Daily BriefsEquity Bottom-Up

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Plover Bay (1523 HK): Slight Deceleration But Solid H1 FY25 And Optimistic Future Growth and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Plover Bay (1523 HK): Slight Deceleration But Solid H1 FY25 And Optimistic Future Growth
  • Softwar: An Intimate Portrait of Larry Ellison and Oracle $ORCL (Fintwit Book Club July 2025)
  • Microsoft FYQ425. Who Says Elephants Can’t Dance?
  • Buy Hamee Corp
  • Asian Dividend Gems: Soft World Intl (5478 TT)
  • Apple 3Q25 (Jun-25): Good 10% Beat, 4Q 5% Above Consensus. Great but Questions on Services Remain
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (01-Aug-2025): Hyundai chief joins Samsung, Hanwha in US tariff blitz.
  • Execution Remains Key For Mineral Resources
  • Tokyo Electron (8035 JP): Q1 FY03/26 flash update
  • Brightstar Lottery Capital Return Continues to Exceed Expectations


Plover Bay (1523 HK): Slight Deceleration But Solid H1 FY25 And Optimistic Future Growth

By Sameer Taneja

  • Plover Bay Technologies (1523 HK) reported 9.9%/13.4% YoY revenue/net profit growth, led by growth from customers in the EMEA and Asia (with the US being a drag).
  • Earnings were more or less in line with our preview, Plover Bay (1523 HK): Preview On Earnings For H1 2025, but revenues were slightly weaker, and margins were stronger.
  • The stock trades at 21.5x PE FY25e (assuming 15% growth), with a 4.4% dividend yield (assuming an 80% payout), but we acknowledge there could be upside to our earnings. 

Softwar: An Intimate Portrait of Larry Ellison and Oracle $ORCL (Fintwit Book Club July 2025)

By Yet Another Value Podcast

  • Institutional investors are turning to AI to analyze SEC filings and earnings call transcripts, with Fintool offering a quicker and more efficient solution.
  • The biography of Larry Ellison, focusing on Oracle during the dot com crisis, provides insight into Ellison’s leadership style and business strategies.
  • Despite some mixed feelings about Oracle and Ellison’s personality, his vision for the future of computing, such as using commodity hardware and smartphones, has proven to be accurate in hindsight.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Microsoft FYQ425. Who Says Elephants Can’t Dance?

By William Keating

  • Q425 revenues of $76.4 billion, up 5.5% QoQ, 18% YoY and handily beating guidance of $73.8 billion.
  • Azure surpassed $75 billion in revenue in FY25, up 34% YoY, driven by growth across all workloads.
  • Contracted backlog grew by $53 billion QoQ to reach $368 billion. Wow!

Buy Hamee Corp

By Richard Howe

  • Some of my favorite situations are international spin-offs because they fly under the radar. Hamee has not been written up on VIC, Seeking Alpha or Twitter (I found one writeup on Substack).
  • The company is 3 months away from breaking up into two separate companies which both look attractive. It is currently classified as a Specialty Retail company but will spin off a high growth, high margin, SaaS company in November that I estimate is worth more than the entire company’s market cap today.
  • The stock looks compelling on an absolute basis (5.1x NTM EBITDA) and SOTP basis. I see 31% to 117% upside over the next 6 months as the break up is completed.

Asian Dividend Gems: Soft World Intl (5478 TT)

By Douglas Kim

  • Soft World International has an integrated value chain/sizeable moat for its game development, distribution, payments, content, and events in Taiwan. 
  • The company is trading at attractive valuations. It is trading at EV/EBITDA of 3.7x, P/E of 13.4x, and P/B of 1.5x based on recent prices and LTM financials.
  • Net cash as a percentage of market cap is 79%. The company’s dividend yield remained steady at 6% in FY23 and FY24.

Apple 3Q25 (Jun-25): Good 10% Beat, 4Q 5% Above Consensus. Great but Questions on Services Remain

By Nicolas Baratte

  • 3Q25 saw an acceleration in revenues (+10% YoY) and EPS (+12%), after a long period of stagnation (2022-23-24 at ~3% growth). 4Q guidance is 5% above Consensus. 
  • Impact of US import tariffs is negligible. Services is the major growth driver and Apple has few answers on critical questions (Epic ruling, DoJ rulings against Google, AI roll out). 
  • The stock is expensive, as always  (27x FY26 EPS, 25x FY27 EPS) for sub-10% growth. Some people love the buybacks, the brand and dominant market position.

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (01-Aug-2025): Hyundai chief joins Samsung, Hanwha in US tariff blitz.

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Hyundai chief partners with Samsung and Hanwha in US tariff push, showing collaboration between major companies to address trade issues.
  • Arm CEO considers in-house chip production, signaling a strategic shift for the company towards more control over its manufacturing process.
  • BOE secures half of Apple’s MacBook screen orders, displacing LG Display, showcasing the competitiveness in the display market.

Execution Remains Key For Mineral Resources

By FNArena

  • While Mineral Resources performed strongly operationally in the fourth quarter, not everyone is comfortable with its debt and the outlook for commodity prices.
  • -Mineral Resources’ strong fourth quarter across all segments -Production outperformance, strong cashflows at Wodgina and Onslow -Onslow progressing toward nameplate capacity -Improving balance sheet, but sensitivity to commodity prices remains

Tokyo Electron (8035 JP): Q1 FY03/26 flash update

By Shared Research

  • In Q1 FY03/26, the company reported revenue of JPY549.6bn, operating profit of JPY144.7bn, and net income of JPY117.8bn.
  • The revised FY03/26 forecast projects revenue of JPY2.35tn, operating profit of JPY570.0bn, and net income of JPY444.0bn.
  • The company plans aggressive R&D investments, increasing from JPY250.0bn in FY03/25 to JPY295.0bn in FY03/26.

Brightstar Lottery Capital Return Continues to Exceed Expectations

By Richard Howe

  • Brightstar Lottery (BRSL) reported solid Q2 2025 results and is delivering on every aspect of the original thesis I laid out in June.
  • The company has now begun executing on the largest capital return in its history: a $3.00 per share tax-free special dividend (paid July 29) and a $250MM accelerated share repurchase (ASR) — the first half of a $500MM buyback authorization.
  • Brightstar also reiterated that it will maintain its $160MM annual dividend, so with fewer shares outstanding, the per-share dividend will increase, potentially rising to ~$0.22–$0.24 per quarter.

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