IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk PT / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-trimegah-bangun-persada-tbk-harita-nickel" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36826:1" rel="noopener">PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel) (2230010D IJ)</a>, an Indonesian nickel play, has launched an IDX IPO to raise US$1 billion. Book building ends on 24 March.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/harita-nickel-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:97906" rel="noopener">Harita Nickel IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/harita-nickel-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:98452" rel="noopener">Harita Nickel IPO: The Bear Case</a>.  </li>
<li>In this note, we discuss valuation. Our analysis suggests that Harita is fairly valued at the IPO IPO price range of IDR1,220-1,250 per share. We would participate in the IPO.</li>
</ul>



PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel) (2230010D IJ), an Indonesian nickel play, has launched an IDX IPO to raise US$1 billion. Book building ends on 24 March.
We previously discussed the IPO in Harita Nickel IPO: The Bull Case and Harita Nickel IPO: The Bear Case.  
In this note, we discuss valuation. Our analysis suggests that Harita is fairly valued at the IPO IPO price range of IDR1,220-1,250 per share. We would participate in the IPO.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-trimegah-bangun-persada-tbk-harita-nickel" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36826:1" rel="noopener">PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel) (2230010D IJ)</a>, an Indonesian nickel play, has launched an IDX IPO to raise US$650 million. Book building ends on 21 March.</li>
<li>Harita is expected to become Indonesia's largest pure nickel producer based on volume expectations of Harita's nickel mining production in 2022.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bull case rest on good underlying revenue growth, near-term capacity expansion, high profitability, capex nearing the peak and manageable leverage.</li>
</ul>



PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel) (2230010D IJ), an Indonesian nickel play, has launched an IDX IPO to raise US$650 million. Book building ends on 21 March.
Harita is expected to become Indonesia's largest pure nickel producer based on volume expectations of Harita's nickel mining production in 2022.
The key elements of the bull case rest on good underlying revenue growth, near-term capacity expansion, high profitability, capex nearing the peak and manageable leverage.


Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  SPX Futs -0.3% as US OFF ON FOR PRESIDENT'S DAY as Biden makes the trip to Ukraine;  Markets still focused inflation/rate hikes; Europe Resource Stocks bid on China Recovery</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.2% vs Cash; USDJPY 134.29; North Korea launches  2 more missiles as Japan cries foul;  Defense stocks in focus today? BOJ March Surprise?  </li>
<li>DAILY NUGGET. Toto(5332) - Bottoming here?  Pricing in all of the US near term downside and ignoring the upside to a China recovery ? </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  SPX Futs -0.3% as US OFF ON FOR PRESIDENT'S DAY as Biden makes the trip to Ukraine;  Markets still focused inflation/rate hikes; Europe Resource Stocks bid on China Recovery
JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.2% vs Cash; USDJPY 134.29; North Korea launches  2 more missiles as Japan cries foul;  Defense stocks in focus today? BOJ March Surprise?  
DAILY NUGGET. Toto(5332) - Bottoming here?  Pricing in all of the US near term downside and ignoring the upside to a China recovery ? 


Good Morning Japan | US Out; Rates Worry Europe Stocks;NKorea Fires 2 More Missiles;Toto -Bottom In?

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. SPX -1.1% as Fed Hawks rhetoric ratches up; All 11 Sectors -ve as Beta Sold; ALPHABET-7.7% AI fails to impress; Disney +8% after-hours with earnings beat/job cuts. </li>
<li>JAPAN.  NKY Futs -0.8% vs Cash; USDJPY 131.41; Japan looking to ease restrictions for China Inbound;  EARNINGS: Pan Pac/SMM Strong vs weak Subaru which -ve production cut; Toyota out today. </li>
<li>DAILY NUGGETS. EPIC fail from Alphabet's "BARD". Aren't these events supposed to  be choreographed ????</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. SPX -1.1% as Fed Hawks rhetoric ratches up; All 11 Sectors -ve as Beta Sold; ALPHABET-7.7% AI fails to impress; Disney +8% after-hours with earnings beat/job cuts. 
JAPAN.  NKY Futs -0.8% vs Cash; USDJPY 131.41; Japan looking to ease restrictions for China Inbound;  EARNINGS: Pan Pac/SMM Strong vs weak Subaru which -ve production cut; Toyota out today. 
DAILY NUGGETS. EPIC fail from Alphabet's "BARD". Aren't these events supposed to  be choreographed ????


Good Morning Japan |Hawks Re-Emerge + Epic "BARD" Fail Sinks Google; Pan Pac Beat/Subaru Miss

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  SPX +1.9% to close on highs; Beta-driven rally as Tech rebounds;  Dovish talk from 2 Fed Members;  Google joins the fray slashing 12,000 staff; US Banks not far behind.</li>
<li>JAPAN.  NKY Futs +1.3% vs Cash; USDJPY 129.6;  CORE Inflation hits 4%;  Kishida: too early to discuss BOJ 2% policy exit;  Japan courts global elite grads; Population declines in 2022</li>
<li>DAILY NUGGET.  Change of Direction with new BOJ Leadership? Ha, policy direction has already been decided, and whoever the Govt selects will just continue where Kuroda left off. </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  SPX +1.9% to close on highs; Beta-driven rally as Tech rebounds;  Dovish talk from 2 Fed Members;  Google joins the fray slashing 12,000 staff; US Banks not far behind.
JAPAN.  NKY Futs +1.3% vs Cash; USDJPY 129.6;  CORE Inflation hits 4%;  Kishida: too early to discuss BOJ 2% policy exit;  Japan courts global elite grads; Population declines in 2022
DAILY NUGGET.  Change of Direction with new BOJ Leadership? Ha, policy direction has already been decided, and whoever the Govt selects will just continue where Kuroda left off. 


Good Morning Japan | The Doves Strike Back; Google Joins Layoff Parade; "Too Early for BOJ Exit"

Japan

Sumitomo Metal Mining Co., Ltd. develops and mines non-ferrous metals in Japan and overseas.  The Company's primary products include copper, gold, silver, nickel, lead, and zinc.  The Company refines, produces, and sells precious metals.  Sumitomo Metal Mining also produces and markets electronic & housing construction materials and provides civil engineering works.

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Sumitomo Metal Mining (5713 JP)

Harita Nickel IPO: Valuation Insights

Our analysis suggests that Harita is fairly valued at the IPO IPO price range of IDR1,220-1,250 per share. We would participate in the IPO.

Arun George

Harita Nickel IPO: The Bull Case

The key elements of the bull case rest on good underlying revenue growth, near-term capacity expansion, high profitability, capex nearing the peak...

Arun George

Good Morning Japan | US Out; Rates Worry Europe Stocks;NKorea Fires 2 More Missiles;Toto -Bottom In?

North Korea launches 2 more missiles as Japan cries foul; Defense stocks in focus today? BOJ March Surprise? . STOCK FOCUS TODAY: Toto the...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan |Hawks Re-Emerge + Epic "BARD" Fail Sinks Google; Pan Pac Beat/Subaru Miss

Fed Hawks rhetoric ratches up; ALHABET-7.7% AI fails to impress; . Japan looking to ease restrictions for China Inbound; JAPAN EARNINGS: Pan Pac...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan | The Doves Strike Back; Google Joins Layoff Parade; "Too Early for BOJ Exit"

SPX +1.9% to close on highs; Beta-driven rally. NKY Futs +1.3% vs Cash; JP CORE Inflation hits 4%; Kishida: too early to discuss BOJ 2% policy...

Mark Chadwick

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