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Equity Bottom-Up Archives | Page 14 of 222 | Smartkarma

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: KT Corp: Excellent 2Q 2025 Earnings Driven by Market Share Gain and Improving AI/Cloud Businesses and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • KT Corp: Excellent 2Q 2025 Earnings Driven by Market Share Gain and Improving AI/Cloud Businesses
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: Foxconn US$1bn USA Robotics Push; Samsung Doubles Down on US Fabs; Intel Crisis
  • TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Board Meeting Resolutions; 2nm Technology Information Leakage Issue.
  • GRAB Holdings Riding A 19% GMV Surge – Can Its Super App Ecosystem Keep Momentum Alive?
  • Indian Banks: Stick with Baroda and UBI on the Buy List, Downgrading Canara
  • Kalyan Jewellers: Deleveraging “Pause,” Capital Absorption Rising, Contrasting Capital Allocation
  • Nanya July Revenue Soars 31% MoM As Micron Revises Current Quarter Guide Up >5%
  • Tencent Music (TME): 2Q25, Concert Revenue Booming, Margin Hitting Historical High
  • [ACMR(ACMR US, BUY, TP US$30) Review]: 2Q25 Review: Missing Two Quarters but We Still Love It
  • [Zai LAB (ZLAB US, BUY, TP US$40) Review]: Past Is Holding ZLAB Back but Future Is What Matters


KT Corp: Excellent 2Q 2025 Earnings Driven by Market Share Gain and Improving AI/Cloud Businesses

By Douglas Kim

  • The most important reason for KT’s excellent results in 2Q 2025 was due to the major hacking incident at SK Telecom in May 2025.
  • The company’s growing AI business and successful real estate sales also contributed to the company’s improving results in 2Q 2025. 
  • KT is likely to benefit from higher profits and returns on capital in the next couple of years as the penetration of 5G service surpasses more than 80%.

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Foxconn US$1bn USA Robotics Push; Samsung Doubles Down on US Fabs; Intel Crisis

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Foxconn Tech invests US$1bn in U.S. robotics, AI, and smart manufacturing over 10 years, expanding into service robotics via RoboTemi stake.
  • Samsung to surpass US$50bn in U.S. chip investments, adding US$7bn for advanced packaging to compete with TSMC and capture AI/HPC integration opportunities.
  • Intel faces leadership crisis as CEO Lip Bu Tan’s strategy is criticized; U.S. policy and competitive pressures may accelerate market gains for TSMC and Samsung.

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): Board Meeting Resolutions; 2nm Technology Information Leakage Issue.

By Patrick Liao


GRAB Holdings Riding A 19% GMV Surge – Can Its Super App Ecosystem Keep Momentum Alive?

By Baptista Research

  • Grab Holdings’ second-quarter 2025 earnings reflected a mix of strong operational progress and notable challenges, painting a nuanced picture for investors evaluating the company’s prospects.
  • The quarter showcased impressive momentum in user engagement, with group Monthly Transacting Users (MTUs) continuing to rise and on-demand Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) posting 21% year-on-year growth in US dollar terms and 18% in constant currency.
  • This growth underscores the platform’s increasing utilization and the loyalty of its user base.

Indian Banks: Stick with Baroda and UBI on the Buy List, Downgrading Canara

By Victor Galliano

  • We take profits on our Canara Bank buy recommendation, due to adverse credit quality trends, and we stick with our two high conviction buy names UBI and Bank of Baroda
  • UBI ranks top in our proprietary scorecard, replacing Canara Bank; UBI has high earnings and dividend yields; it ranks highly on NPL coverage and it has a well-controlled write-off ratio
  • Baroda remains our core value pick; it has attractive valuations and potential to expand returns which we expect to emerge over the medium term, especially given its control of write-offs

Kalyan Jewellers: Deleveraging “Pause,” Capital Absorption Rising, Contrasting Capital Allocation

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Management has paused its previously articulated plan to reduce debt by INR 300–400 crore.
  • The pause defers balance‑sheet de‑risking and redirects internal cash toward a lean‑credit procurement pilot and a new regional‑brand roll‑out (inventory‑heavy upfront), raising working‑capital intensity just as gross‑margin mix is shifting.
  • Near‑term FCF could compress despite strong topline; margin delivery needs to outpace capital absorption to sustain the rerating. Market reaction (‑9% on the day) shows low tolerance for capital‑allocation ambiguity.

