ChinaDaily Briefs

Daily Brief China: Tencent, China Longyuan Power, Shanghai Henlius Biotech , Air China Ltd (H) and more

In today’s briefing:

  • HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 24 Jan 2025); Again Big Net Buying by SB, Again on Tech
  • A/H Premium Tracker (To 24 Jan 2025):  AH Premia Fall Yet Again, Lowest Avg Premium in 5yrs… Again
  • China Healthcare Weekly (Jan.26) – Key Takeaways from the Failure of Henlius Privatization, TCM M&As
  • Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | Dec & Q424 Numbers | Airlines Outperform Trip.com (January 2025)


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 24 Jan 2025); Again Big Net Buying by SB, Again on Tech

By Travis Lundy

  • SOUTHBOUND gross trading activity was again not stronger per day than the previous several weeks, but SB Net Buying was again BIG. Given the change in Tencent, remarkable even.
  • The story was follow-through, but SMIC and Xiaomi were also big buys. This is shaping up to be a “let’s buy what US Persons cannot” moment.
  • No sectors saw net selling through CCASS data five days to Weds. Top 10 activity was quite concentrated this week. Very few stray names.

A/H Premium Tracker (To 24 Jan 2025):  AH Premia Fall Yet Again, Lowest Avg Premium in 5yrs… Again

By Travis Lundy

  • AH Premia are lower over the last few weeks of holiday and this past week of heavy SOUTHBOUND buying on telcos, banks, brokers, insurers, tech, and airlines.
  • The average AH Premium across all pairs is now the lowest it has been in five years.
  • INFO TECH and FINANCIALS saw significant H outperformance vs As this week. Most others (other than perhaps MATERIALS) were limited in their volatility. No bias by premium tranche seen.  

China Healthcare Weekly (Jan.26) – Key Takeaways from the Failure of Henlius Privatization, TCM M&As

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • There have been quite a few M&As in the field of TCM, with a clear trend of SOEs taking over TCM enterprises due to strategically significant and advantageous integration.
  • Whether a drug can be approved does not depend on whether it has entered Phase II/III trials. The areas with clearly unmet medical needs often indicate good investment opportunities.
  • The privatization of Henlius failed. Lin Lijun’s dissenting vote was based on a deliberate decision. We are optimistic about the outlook of Henlius due to its strong fundamentals and internationalization. 

Monthly Chinese Tourism Tracker | Dec & Q424 Numbers | Airlines Outperform Trip.com (January 2025)

By Daniel Hellberg

  • Two years after most Covid restrictions ended, pace of travel recovery has slowed, naturally
  • Gov’t estimates ahead of LNY travel period seem tepid, actual growth could exceed them
  • Trip.com has been stellar performer in segment, but in recent months airlines outperformed

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