Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Tencent (700 HK): 1Q25 and more

• In 1Q25, both total revenue and game revenue growth rates accelerated.
• The authorities have been turning from containing games to encouraging games.
• We expect the stock has an upside of 34% and a price target of HK$700. Buy.

• Raymond Lifestyle’s stock plummets 60% in six months post-demerger, due to lots of governance lapses.
• Corporate Governance Crisis: CEO,CFO, Director Resignations, Delayed disclosures, Controversial Remuneration and Many More.
• The company gave excuses such as inflation, an IT incident, etc. in their management meeting after not being able to deliver the performance.

• There is a brewing sibling conflict at the Kolmar Group. Kolmar Holdings and Kolmar BNH have clashed regarding the reorganization of Kolmar BNH’s board of directors.
• Yoon Sang-Hyun (brother) wants to shake things up. Yoon Sang-Hyun wants to appoint new members at Kolmar BNH’s BOD but his sister Yoon Yeo-Won is opposing this. 
• We see a higher upside for Kolmar Holdings. Our base case valuation of Kolmar Holdings is NAV per share of 14,675 won (57.5% upside from current levels).

• Origin story of the book: Becoming interested in Apple’s Achilles heel in China after being too bullish on the company’s success
• Focus on the role of manufacturing design engineers in custom manufacturing and orchestration of Apple’s supply chain in China
• Thesis of the book: Exploring Apple’s strategic positioning in China and the symbiotic relationship between economic scale and customer allure in the luxury market

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• Cognizant Technology Solutions reported its financial performance for the first quarter of 2025, demonstrating substantial growth and strategic progress amidst an evolving macroeconomic landscape.
• Revenue for the quarter was $5.1 billion, reflecting an 8.2% increase year-over-year in constant currency, largely driven by the acquisition of Belcan and organic growth in the Health Sciences and Financial Services sectors.
• This growth was instrumental in placing Cognizant in what the company refers to as the “Winner’s Circle,” indicating notable progress in achieving strategic targets.

• KLA Corporation reported strong financial results for the March quarter of 2025, with revenues of $3.06 billion, slightly exceeding the midpoint of their guidance.
• Their non-GAAP diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $8.41 and GAAP EPS of $8.16 also met the upper end of expectations.
• This performance was largely driven by robust demand in advanced logic, high-bandwidth memory (HBM), and significant contributions from its advanced packaging businesses.

• Last week, I wrote a quick article flagging the seemingly absurd valuation discrepancy of Chagee vis-a-vis beverage peers on the HK stock exchange i.e. Mixue and Guming, as well as Luckin Coffee on the OTC markets.
• Chagee currently trades around ~31 (doing extremely poorly on a good day), and at the bottom of its recent trading range; there is no analyst coverage and the firm has yet to report its Q1 25 results so it’s just really stuck in no-man’s land.
• I postulated then that delisting risk was an overhang on Chagee, a Chinese ADR, but lo and behold, it appears that the market has shrugged off a large portion of it for the large cap Chinese tech companies.

• ANSYS, Inc., a leader in engineering simulation software, presented mixed financial results for Q3 2023, weighed down by unexpected external challenges yet demonstrating robust business fundamentals.
• The quarter was significantly impacted by new U.S. Department of Commerce export restrictions on certain products to Chinese entities.
• These restrictions led to additional vetting requirements, resulting in transaction delays and a $20 million headwind, ultimately causing ANSYS to fall short of its initial revenue and ACV (annual contract value) expectations.

• Automatic Data Processing, Inc. (ADP) reported solid financial performance in its third quarter of fiscal year 2025, demonstrating robust capabilities amidst varying global economic conditions.
• The company achieved a 6% increase in revenue, alongside a 10 basis point rise in adjusted EBIT margin and a 6% growth in adjusted EPS.
• ADP showed significant growth across its U.S. portfolio, especially in its small business, mid-market, enterprise, and compliance solutions offerings.

• eBay Inc. began 2025 with results surpassing expectations across key financial metrics, despite a challenging operational environment triggered by ongoing trade policy changes and consumer concerns over increasing prices for imported goods.
• The first quarter saw a nearly 2% increase in Gross Merchandise Volume (GMV) to approximately $18.8 billion, marking a consecutive streak of positive growth for four quarters.
• The company’s revenue rose over 1% to $2.58 billion, and non-GAAP earnings per share grew by 10% to $1.38.