Nanya July Revenue Soars 31% MoM As Micron Revises Current Quarter Guide Up >5%

By William Keating

  • Nanya last week announced that revenues for the month of July amounted to NT$5.3 billion, an increase of 31.4% MoM, and an increase of 95% YoY,
  • Micron this week revised upwards its guidance for the current quarter with a roughly $500 million increase in revenue, attributable primarily price increases for DDR5
  • Customisation of Micron’s HBM4E base logic die is transforming their key customer relationships from commodity vendor to strategic ASIC design-like partner. That’s good for Micron…   

Tencent Music (TME): 2Q25, Concert Revenue Booming, Margin Hitting Historical High

By Ming Lu

  • In 2Q25, non-subscriber music revenue surged by 47% YoY and total revenue grew by 18% YoY.
  • The operating margin hit the historical high since TME’s IPO.
  • We believe the stock has an upside of 9% and a price target of US$27.60 for the year end 2025.

[ACMR(ACMR US, BUY, TP US$30) Review]: 2Q25 Review: Missing Two Quarters but We Still Love It

By Eric Wen

  • ACMR reported C2Q25 top line, non-GAAP operating profit and GAAP net income (14%), (35%) and (17%) vs. our estimate, and (3.9%), (16%) and (9.9%) vs. consensus. 
  • However, company maintained full year revenue guidance of US$850-950 unchanged and raised long term revenue target by 33% to US$4bn;
  • We keep rating and TP unchanged. ACMR is one of our TOP BUY’s.

[Zai LAB (ZLAB US, BUY, TP US$40) Review]: Past Is Holding ZLAB Back but Future Is What Matters

By Eric Wen

  • Zai Lab reported C2Q15 top line, non-GAAP operating loss and GAAP net loss 1.5% above, 31% narrower and 38% narrower than our estimate, and 12% below, 
  • We cut ZEJULA’s peak sales by 12% due to sustained competition. We are also concerned on the slow ramp up of AUGTYRO, which will likely persist.
  • However, ZLAB has several catalysts ahead, including Bemarituzumab, KarXT, and ZL1310. We keep TP unchanged and maintain BUY.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Intel CEO Heads To DC To Save His Job As Former CEO Calls His Leading Edge Strategy A Joke and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Intel CEO Heads To DC To Save His Job As Former CEO Calls His Leading Edge Strategy A Joke
  • What’s Trump After in Lip-Bu Tan’s Oval Office Meeting?
  • LG Chem: Flurry of Asset Sales Raises the Probability of A Partial Sale of LG Energy Solution
  • The Beat Ideas: Edelweiss 2.0 – Unlocking Value Through Deleveraging and Strategic Listings
  • Chongqing Taiji Industry (Group) (600129 CH) – Investors Are Betting on the Merger with China TCM
  • Closure of Short Call on Tata Motors
  • Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN) | The Capital Sinkhole
  • Mobvoi Inc. Revenue From AIGC Solutions Continues To Post Hyper Growth, TicNote Debuted in April
  • CyberAgent: Newly Released Games Drive Growth with an Upward Revision to Guidance
  • IFAST Corporation Limited: Undervalued for Its Prospects


Intel CEO Heads To DC To Save His Job As Former CEO Calls His Leading Edge Strategy A Joke

By William Keating

  • Intel CEO Lip Bu Tan is reportedly headed to Washington today to meet with the US Administration and clear up any misunderstandings about his past investments in China etc.
  • Meanwhile, former CEO Craig Barrett published his third opinion piece about Intel’s future and calls LBT’s strategy of not investing further in 14A without customer support a joke
  • It’s challenging to deal with the US Administration from a position of strength. It’s a whole different ball game when both the CEO & the company are in crisis mode…

What’s Trump After in Lip-Bu Tan’s Oval Office Meeting?

