinc, and precious metals.

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Southern Copper (SCCO US)

Int'l Compass: Inflation Trade Is Gathering Steam -- Buy Energy, Miners, Autos; Stay Overweight EM

All regions—both geographic and economic—share a common through-line: bullish technicals. And we expect this trend to continue, an outlook...

Vermilion Research

Global Miners Are Breaking Out -- Buy

A wave of breakouts is visible throughout the global mining industry, where stocks are responding to long-term trend reversals in base metals,...

Vermilion Research

U.S. Equity Strategy Weekly

Breadth is waning – there’s no question about that. Yet selling appears to be discriminate, so far, as if there’s a reason behind which stocks get...

Vermilion Research

Trump Tax Impact on US-Mexico Auto Industry Could Have Greatest Impact on Mazda/Mitsubishi

What are the Alternative Taxes and Tariffs Under Consideration and the Objective and the Nature of Each Option?In the US, the Trump Administration...

Speeda Research

Market Is Wrong on US Tariffs for Chinese Steel

The market is expecting US tariffs on Chinese steel exports wrongly believing Chinese are major steel exporters to the US.Steel exports to US...

Scott Laprise/ 乐天虎

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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