Daily BriefsTechnical Analysis

Daily Brief Technical Analysis: “Lockout Rally” Underway; Downgrading China to Market Weight; Weak U.S. Dollar Is Risk-On Signal and more

In today’s briefing:

  • “Lockout Rally” Underway; Downgrading China to Market Weight; Weak U.S. Dollar Is Risk-On Signal


“Lockout Rally” Underway; Downgrading China to Market Weight; Weak U.S. Dollar Is Risk-On Signal

By Joe Jasper

  • We had a near-term bullish outlook on MSCI ACWI (ACWI-US) and the S&P 500 (SPX) from 4/22/25 to 11/18/25.
  • After being near-term neutral for a week, we flipped back to bullish in our 11/25/25 Compass, all while maintaining our intermediate-term bullish outlook (as of our 5/14/25 Compass).
  • We will stay near-term bullish as long as crucial support levels of 6480-6520 on SPX and $135.70 on ACWI-US continue to hold. 

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