Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Stay long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakaku-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7408:1" rel="noopener">Kakaku.com Inc (2371 JP)</a>. Don't sell yet. And definitely stay long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/digital-garage-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13747:1" rel="noopener">Digital Garage (4819 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yamada-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16273:1" rel="noopener">Yamada Corp (6392 JP)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/edion-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14358:1" rel="noopener">Edion Corp (2730 JP)</a> combination gives both a platform. What they do with it is the question that the initial announcement left entirely unanswered.</li>
<li>At a multi-year low implied stub; and an all-time low simple ratio (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ytl-corp-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8553:1" rel="noopener">YTL (YTL MK)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ytl-power-international-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1239:1" rel="noopener">YTL Power (YTLP MK)</a>), if you can set up the stub here cleanly, do so.</li>
</ul>


Stay long Kakaku.com Inc (2371 JP). Don't sell yet. And definitely stay long Digital Garage (4819 JP).
The Yamada Corp (6392 JP)/Edion Corp (2730 JP) combination gives both a platform. What they do with it is the question that the initial announcement left entirely unanswered.
At a multi-year low implied stub; and an all-time low simple ratio (YTL (YTL MK)/YTL Power (YTLP MK)), if you can set up the stub here cleanly, do so.


Last Week In Event SPACE: Digital Garage/Kakaku.com, Yamada Corp/Edion Corp, YTL/YTL Power, Strategy

Latest News from the World’s Leading Innovators

Granite Bay Capital

An innovation focussed investment company

Granite Bay Capital is an innovation focussed investment company with a deep focus on the companies at the leading edge of innovation across major themes such as AI, ubiquitous computing, sustainability, automation and longevity.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

Headline developments are all up in the air this week, starting with United Airlines (UAL) who have signed an agreement with Boom Supersonic (private) to add 15 of their $200m jets to the fleet, with the option of adding an additional 35, after certain safety, sustainability and operating metrics are met.

Headline developments are all up in the air this week, starting with United Airlines (UAL) who have signed an agreement with Boom Supersonic (private) to add 15 of their $200m jets to the fleet, with the option of adding an additional 35, after certain safety, sustainability and operating metrics are met.

Alpha-Centric ESG Research

Kyle Rudden

This is a follow-up to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/esg-and-bitcoin-the-truth-lies-somewhere-between-benign-and-boiling-off-oceans" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:52134" rel="noopener">ESG and Bitcoin: The Truth Lies Somewhere Between Benign and Boiling Off Oceans</a>, in which I discussed the ongoing cryptocurrency/ESG debate, and explained the reasoning behind my slightly positive long-term opinion of the issue (near-term negative, however).Essentially, it boiled down to the balance of Environmental, Social, and Governance issues. Proof-of-Work cryptocurrencies (especially Bitcoin) are an Environmental nightmare. However, there is reason for optimism (e.g., Ethereum 2.0), and some long-term Social issues are major positives.Nevertheless, the raging firestorm over cryptocurrency's Environmental footprint will be foremost on the minds of many ESG-minded investors. They will want avoid crypto at all costs. That is easy regarding direct exposure – just don't buy Bitcoin, Coinbase, or any other crypto pure-plays.Indirect cryptocurrency exposure is a different story altogether. As cryptocurrencies become more mainstream, the potential for indirect exposure increases – in probability, degree, and number of possible vectors. Some are hard to miss (e.g., Tesla), but others are much harder to identify.Ergo, this Insight. It covers the first of several emerging areas of potential indirect crypto exposure, specifically the growing cadre of listed companies putting crypto on the books; holding Bitcoins in treasuries for a variety of reasons, but primarily as a supposed super-hedge against inflation.It is written for the never-Bitcoin environmentalist investor, but with a little imagination any pro-Bitcoin investor can just flip its messages upside down. After all, whether indirect cryptocurrency exposure is an ESG risk or an ESG opportunity is entirely up to you to decide, for yourself.

