In today’s briefing:
- Zijin Gold IPO: The Investment Case
- Ecopro Co: Pursuing a PRS Deal Worth About 700 Billion Won Using Its Stake in Ecopro BM
- JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP) – Smelting Cuts Reinforce Materials Pivot
- Global Commodities: Risk premium out, storage premium in
- Gold Reaches New All-Time Highs & UBS Expects More Agriculture Buying
- Valterra Platinum (VAL SJ): Upweight in Global and South African Indices Following $2.5B Offering
- Strategic Positioning Strengthens as Sangdong Nears Commissioning
- A Basket of High-Risk, High-Reward, Critical Metal Miners with Strategic Value – Pt 2
- Sri Lanka Cushions U.S. Tariff Shock, Faces Twin EU Compliance Tests
- Endeavour Silver — On a path to becoming a senior silver producer

Zijin Gold IPO: The Investment Case
- Zijin Gold (2579355D HK) is a global leading gold mining company and the overseas gold segment of Zijin Mining Group (601899 CH). It is seeking to raise US$3 billion.
- Zijin Gold hold interests in eight gold mines located in gold-rich regions across South America, Oceania, Central Asia and Africa.
- The investment case is bullish due to a diversified mine portfolio, strong growth, an attractive margin profile, robust cash generation, and modest leverage.
Ecopro Co: Pursuing a PRS Deal Worth About 700 Billion Won Using Its Stake in Ecopro BM
- Several local news outlets reported that Ecopro Co is pursuing a plan to raise about 700 billion won through a PRS agreement using its stake in Ecopro BM as collateral.
- Ecopro BM currently has a market cap of 11.4 trillion won. A PRS worth 700 billion won (assuming no change in share price), represents 6.1% of Ecopro BM’s market cap.
- Although Ecopro has not officially announced this PRS deal, we believe that this is a high probability (70%-80%+) that this deal will get done in the next several weeks.
JX Advanced Metals (5016 JP) – Smelting Cuts Reinforce Materials Pivot
- Copper Output Cuts: JX Advanced Metals will reduce electrolytic copper production by ~30kt (~5–8% of capacity) in FY25, with further smelting downscaling by March 2026.
- Margins have collapsed as TC/RCs plunged into negative territory (~–$45/t vs $80/t in 2023), amid concentrate shortages and Chinese overcapacity.
- Smelting will be retained mainly for rare-metal recovery (tantalum, indium, rhenium), while JX doubles down on semiconductor materials and upstream mineral projects.
Global Commodities: Risk premium out, storage premium in
- Global oil demand remains relatively healthy with little signs of a near term global recession
- Sanctions on Russia and Iran could impact oil supply, but buyers are finding ways to navigate around restrictions
- Non-OPEC supply is expected to outpace global demand, leading to a surplus and potentially pushing prices into the 60s by year end.
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Gold Reaches New All-Time Highs & UBS Expects More Agriculture Buying
- Meanwhile, the other commodity cohorts are now deeply “undervalued” when compared to the price of gold.
- Commodities excluding gold, relative to gold prices, have fallen to their lowest level since 2021, according to a graphic by Topdown Charts…
- In the latest UBS CTA-flow analysis, the investment bank says that it “expects more agricultural buybacks in the coming weeks.”
Valterra Platinum (VAL SJ): Upweight in Global and South African Indices Following $2.5B Offering
- Anglo American (AAL LN) retained a 20% stake in Valterra Platinum (VAL SJ) following its demerger at the end of May 2025.
- Anglo American (AAL LN) sold its entire stake in Valterra for $2.5bn via a placement expected to be completed on 9 September.
- The free float is expected to increase by 20 percentage points, triggering passive fund demand of $360m and 1.7 ADV in Global and South African indices.
Strategic Positioning Strengthens as Sangdong Nears Commissioning
- Almonty Industries Inc. delivered first half 2025 results that highlight both the transitional state of its operating portfolio and the considerable strategic progress achieved in the period.
- For the six months ended June 30, 2025, revenue totaled C$15.10 million, down modestly from C$15.76 million in the prior-year period, while the net loss widened sharply to C$92.83 million compared with C$5.58 million in the first half of 2024.
- The increase in losses was driven primarily by non-cash revaluation charges related to warrants and embedded derivatives, along with higher share-based compensation and increased corporate expenses linked to the company’s redomiciling and U.S. listing preparations.
A Basket of High-Risk, High-Reward, Critical Metal Miners with Strategic Value – Pt 2
- Critical Minerals Outside of China Will Command A Strategic Premium
- As risk appetite in the mining sector increases, the biggest gains will be in the junior miners and exploration companies
- We highlight eight companies as a basket of such miners which should benefit from these trends
Sri Lanka Cushions U.S. Tariff Shock, Faces Twin EU Compliance Tests
- June exports dipped 1.04% YoY but rose 11% month-on-month
- Sri Lanka uses diplomacy to safeguard US$300 million US market
- Domestic Reforms, EU market access next on agenda
Endeavour Silver — On a path to becoming a senior silver producer
Endeavour Silver (EDR) is poised for a step change as the integration of Kolpa and the ramp-up of Terronera nearly double output and cement its transition to a senior silver producer. A quality asset portfolio and a robust growth pipeline position the company to capture upside from favourable commodity prices and attractive long-term industry fundamentals. The stock trades at a visible discount to peers despite offering the highest exposure to silver and strong earnings momentum.
