In today’s briefing:
- Merger Arb Mondays (08 Dec) – Makino, Pacific Ind, Jinke, ENN Energy, Qube, NSR, Predictive Disc
- 2026 High Conviction Idea: ‘Delhivery’ India’s Largest Full-Range Logistics Platform
- MHI (7011): AI Power Demand and Gas-Turbine Supercycle Accelerate

Merger Arb Mondays (08 Dec) – Makino, Pacific Ind, Jinke, ENN Energy, Qube, NSR, Predictive Disc
- I summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
- Highest spreads: Smart Share Global (EM US), Dongfeng Motor (489 HK), Qube Holdings (QUB AU), Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK), Makino Milling Machine Co (6135 JP), ENN Energy (2688 HK).
- Lowest spreads: Bright Smart Securities (1428 HK), Toyota Industries (6201 JP), Pacific Industrial (7250 JP), Low Keng Huat Singapore (LKH SP), Ainsworth Game Technology (AGI AU).
2026 High Conviction Idea: ‘Delhivery’ India’s Largest Full-Range Logistics Platform
- Delhivery has consolidated its leadership position in Express Parcel segment through ‘Ecom Express’ acquisition. We believe this is a cash-cow business with consistent mid-teens industry growth and sustainable 16-18% margins.
- Express PTL business is taking off along with the industry cycle. Supported by Delhivery’s tech stack and deep infrastructure, it is ready to corner market share with margin expansion.
- We estimate 15% revenue CAGR, translating to an EBITDA range of 1,000-1,300cr for FY28 (vs 376cr in FY25). With Net cash of 4,200cr, stock trades at EV/EBITDA of 20-25x.
MHI (7011): AI Power Demand and Gas-Turbine Supercycle Accelerate
- MHI benefits from two long-term supercycles—AI-driven power generation and global defense rearmament—with a recent pullback offering an appealing re-entry point.
- A global gas-turbine supercycle is boosting orders, pricing power, and margins as demand from hyperscalers and utilities exceeds manufacturing capacity.
- Markets have yet to fully price in structurally higher earnings and valuations driven by AI-linked power demand and persistent turbine supply constraints.