This is a follow-up to ESG and Bitcoin: The Truth Lies Somewhere Between Benign and Boiling Off Oceans, in which I discussed the ongoing cryptocurrency/ESG debate, and explained the reasoning behind my slightly positive long-term opinion of the issue (near-term negative, however).Essentially, it boiled down to the balance of Environmental, Social, and Governance issues. Proof-of-Work cryptocurrencies (especially Bitcoin) are an Environmental nightmare. However, there is reason for optimism (e.g., Ethereum 2.0), and some long-term Social issues are major positives.Nevertheless, the raging firestorm over cryptocurrency's Environmental footprint will be foremost on the minds of many ESG-minded investors. They will want avoid crypto at all costs. That is easy regarding direct exposure – just don't buy Bitcoin, Coinbase, or any other crypto pure-plays.Indirect cryptocurrency exposure is a different story altogether. As cryptocurrencies become more mainstream, the potential for indirect exposure increases – in probability, degree, and number of possible vectors. Some are hard to miss (e.g., Tesla), but others are much harder to identify.Ergo, this Insight. It covers the first of several emerging areas of potential indirect crypto exposure, specifically the growing cadre of listed companies putting crypto on the books; holding Bitcoins in treasuries for a variety of reasons, but primarily as a supposed super-hedge against inflation.It is written for the never-Bitcoin environmentalist investor, but with a little imagination any pro-Bitcoin investor can just flip its messages upside down. After all, whether indirect cryptocurrency exposure is an ESG risk or an ESG opportunity is entirely up to you to decide, for yourself.

Bitcoin on Balance Sheets: Indirect Crypto Exposure Considerations for Crypto-Leery ESG Investors

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Equity Bottom-Up

IShares Bitcoin Trust ETF / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Bitcoin has seen a historic price decline since October.  The fear gauge is higher than at any time in its history, and technical indicators show further downside is likely.</li>
<li>The bitcoin ecosystem is highly leveraged and has seen miners and related single-stock ETFs fall dramatically.  Bitcoin volatility remains below historical levels, suggesting further selling is likely.</li>
<li>Bitcoin price is highly dependent on monetary conditions, which indicate that easing will end by 1Q 2027. Gold is supported by continuing higher inflation expectations and, hence, the price divergence.</li>
</ul>


Bitcoin has seen a historic price decline since October.  The fear gauge is higher than at any time in its history, and technical indicators show further downside is likely.
The bitcoin ecosystem is highly leveraged and has seen miners and related single-stock ETFs fall dramatically.  Bitcoin volatility remains below historical levels, suggesting further selling is likely.
Bitcoin price is highly dependent on monetary conditions, which indicate that easing will end by 1Q 2027. Gold is supported by continuing higher inflation expectations and, hence, the price divergence.


Bitcoin: HOW TO LOSE MONEY IN A BULL MARKET!!

<ul>
<li>Brookfield and GIC took a peek behind the curtains and firmed terms for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/national-storage-reit" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13762:1" rel="noopener">National Storage REIT (NSR AU)</a>. Clean deal.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/raksul-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27043:1" rel="noopener">Raksul Inc (4384 JP)</a> will get done at some price, though not necessarily at ¥1,710/share. You'd want to own Raksul at ¥1,710/share.</li>
<li>Further inquiries suggest CDH likely controls ~18% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ane-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35025:1" rel="noopener">ANE Cayman Inc (9956 HK)</a>. This should not be up for debate. </li>
</ul>


Brookfield and GIC took a peek behind the curtains and firmed terms for National Storage REIT (NSR AU). Clean deal.

Raksul Inc (4384 JP) will get done at some price, though not necessarily at ¥1,710/share. You'd want to own Raksul at ¥1,710/share.
Further inquiries suggest CDH likely controls ~18% of ANE Cayman Inc (9956 HK). This should not be up for debate. 


Last Week In Event SPACE: National Storage, Raksul, ANE Cayman, Strategy, Broadmedia, Austal

United States

Strategy Inc operates a bitcoin treasury company. The Company offers an equity and fixed income instruments to provide investors varying degrees of economic exposure to bitcoin, as well as develops enterprise analytics software to explore improvement in bitcoin applications. Strategy serves customers worldwide.

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Strategy (MSTR US)

Last Week In Event SPACE: Digital Garage/Kakaku.com, Yamada Corp/Edion Corp, YTL/YTL Power, Strategy

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

Weekly Innovation Review (WIRE) #35

Headline developments are all up in the air this week, starting with United Airlines (UAL) who have signed an agreement with Boom Supersonic

Granite Bay Capital

Bitcoin on Balance Sheets: Indirect Crypto Exposure Considerations for Crypto-Leery ESG Investors

Companies are increasingly embracing cryptocurrencies as a corporate treasury management strategy. This looks at some representative companies with...

Kyle Rudden

Bitcoin: HOW TO LOSE MONEY IN A BULL MARKET!!

Bitcoin dropped to $60k early today marking a 50% decline in 3 months. Strategy's MNAV is now below 1. Although not required to start selling its...

David Mudd

Last Week In Event SPACE: National Storage, Raksul, ANE Cayman, Strategy, Broadmedia, Austal

It’s Sunday! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed during the...

David Blennerhassett

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