Daily BriefsEquity Bottom-Up

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Inside Samsung’s HBM3E Chicken Game and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Inside Samsung’s HBM3E Chicken Game
  • [Earnings Review] Qualcomm Rides Android Wave, But Apple Exit and Licensing Strains Linger


Inside Samsung’s HBM3E Chicken Game

By Sanghyun Park

  • Samsung’s playing its old game—sacrificing margins to shake rivals—aiming to disrupt DRAM and win HBM4, assuming it clears NVIDIA’s HBM3E qual test soon.
  • Local intel says no official word from Samsung yet, but the street thinks qual’s done—hence Samsung’s bold HBM3E tone and oversupply warning on the call.
  • There’s urgency—Samsung’s undercutting Hynix now to stop them from reinvesting cash into DRAM fab expansion, a playbook Samsung once dominated with.

[Earnings Review] Qualcomm Rides Android Wave, But Apple Exit and Licensing Strains Linger

By Raghav Vashisht

  • Handset and edge networking demand powered a strong QCT beat, but licensing growth underwhelmed, and margins declined sequentially.
  • Apple modem revenues will fade by 2026, and the management conspicuously avoided commentary on China auto; both adding to uncertainty.
  • Snapdragon X’s monetisation has been deferred,  while XR design momentum was a rare bright spot beyond mobile.

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