Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Reddit’s ChatGPT Collapse: A Warning Sign For All AI Content Sellers! and more

• Reddit shares have taken a sharp dive following a troubling drop in references from OpenAI’s ChatGPT platform, sparking fresh concerns over the stability of its AI licensing revenue stream.
• Once hailed as one of the most valuable sources of human-generated conversational data, Reddit has increasingly leaned into its role as a supplier of AI training material, boasting of its extensive corpus being the “#1 most cited domain” for large language models (LLMs).
• However, recent data showing a sharp decline in ChatGPT references has jolted investors, raising red flags about the longevity and sustainability of this monetization route.

• Global Infrastructure Partners (GIP), a unit of BlackRock, is reportedly closing in on a $38 billion deal to acquire AES Corporation, one of the largest utility and renewable infrastructure companies in the world.
• According to Financial Times, this would be among the biggest infrastructure transactions to date, valuing AES at an enterprise level that includes $29 billion in debt and $9.4 billion in market capitalization.
• Shares of AES surged more than 14% in pre-market trading following the report, although the company has been under pressure, with its stock declining over 30% in the past year.

• Acadia Healthcare faces mounting pressure from Khrom Capital Management LLC, a 5.5% shareholder, which has launched an activist campaign urging the company to explore strategic alternatives, including a potential sale.
• This comes amid prolonged underperformance, a burdensome debt profile, and investor dissatisfaction.
• In a strongly worded letter to Acadia’s board, Khrom pointed to a 71% stock price decline over the past three years and echoed calls from another activist, Engine Capital, which recently took a 3% stake.

• Recent Spin-off and Independent Growth Trajectory: Sony Financial Group (SFG) recently completed its spin-off from Sony Group, becoming a publicly traded entity on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. This strategic move is designed to allow SFG to pursue its own growth strategies with greater agility and focus on its core financial services businesses, while still leveraging the strong brand recognition of Sony.
• Diversified Financial Services Portfolio: SFG operates a well-established and diversified business portfolio consisting of life insurance (Sony Life), non-life insurance (Sony Assurance), and banking (Sony Bank). This diversification provides multiple revenue streams and helps to mitigate risks associated with any single segment of the financial services industry.
• Shareholder Return Initiatives Amidst Market Volatility: In conjunction with its listing, SFG has announced a significant share buyback program of up to ¥100 billion. This is intended to enhance capital efficiency and mitigate potential selling pressure from index rebalancing, demonstrating a commitment to shareholder returns during a transitional period for the stock.

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• Jardine Matheson is a diversified, Asia-focused conglomerate with a portfolio of market-leading businesses in sectors such as property, retail, automotive, and hospitality.
• The company is currently undergoing a strategic shift from an ‘owner-operator’ model to that of an engaged, investment-focused portfolio company, aiming to enhance long-term shareholder returns.
• While facing headwinds from its exposure to the Hong Kong and mainland China property markets, the company’s diversified portfolio and strong presence in Southeast Asia, particularly through its subsidiary Astra International, provide a degree of resilience and growth potential.

This content is AI-generated and displayed for general informational purposes only. Please verify independently before use.

• Intel’s stock recently spiked on a stunning twist in the semiconductor saga: reports indicate Intel could manufacture chips for longtime rival AMD.
• This development is sending shockwaves through the chip sector and has investors re-evaluating what was once unthinkable.
• As Intel CEO Lip-Bu Tan pushes to reinvent the company’s future, this move—if confirmed—signals a seismic shift in strategy.

• TSMC: +26.8% Premium; Remains at Historical Extreme; Earnings Release Ahead
• ChipMOS: +1.3% Premium; Wait for Higher Level Before Shorting the Spread
• CHT: -1.0% Discount; Good Level to Go Long the ADR Spread

• In a bold strategic step, Halozyme Therapeutics announced its agreement to acquire Boston-based drug delivery innovator Elektrofi for $750 million in cash, with up to $150 million more in milestone payments tied to three product approvals.
• The acquisition is expected to close in Q4 2025 and is being financed through a mix of cash reserves and debt, raising Halozyme’s net leverage to approximately 2x net debt-to-EBITDA.
• The move complements Halozyme’s existing ENHANZE platform with Elektrofi’s Hypercon technology, which enables ultra-high biologic concentrations of 400–500 mg/mL—4–5x above current industry norms—allowing for subcutaneous administration of large-molecule drugs in smaller volumes.

• Despite a few pockets of improved demand, key Transpacific trade remains weak
• Most carriers reported low (48% – 68%) but stable cargo load factors in August
• For carriers, still lots of empty space to sell; macro view shows no “snap-back”