In today’s briefing:
- AUB Group (AUB AU) Opens Books To EQT’s NBIO
- Primer: James River Group Holdings (JRVR US) – Oct 2025
- Mbia Inc (MBI GFL 0 ’33) – Wednesday, Jul 30, 2025
- S&P/ASX 200 Outlook: Buy the Pullback or Sell?
- Entrust Inc (7191 JP): 1H FY03/26 flash update
- Arealink Co Ltd (8914 JP): Q3 FY12/25 flash update
- Matsui Securities (8628 JP): 1H FY03/26 flash update

AUB Group (AUB AU) Opens Books To EQT’s NBIO
- AUB Group Limited (AUB AU), which operates a network of insurance “matchmakers”, has announced a NBIO, via a Scheme, from EQT @ A$45/share, a ~40% premium to undisturbed.
- That indicative price is up from $43/share proposed on the 13th September (but not made public).
- AUB’s board has opted to open its books to EQT, on an exclusive basis, for six weeks. Tentatively, that expires on or around the 9th December.
Primer: James River Group Holdings (JRVR US) – Oct 2025
- James River is undergoing a significant strategic repositioning, having divested its volatile Casualty Reinsurance segment to focus on its core Excess & Surplus (E&S) Lines and Specialty Admitted Insurance businesses.
- The company faces considerable challenges, including a history of significant net losses, adverse reserve development, and substantial declines in market capitalization and revenue over multiple years.
- Despite a challenging financial track record, the company operates in the growing E&S market, which is benefiting from a hard market cycle with elevated premiums and stricter underwriting standards, presenting a potential tailwind.
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Mbia Inc (MBI GFL 0 ’33) – Wednesday, Jul 30, 2025
Key points (machine generated)
- The author reassesses the MBIA GFL 2033 Notes investment, highlighting a current buy-and-hold opportunity despite previous underperformance.
- The yield on the notes has risen from 10% to 15%, with a potential 10% internal rate of return achievable for investors.
- The resolution of the Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority bankruptcy is seen as key to increasing MBIA’s equity value and facilitating a sale.
This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.
S&P/ASX 200 Outlook: Buy the Pullback or Sell?
- The S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) has stalled since mid-August 2025, possibly a consolidation period after the strong gains delivered since Apri. Or maybe it’s about to go down…
- The index started a modest pullback this week, closing at 8926.20 on Wednesday. That price is just below our model Q1 support zone, not oversold yet.
- We have identified a key support zone that could be used for buy-the-dip strats, but if the index falls below that support, it may have ended its rally (short-term forecast).
Entrust Inc (7191 JP): 1H FY03/26 flash update
- Revenue increased by 15.8% YoY to JPY5.9bn, driven by growth in rent guarantee services.
- Operating profit rose 22.4% YoY to JPY1.4bn, with an operating profit margin of 23.7%.
- Total contracts in force reached 485,000, with Guarantee business contracts increasing 18.9% YoY to 382,000.
Arealink Co Ltd (8914 JP): Q3 FY12/25 flash update
- Overall revenue and profits increased YoY in 1H FY12/25, driven by the Self-Storage segment’s steady performance.
- Self-Storage segment revenue grew by 16.1% YoY, with a 13.0% YoY increase in total storage units.
- Land Rights Consolidation segment revenue and profit declined YoY due to business scaling back policy in FY12/25.
Matsui Securities (8628 JP): 1H FY03/26 flash update
- Net operating revenue increased 17.0% YoY and 8.4% QoQ to JPY11.6bn, with operating profit at JPY5.6bn.
- Total commissions rose 13.5% YoY and 16.3% QoQ to JPY6.1bn, driven by brokerage commissions increase.
- SG&A expenses were JPY6.0bn, up 14.4% YoY, with transaction-related expenses rising 20.1% YoY to JPY1.8bn.
