In today’s briefing:
- Palantir Technologies Skyrocketing & Disappointing All Shorts: How Its AI-Oriented Ontology Framework Driving Deep Customer Lock-In!
- NVIDIA Gets Ditched Again: After Softbank, Now Peter Thiel Is Cashing Out Fast!
- BWX Technologies: Can Its SMR Bet Transform the Future of Clean Energy?
- Vertex Pharmaceuticals Shock Move: Is JOURNAVX Upping Its GAME In The Non-Opioid Pain Market?
- Klook IPO Preview: Category Leader in APAC and Gateway for Asia’s Fast-Growing Experiences Economy
- EIA, OPEC, IEA Sound Caution: Rising Supply and Inventories Threaten 2026 Price Stability
- NVDA Strong Quarter, Strong Guidance, Consensus ~20% Too Low, Stock Is Not Expensive
- Kyivstar (KYIV US): Resilient Growth Anchoring Ukraine’s Digital & Connectivity Needs
- Diamondback Energy: Inside the Sitio Acquisition- How Private Data Is Becoming Its Secret Weapon!
- Coasting as We Stalk for Buying Opportunity; Downgrading Discretionary to Underweight
Palantir Technologies Skyrocketing & Disappointing All Shorts: How Its AI-Oriented Ontology Framework Driving Deep Customer Lock-In!
- Palantir Technologies Inc. has recently reported an exceptionally strong set of financial results for Q3 2025, marked by significant revenue growth and an impressive expansion of its U.S. commercial business.
- The company reported a year-over-year revenue growth of 63%, with particularly notable performance in the U.S. where revenue increased by 77%.
- A major contributor to this success was the expansion of Palantir’s U.S. commercial segment, which grew by 121% year-over-year.
NVIDIA Gets Ditched Again: After Softbank, Now Peter Thiel Is Cashing Out Fast!
- NVIDIA Corporation’s recent earnings for the second quarter of fiscal 2026 highlighted a record quarter in terms of total revenue, driven by widespread adoption of its comprehensive product suite across various sectors.
- The company reported a total revenue of $46.7 billion, surpassing its expectations with substantial growth noted in its data center segment, which increased by 56% year-over-year.
- The rollout of new technology, including the Blackwell platform and GB300 systems, was cited as a key driver of this growth, facilitating NVIDIA’s expansion in the AI infrastructure space.
BWX Technologies: Can Its SMR Bet Transform the Future of Clean Energy?
- BWX Technologies, Inc. reported robust financial performance in the third quarter of 2025, although there are notable elements that both support and challenge its broader financial landscape.
- The company highlighted a 12% rise in organic revenue alongside approximately 20% growth in both adjusted EBITDA and earnings per share, indicating effective operational execution.
- A robust book-to-bill ratio of 2.6 further underscored BWXT’s booking strength, driven by significant contracts in national security, particularly in defense fuels and high-purity depleted uranium.
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Shock Move: Is JOURNAVX Upping Its GAME In The Non-Opioid Pain Market?
- Vertex Pharmaceuticals presented a robust financial performance for the third quarter of 2025, reporting a revenue of $3.08 billion, marking an 11% increase compared to the same period in 2024.
- This growth was spurred by continued strength in its cystic fibrosis (CF) portfolio, along with the expanding market presence of its newer treatments such as ALYFTREK and JOURNAVX.
- Positively, Vertex is diversifying its revenue streams beyond CF, with momentum building for CASGEVY—a onetime treatment for severe sickle cell disease and beta-thalassemia.
Klook IPO Preview: Category Leader in APAC and Gateway for Asia’s Fast-Growing Experiences Economy
- Klook Technology Limited, a SoftBank-backed Asia’s leading platform for experiences and travel activities, filed for an IPO in the United States.
- The company became a unicorn in 2018 and was valued at $1B+ in 2025. Goldman Sachs, J.P. Morgan and Morgan Stanley are the lead bankers on the upcoming offering.
- As of the end of Sep-25, Klook platform served 10.7M+ annual transacting users, spanning 200+ geographic markets worldwide. Since its launch, the mobile app has been downloaded ~70M times.
EIA, OPEC, IEA Sound Caution: Rising Supply and Inventories Threaten 2026 Price Stability
- Global oil outlooks diverged in November as the EIA cut demand forecasts, and the IEA lifted projections. However, both agencies expect supply to grow faster than demand.
- The EIA, IEA, and OPEC flag a rising risk of oversupply heading into 2026, noting that expanding production and already-elevated inventories could keep the market looser.
- Strong U.S. LNG exports prompted the EIA to raise its Henry Hub forecasts, signalling price strength will rely more on robust export demand than on domestic consumption this winter.
NVDA Strong Quarter, Strong Guidance, Consensus ~20% Too Low, Stock Is Not Expensive
- NVDA has $500bn revenue visibility for Blackwell and Rubin. This implies that Data Center Computing revenues will increase by ~70% in 2026.
- Cloud capacity is fully utilized, 6-year old GPU are fully utilized. Don’t worry about depreciation theories. But the gap between capex and future revenues / profits will remain.
- Consensus is ~20% too low for FY27 and possibly more for FY28, Stock trading below avg PEx.
Kyivstar (KYIV US): Resilient Growth Anchoring Ukraine’s Digital & Connectivity Needs
- Kyivstar recently reported 3Q25 revenue growth of 19.8% YoY to US$297m, with EBITDA rising 20.4% to US$171m.
- Digital revenue reached US$35m (+526% YoY), or 11.9% of total revenue in UAH terms, driven primarily by Uklon. Excluding Uklon, digital growth was still 89% YoY (Helsi, Kyivstar TV, Enterprise).
- Maintain Structural Long rating and US$19.8 target price for Kyivstar. KYIV is delivering resilient growth while investing to anchor Ukraine’s resilience of critical network infrastructure. Long Ukraine, Long Kyivstar.
Diamondback Energy: Inside the Sitio Acquisition- How Private Data Is Becoming Its Secret Weapon!
- Diamondback Energy’s third quarter 2025 results reflect a nuanced position within the energy sector, particularly given the prevailing macroeconomic uncertainties.
- The company continues to emphasize capital efficiency and conservative fiscal management, showcasing a 36% reinvestment rate with an aim to generate free cash flow over expanding cash flow operations.
- This cautious deployment of capital aligns with their broader strategy of maintaining financial flexibility and a low cost structure amidst a volatile oil price environment.
Coasting as We Stalk for Buying Opportunity; Downgrading Discretionary to Underweight
- We had been near-term bullish on the S&P 500 (SPX) since our 4/22/25 Compass, however, we are officially downgrading our near-term outlook to neutral
- The SPX, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM) are breaking below their 50-day MAs and are also violating their multi-month uptrends, signaling a consolidation period is here
- Still, our intermediate-term outlook remains bullish (as of 5/14/25 report), and we’ll maintain our bullish intermediate-term view as long as market dynamics remain constructive and the SPX is above 6200
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