In today’s briefing:
- TSLA Earnings: Volatility Setup and Post-Release Price Behavior
- NIFTY 50 Tactical Outlook (Post-Easter Targets)
- The Key to Japanese Equity Outperformance Is a Step Beyond Shareholder Returns
TSLA Earnings: Volatility Setup and Post-Release Price Behavior
- A detailed analysis of price patterns, implied vol and the earnings implied jump in TSLA options compared to historical outcomes.
- Pre- and post-earnings price movements are examined to assess directional tendencies, patterns and magnitude.
- Price returns in the 1-month following earnings show a distinctly different pattern between beats and misses.
NIFTY 50 Tactical Outlook (Post-Easter Targets)
- The strong rebound from the crash low signals resilience in the NIFTY Index, and notably, the index appears to be staging a short-term breakout from its recent downtrend.
- Is this the start of a rally? It’s hard to say, given the current economic uncertainty—however, our model suggests the index could extend its gains for another week.
- The rally should be limited, a good profit target according to our model is between 24039 and 24496.
The Key to Japanese Equity Outperformance Is a Step Beyond Shareholder Returns
- A benefit of inflation was expected to shift from management that accumulates cash to management that proactively uses cash. However, it’s been used for shareholder returns but less for apex.
- Hitachi is one of few companies that manage business in disciplined manner and execute the necessary growth investments. This is more result of overseas investor engagement than corporate governance reform.
- The key to Japanese equities outperformance is whether management can change to mindset that investors want to see “positive investment and the ability to implement measures to expand corporate value.”
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