Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img class="editor-image img-responsive" src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/048/809/original/CP%20header.jpg?1522726555" data-smartkarma-image-id="48809"></figure><p><strong>S&amp;P roll points</strong></p><div style="text-align: left;">Our base case from S&amp;P 2,800 revolved around a C wave decline to break the early February lows with a pivot level at S&amp;P 2,590. We outline our matrix variables from the near term bull bond pattern to the VIX bull wedge that supports further weakness in the S&amp;P along with S&amp;P and DJI fresh pivot support breaks and the near term fade resistance to pay close attention to</div><div style="text-align: left;">Re breaking below 2,526 pivot was the trigger to add back to short exposure. We opted to add to our NDX short.</div><div style="text-align: left;">
<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img class="editor-image img-responsive" src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/048/810/original/SPX%20D%20HOURLY%20NEW%20FOR%20SK.png?1522726597" data-smartkarma-image-id="48810"></figure><p><strong>S&amp;P</strong> -…</p>
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S&amp;P roll pointsOur base case from S&amp;P 2,800 revolved around a C wave decline to break the early February lows with a pivot level at S&amp;P 2,590. We outline our matrix variables from the near term bull bond pattern to the VIX bull wedge that supports further weakness in the S&amp;P along with S&amp;P and DJI fresh pivot support breaks and the near term fade resistance to pay close attention toRe breaking below 2,526 pivot was the trigger to add back to short exposure. We opted to add to our NDX short.
S&amp;P -…


Nasdaq-100 Stock Index / Technical Analysis

<figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img class="editor-image img-responsive" src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/048/281/original/CP%20header.jpg?1522122058" data-smartkarma-image-id="48281"></figure><p>In our macro weekend edition we outlined a tactical bounce level from S&amp;P 2,600-2,590.</p><p><strong>S&amp;P</strong> - 2,660 was sliced through but the primary support lies at 2,600-2,590. Below the later would seek out a new low near 2,450. Near term we see at least a tactical bounce from the lower 2,600 region with fresh resistance now at 2,660 and bigger resistance at 2,688 (then rolls over again).</p><p><strong>DJI </strong>- Triangle support break was a game changer and implies we try for a new chart low near sub 23k but near term we are…</p>

In our macro weekend edition we outlined a tactical bounce level from S&amp;P 2,600-2,590.S&amp;P - 2,660 was sliced through but the primary support lies at 2,600-2,590. Below the later would seek out a new low near 2,450. Near term we see at least a tactical bounce from the lower 2,600 region with fresh resistance now at 2,660 and bigger resistance at 2,688 (then rolls over again).DJI - Triangle support break was a game changer and implies we try for a new chart low near sub 23k but near term we are…

Economist (US Macro), RDQ Economics

Conrad DeQuadros

Economist (US Macro)

RDQ Economics

RDQ Economics provides global macroeconomic consulting services with an emphasis on U.S. economic fundamentals and monetary policy.  
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Our views are driven by consistent application of classical economic and monetary principles and has generated superior anticipation of changes in the stance of monetary policy and of movements in economic growth and inflation.
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The founders of RDQ Economics—John Ryding and Conrad DeQuadros—worked together on Wall Street for a decade, in the independent research space for nine years, and have experience in central banking at the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England.  John and Conrad have worked closely with fixed income, foreign exchange, and equity traders and portfolio managers, which has enabled their analysis and advice to be tailored to a clientele that is focused on trading and investment decisions.

Credit

<p>As was widely expected, the FOMC raised the fed funds rate target range by 25 basis points today to 1½%–1¾%. The vote to raise rates was unanimous.</p><p>The Fed statement noted that the “labor market has continued to strengthen and that economic activity has been rising at a moderate rate.” Also, “Job gains have been strong in recent months, and the unemployment rate has stayed low. Recent data suggest that growth rates of household spending and business fixed investment have moderated from their…</p>

As was widely expected, the FOMC raised the fed funds rate target range by 25 basis points today to 1½%–1¾%. The vote to raise rates was unanimous.The Fed statement noted that the “labor market has continued to strengthen and that economic activity has been rising at a moderate rate.” Also, “Job gains have been strong in recent months, and the unemployment rate has stayed low. Recent data suggest that growth rates of household spending and business fixed investment have moderated from their…

Fed Hikes Rates 25bps And Signals A More Data-Dependent Reaction Function

Global Asset Allocation, Politics & Governance, Ecstrat

John-Paul Smith

Global Asset Allocation, Politics & Governance

Ecstrat

Ecstrat is a consultancy advising on asset allocation between global equity markets, with a focus on the intersection of governments, geopolitics, governance and markets.
 
