In today’s briefing:
- Quiddity Leaderboard SP500/600 Sep26 Rebal: Final Expectations
- Primer: Jabil (J2BL34 BR) – Sep 2026
- Lyft’s $5.5 Billion Bookings Surge — Can Record Rider Growth Keep Driving Margins?
- Primer: Hilton (H1LT34 BR) – Sep 2026
- America’s Depleting Cushion: Record Oil Output, a Depleted SPR, and a Venezuelan Mirage
- Rigetti Computing’s $100 Million Quantum Push — Can Government Support Accelerate Scale?
- Casella Waste’s Landfill Surge — C&D Volumes Jump Roughly 17%!
- Arrow Electronics’ $1 Billion Cash Flow Milestone — Financial Flexibility Is Building!
- Doximity Builds A Physician AI Powerhouse — Ask, Scribe & Decision Support Converge!
- Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 4 September
Quiddity Leaderboard SP500/600 Sep26 Rebal: Final Expectations
- The SP 500 index tracks the 500 largest US-listed names and is one of the most highly-tracked indices in the world.
- The rankings used for the September 2026 index rebal event will be based on yesterday’s (2 September 2026) opening prices. The announcement will be made after the close on Friday.
- In this insight, we take a look at our final expectations for ADDs/DELs (along with a tracker of all live spinoff/M&A events which affect the index the next few quarters).
Primer: Jabil (J2BL34 BR) – Sep 2026
- Strategic Portfolio Transformation Toward Regulated & High-Growth Markets: Jabil has systematically de-risked its operating model by divesting high-volatility, lower-margin consumer mobility manufacturing and redeploying capital into secular growth verticals, specifically AI/cloud data center infrastructure, healthcare/medtech, automotive electrification, and renewable energy.
- Structural Free Cash Flow Generation Supporting Capital Returns: The company exhibits strong cash flow conversion, underscored by a 3-year Free Cash Flow CAGR of 68.61% and annual operating cash flows consistently exceeding 9.3 billion (in reporting currency), enabling proactive share repurchases, balance sheet optimization, and a 13.47% 3-year dividend CAGR.
- Resilient Margin Profile Amid Cycle Re-acceleration: Despite top-line portfolio rationalization (-1.06% 3-year revenue CAGR), gross margins have expanded toward the 8.8%–9.3% range, underpinned by design-led manufacturing, advanced thermal and power management solutions for hyperscalers, and sticky, multi-year customer relationships.
This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.
Lyft’s $5.5 Billion Bookings Surge — Can Record Rider Growth Keep Driving Margins?
- The Lyft Company reported strong operational and financial performance in the second quarter of 2026, highlighted by record metrics and continued growth across multiple business segments.
- Active riders reached an all-time high of over 30 million, and the company completed 262 million rides during the quarter, positioning it to exceed 1 billion rides for the full year.
- The growth was driven by a diverse set of factors, including expansion in North America’s large and low-scale markets, significant progress in Canada, and ongoing organic growth in European markets following the integration of the Freenow platform.
Primer: Hilton (H1LT34 BR) – Sep 2026
- Asset-Light Compounding Engine: Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. operates an industry-leading, capital-light franchise and management model (>90% fee-based rooms) that generates predictable, high-margin cash flows, minimal maintenance capital expenditure requirements, and exceptional free cash flow conversion exceeding 95%.
- Formidable Brand Architecture and Loyalty Moat: With a global portfolio spanning 24+ differentiated brands from luxury to premium economy and a rapidly growing Hilton Honors loyalty membership of over 180 million members, Hilton captures over 50% of room nights directly, driving superior RevPAR index premiums for hotel owners and reinforcing developer preference.
- Robust Unit Growth and Capital Returns: Net unit growth (NUG) remains disciplined at 5-6% annually, supported by an industry-leading pipeline and rapid-conversion brand rollouts (Spark, LivSmart Studios, Graduate Hotels). Robust balance sheet management enables significant capital return via share repurchases and regular dividend distributions, balanced against premium valuation multiples (EV/EBITDA of 26.5x).
This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.
America’s Depleting Cushion: Record Oil Output, a Depleted SPR, and a Venezuelan Mirage
- The SPR sits near its statutory floor with degraded withdrawal capacity, leaving the U.S. far less room to absorb the next major supply shock.
- Record U.S. production hasn’t rebuilt reserves. Gradually rising output and strong export demand mean few barrels are being diverted to SPR storage.
- Trump’s Venezuela deal is unlikely to “top out” the SPR in 2026, as heavy crude quality, damaged infrastructure, and no DOE program stand in the way.
Rigetti Computing’s $100 Million Quantum Push — Can Government Support Accelerate Scale?
- Rigetti Computing reported second quarter 2026 financial results highlighting both technical advancements and ongoing challenges within the quantum computing industry.
- The company reiterated progress on its Cepheus-class 108-qubit system, which remains one of the highest qubit count, gate-based quantum computers globally, distinguished by its modular chiplet-based architecture.
- Rigetti reported median single-qubit gate fidelity around 99.9% and two-qubit fidelity near 99.1% with gate speeds approximately 60 nanoseconds.
Casella Waste’s Landfill Surge — C&D Volumes Jump Roughly 17%!
- Casella Waste Systems delivered a quarter that reflected solid underlying execution, although reported margin progression was restrained by fuel-related revenue gross-ups, acquisition dilution, and weaker Resource Solutions comparisons.
- Management indicated that the base business generated more than 50 basis points of margin expansion after excluding acquisition effects, supported by pricing, higher landfill volumes, and positive price-cost performance.
- This suggests that the core operating model remains healthy, even though consolidated adjusted EBITDA margin declined year over year.
Arrow Electronics’ $1 Billion Cash Flow Milestone — Financial Flexibility Is Building!
- Arrow Electronics reported second-quarter 2026 revenue of $10 billion, up 32% year-over-year, while operating margin expanded 120 basis points to 4%, exceeding expectations.
- Non-GAAP EPS rose 124% to $5.45, supported by unit volume growth, price inflation, disciplined expense and working capital management, and operating leverage.
- Demand remained broad across geographies, verticals, and customer segments, with strength in industrial, aerospace and defense, transportation, and technology markets influenced by AI investment.
Doximity Builds A Physician AI Powerhouse — Ask, Scribe & Decision Support Converge!
- Doximity’s first quarter fiscal 2027 results showed continued revenue growth and increased investment in clinical artificial intelligence.
- Revenue rose 7% year-over-year to $157 million, exceeding the high end of guidance by 3%.
- Adjusted EBITDA reached $75 million, representing a 48% margin and an 8% outperformance versus guidance.
Global Base Oils Cargo Flows: Week To 4 September
- A large cargo of Group II base oils loaded from Taiwan in late August before heading to South Korea, set to arrive this week.
- Shipments from Taiwan typically move to China, Southeast Asia or India rather than to South Korea.
- Singapore-to-US shipments extended their surge for a second week, even as total Singapore exports declined.
