In today’s briefing:
- HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 24 Jan 2025); Again Big Net Buying by SB, Again on Tech
- A/H Premium Tracker (To 24 Jan 2025): AH Premia Fall Yet Again, Lowest Avg Premium in 5yrs… Again
- China Healthcare Weekly (Jan.26) – Key Takeaways from the Failure of Henlius Privatization, TCM M&As
- Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | Dec & Q424 Numbers | Airlines Outperform Trip.com (January 2025)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 24 Jan 2025); Again Big Net Buying by SB, Again on Tech
- SOUTHBOUND gross trading activity was again not stronger per day than the previous several weeks, but SB Net Buying was again BIG. Given the change in Tencent, remarkable even.
- The story was follow-through, but SMIC and Xiaomi were also big buys. This is shaping up to be a “let’s buy what US Persons cannot” moment.
- No sectors saw net selling through CCASS data five days to Weds. Top 10 activity was quite concentrated this week. Very few stray names.
A/H Premium Tracker (To 24 Jan 2025): AH Premia Fall Yet Again, Lowest Avg Premium in 5yrs… Again
- AH Premia are lower over the last few weeks of holiday and this past week of heavy SOUTHBOUND buying on telcos, banks, brokers, insurers, tech, and airlines.
- The average AH Premium across all pairs is now the lowest it has been in five years.
- INFO TECH and FINANCIALS saw significant H outperformance vs As this week. Most others (other than perhaps MATERIALS) were limited in their volatility. No bias by premium tranche seen.
China Healthcare Weekly (Jan.26) – Key Takeaways from the Failure of Henlius Privatization, TCM M&As
- There have been quite a few M&As in the field of TCM, with a clear trend of SOEs taking over TCM enterprises due to strategically significant and advantageous integration.
- Whether a drug can be approved does not depend on whether it has entered Phase II/III trials. The areas with clearly unmet medical needs often indicate good investment opportunities.
- The privatization of Henlius failed. Lin Lijun’s dissenting vote was based on a deliberate decision. We are optimistic about the outlook of Henlius due to its strong fundamentals and internationalization.
Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | Dec & Q424 Numbers | Airlines Outperform Trip.com (January 2025)
- Two years after most Covid restrictions ended, pace of travel recovery has slowed, naturally
- Gov’t estimates ahead of LNY travel period seem tepid, actual growth could exceed them
- Trip.com has been stellar performer in segment, but in recent months airlines outperformed