Over the past few years and more especially since the Great Financial Crisis (GFC), investors have become more focused on short-term market movements and real-time returns and have consequently neglected the analysis of the underlying structural themes that underpin longer term performance.
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More specifically we believe that the evolution of governance-based relationships between investors, controlling shareholders, labour and the state is one of the primary determinants of both relative and absolute performance between individual equity markets.
 
We will endeavour to provide investors with some of the context surrounding governance-related issues which encompass many different disciplines including history, economics and political science, as well as the financial metrics which are the most obvious manifestation of the structural characteristics of each market.
 
We will pay particular attention to the shifts and potential inflection points for governance in individual markets as these are often the best lead indicators for both economic and market performance.

Cross Asset Strategy

<p>As I suggested in the 2018 Outlook report published in December (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/global-equities-china-technology-and-politics-to-dominate-2018" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:15961">Global Equities: China, Technology and Politics to Dominate 2018</a>), the escalation of tension between the US and China could represent a watershed moment for expectations of global growth and the future of emerging markets, as the post-1991 settlement which facilitated the globalisation of trade and investment flows and kick-started the peace dividend, begins to partially unravel. Against this backdrop, none of the major emerging equity markets offers a combination of attractive valuations together with good or improving sovereign and/or corporate governance factors. This leaves me once again clinging to those markets, such as Thailand, Mexico, Qatar, Taiwan, the Philippines and possibly India, which appear to have defensive qualities, including a relatively low exposure to the direct or indirect effects of the ‘Cold War II’, as the best way to generate relative outperformance.</p>

As I suggested in the 2018 Outlook report published in December (Global Equities: China, Technology and Politics to Dominate 2018), the escalation of tension between the US and China could represent a watershed moment for expectations of global growth and the future of emerging markets, as the post-1991 settlement which facilitated the globalisation of trade and investment flows and kick-started the peace dividend, begins to partially unravel. Against this backdrop, none of the major emerging equity markets offers a combination of attractive valuations together with good or improving sovereign and/or corporate governance factors. This leaves me once again clinging to those markets, such as Thailand, Mexico, Qatar, Taiwan, the Philippines and possibly India, which appear to have defensive qualities, including a relatively low exposure to the direct or indirect effects of the ‘Cold War II’, as the best way to generate relative outperformance.

Emerging Markets Have the Most to Lose from the New ‘Cool War’

<p>USD downside momentum and conviction has tapered off with the prospect of higher yields down the road but recent weakness has been more about USD outflows. Our cycle work is leaning to a final bout of USD weakness into our DXY 87 turn target zone that would act as a key turning point for the dollar.</p><p>We have a key line in the sand for the 10yr yield at 3% above which would start to lend support for a USD bottom. The current yield posture implies we waffle within a correction falling wedge pattern…</p>

USD downside momentum and conviction has tapered off with the prospect of higher yields down the road but recent weakness has been more about USD outflows. Our cycle work is leaning to a final bout of USD weakness into our DXY 87 turn target zone that would act as a key turning point for the dollar.We have a key line in the sand for the 10yr yield at 3% above which would start to lend support for a USD bottom. The current yield posture implies we waffle within a correction falling wedge pattern…

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S&P Trap Door Support Break

S&P roll pointsOur base case from S&P 2,800 revolved around a C wave decline to break the early February lows with a pivot level at S&P...

Thomas Schroeder

Next Fade Trade in Tech

In our macro weekend edition we outlined a tactical bounce level from S&P 2,600-2,590.S&P - 2,660 was sliced through but the primary...

Thomas Schroeder

Fed Hikes Rates 25bps And Signals A More Data-Dependent Reaction Function

As was widely expected, the FOMC raised the fed funds rate target range by 25 basis points today to 1½%–1¾%. The vote to raise rates was...

RDQ Economics

Emerging Markets Have the Most to Lose from the New ‘Cool War’

As I suggested in the 2018 Outlook report published in December (Global Equities: China, Technology and Politics to Dominate 2018), the escalation...

John-Paul Smith

USD Major Cycle Low in Sight

USD downside momentum and conviction has tapered off with the prospect of higher yields down the road but recent weakness has been more about USD...

Thomas Schroeder

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