Daily BriefsQuantitative Analysis

Daily Brief Quantitative Analysis: Screening for GEMs: October 2022 and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Screening for GEMs: October 2022
  • Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly: $4.4bn Inflows in September
  • Northbound Flows Monthly (September): CMB, Gree, CATL, Moutai

Screening for GEMs: October 2022

By Wium Malan, CFA

  • An overview (and output) of our machine learning-driven GEM screening model, which seeks to find the best medium-term long ideas within the top100 stocks in the MSCI GEM Index.
  • The model is based on 1) a quantitative multifactor screening model, enhanced by two AI Technology-based approaches; 2) a Deep Neural Network model, and 3) a Recurrent Neural Network model.
  • Developed over roughly 4 years and implemented in its current state for over 2 years, the model has a solid real-world alpha-generating performance track record, discussed in detail below.

Hong Kong Connect Flows Monthly: $4.4bn Inflows in September

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for the month of September.
  • We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outlfows, and holding by mainland investors.
  • We highlight inflows into Tencent, Wuxi Biologics, China Mobile, CNOOC, BYD and outflows from Geely, Sunny Optical, Kuaishou, HKEx.

Northbound Flows Monthly (September): CMB, Gree, CATL, Moutai

By Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

  • We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows for September with our data engine.
  • We estimate the monthly outflows to be USD 1,383.9 million, led by industrial, financial and consumer staple sectors.
  • We highlight inflows into Gree, Qinghai Salt Lake, Bank of Jiangsu, S.F. Holding, Daqin Railway, and outflows from CMB, CALT, Zhejiang Sanhua, Moutai, BOE.

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