Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>TSMC: +22% Premium; Consider Shorting ADR Spread at Current Level</li>
<li>UMC: -1.4% Discount; Wait for More Extreme Discount Before Going Long the Spread</li>
<li>CHT: +0.9% Premium; Can Consider Shorting the Premium at This Level or Higher</li>
</ul>


TSMC: +22% Premium; Consider Shorting ADR Spread at Current Level
UMC: -1.4% Discount; Wait for More Extreme Discount Before Going Long the Spread
CHT: +0.9% Premium; Can Consider Shorting the Premium at This Level or Higher


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Rises Further, to Short Level; UMC Discount

Technology / Semiconductor / Internet Research

Nicolas Baratte

<ul>
<li>Samsung 3nm yields improving (50-60%) but still far behind TSMC (85-90%)</li>
<li>SK Hynix is finalizing HBM4 agreements with Nvidia, Samsung is still not qualified for HBM3e.</li>
<li>Huawei into semiconductor chemicals? The vulnerability is photo-resist, but that's very hard to do </li>
</ul>


Samsung 3nm yields improving (50-60%) but still far behind TSMC (85-90%)
SK Hynix is finalizing HBM4 agreements with Nvidia, Samsung is still not qualified for HBM3e.
Huawei into semiconductor chemicals? The vulnerability is photo-resist, but that's very hard to do 


Samsung Still in the Woods, SK Hynix Still Ahead. China Semi News (Huawei)

<ul>
<li>Large impact of H20 discontinued sales to China. Including the impact, 1-2Q26 are inline with consensus. Adding back the H20 missed revenues, 1-2Q26 would have been ~10% above Consensus. </li>
<li>The ramp of GB200 is very impressive, demonstrating Jensen's point: "it drives down cost and improves quality of response with higher speed". The Good Times Keep Rolling.</li>
<li>This means that Consensus most likely does not need to revise down FY26 forecasts. This means that the stock is cheap-ish, trading at 31x FY26 EPS and 24x FY27.</li>
</ul>


Large impact of H20 discontinued sales to China. Including the impact, 1-2Q26 are inline with consensus. Adding back the H20 missed revenues, 1-2Q26 would have been ~10% above Consensus. 
The ramp of GB200 is very impressive, demonstrating Jensen's point: "it drives down cost and improves quality of response with higher speed". The Good Times Keep Rolling.
This means that Consensus most likely does not need to revise down FY26 forecasts. This means that the stock is cheap-ish, trading at 31x FY26 EPS and 24x FY27.


Nvidia 1Q26: The Good Times Keep Rolling, the Stock Is Not Expensive

<ul>
<li>Google’s Pixel Chips to Go All-In on TSMC After Using Samsung Foundry Previously</li>
<li>TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): TSMC Provides Updates at 2025 Technology Symposium in Hsinchu Today. </li>
<li>GlobalWafers (6488.TT): Shareholders’ Meeting Held; US Tariff Effects Pending; SiC Chances Ahead. </li>
</ul>


Google’s Pixel Chips to Go All-In on TSMC After Using Samsung Foundry Previously
TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): TSMC Provides Updates at 2025 Technology Symposium in Hsinchu Today. 
GlobalWafers (6488.TT): Shareholders’ Meeting Held; US Tariff Effects Pending; SiC Chances Ahead. 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Google's Pixel Going All-In on TSMC; TSMC 2025 Symposium Key Take-Aways

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>A total of 154 submissions on proposed tariffs by the US authorities on semiconductors were received by the closing date of May 7, 2025</li>
<li>Key submissions were made by TSMC, Intel, Texas Instruments, Lam Research, Micron etc. Notable by their absence were Apple, AMD, Cadence, Synopsys, Broadcom, Marvell etc.</li>
<li>The submissions by key players were universally negative on any types of tariffs with many warnings about unintended consequences as well as the threat of reciprocal tariffs from other countries. </li>
</ul>


A total of 154 submissions on proposed tariffs by the US authorities on semiconductors were received by the closing date of May 7, 2025
Key submissions were made by TSMC, Intel, Texas Instruments, Lam Research, Micron etc. Notable by their absence were Apple, AMD, Cadence, Synopsys, Broadcom, Marvell etc.
The submissions by key players were universally negative on any types of tariffs with many warnings about unintended consequences as well as the threat of reciprocal tariffs from other countries. 


Semiconductor Tariffs. No Thanks, But If You Insist...

Taiwan

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

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TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR (TSM US)

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Rises Further, to Short Level; UMC Discount

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Samsung Still in the Woods, SK Hynix Still Ahead. China Semi News (Huawei)

Samsung's 3nm yields are improving but still lag behind TSMC. SK Hynix finalizing HBM4 agreements with Nvidia. Huawei exploring semiconductor...

Nicolas Baratte

Nvidia 1Q26: The Good Times Keep Rolling, the Stock Is Not Expensive

Discontinued H20 sales to China impact Q1-Q2 earnings, but results / guidance are inline with Consensus. Stock valuation not expensive.

Nicolas Baratte

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Google's Pixel Going All-In on TSMC; TSMC 2025 Symposium Key Take-Aways

Google is switching to TSMC for its Pixel chips, TSMC provides updates at technology symposium, GlobalWafers shareholders meeting held with US...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Semiconductor Tariffs. No Thanks, But If You Insist...

The submissions on proposed semiconductor tariffs were universally negative with many warnings about unintended consequences as well as the threat...

William Keating

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium Rises Further, to Short Level; UMC Discount

We analyze the premium and discount levels of dual-listed Taiwan companies, suggesting potential spread trading levels based on historical trends.

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Samsung Still in the Woods, SK Hynix Still Ahead. China Semi News (Huawei)

​Samsung's 3nm yields are improving but still lag behind TSMC. SK Hynix finalizing HBM4 agreements with Nvidia. Huawei exploring semiconductor...

Nicolas Baratte

Nvidia 1Q26: The Good Times Keep Rolling, the Stock Is Not Expensive

​Discontinued H20 sales to China impact Q1-Q2 earnings, but results / guidance are inline with Consensus. Stock valuation not expensive.

Nicolas Baratte

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Google's Pixel Going All-In on TSMC; TSMC 2025 Symposium Key Take-Aways

​Google is switching to TSMC for its Pixel chips, TSMC provides updates at technology symposium, GlobalWafers shareholders meeting held with US...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Semiconductor Tariffs. No Thanks, But If You Insist...

The submissions on proposed semiconductor tariffs were universally negative with many warnings about unintended consequences as well as the threat...

William Keating

Samsung's 3nm yields are improving but still lag behind TSMC. SK Hynix finalizing HBM4 agreements with Nvidia. Huawei exploring semiconductor...

Discontinued H20 sales to China impact Q1-Q2 earnings, but results / guidance are inline with Consensus. Stock valuation not expensive.

Google is switching to TSMC for its Pixel chips, TSMC provides updates at technology symposium, GlobalWafers shareholders meeting held with US...