By Raghav Vashisht

  • Political scrutiny and perception issues form a tense backdrop ahead of Tan’s Oval Office meeting.
  • Strategic rifts over investment pace, 14A development, and fab build-outs are at the heart of the discussion.
  • The meeting’s outcome may hinge on whether Tan can align Intel’s roadmap with Trump’s manufacturing agenda.

LG Chem: Flurry of Asset Sales Raises the Probability of A Partial Sale of LG Energy Solution

By Douglas Kim

  • In the past three months, LG Chem has announced two asset sales worth 1.6 trillion won including dermal filler and water filter businesses. 
  • Due to worsening balance sheet and need to raise additional capital, there is an increasing probability of LG Chem selling a partial stake in LGES in the next 6-12 months.
  • Our NAV valuation of LG Chem suggests implied NAV per share of 414,325 won, which is 49% higher than current levels.

The Beat Ideas: Edelweiss 2.0 – Unlocking Value Through Deleveraging and Strategic Listings

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Edelweiss plans a INR 1,500–2,000 crore IPO of EAAA and a 25–30% stake sale in its mutual fund arm to accelerate deleveraging.
  • These transactions could meaningfully reduce corporate debt from INR 6,325 crore, strengthen the balance sheet, and unlock shareholder value.
  • Successful execution improves capital efficiency, supports high-margin business growth, and enhances upside potential, reinforcing the 56% target price appreciation case.

Chongqing Taiji Industry (Group) (600129 CH) – Investors Are Betting on the Merger with China TCM

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The current channel inventory digestion has been ongoing for nearly a year. If the terminal sales data in 25Q3 improves, it is expected to support the revenue recovery in 25Q4.
  • China TCM and CNPGC had signed relevant agreement on the free transfer of equity. Investors think this is paving the way for the future integration of China TCM and Taiji.
  • Investors have reignited interest in betting on China TCM’s privatization and merger with Taiji .According to Taiji, CNPGC will still fulfill its commitment to resolving the issue of horizontal competition

Closure of Short Call on Tata Motors

By Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA

  • Post Q4FY25 results,we had presented our case for shorting Tata Motors in May 2025, anticipating a challenging quarter ahead.We now recommend closing the short position,with reasons explained in this insight
  • The company reported a very challenging Q1FY26, with JLR EBIT crashing to 4.0% (vs 8.9% YoY). The India passenger car business also faced similar pressure.
  • The only segment to deliver stable performance was the commercial vehicle division.

Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN) | The Capital Sinkhole

By Pranav Bhavsar

  • Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN) Management paused INR 350-400 crore debt reduction after 90 days, now planning INR 2,700 crore capital consumption without clear justification.
  • Candere losses increased 5X while management admits e-commerce isn’t their strength, yet continues expanding with new regional brand initiatives.
  • Stock trades at 44x P/E NTM above 3-year average despite questionable capital allocation and non-quantifiable efficiency claims from management.

Mobvoi Inc. Revenue From AIGC Solutions Continues To Post Hyper Growth, TicNote Debuted in April

By Andrei Zakharov

  • Mobvoi Inc., a Google-backed provider of AIGC software solutions and TicWatch maker, will announce interim results for the six months ended June 30, 2025, soon.
  • The AI firm currently adjusts its business strategy, shifting to AIGC business model from traditional project-based revenue generating model.
  • In April 2025, Mobvoi unveiled TicNote, a compact AI-powered voice recorder. It’s a separate device from smartphone, which gathered significant attention from media and users. 

CyberAgent: Newly Released Games Drive Growth with an Upward Revision to Guidance

By Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

  • CyberAgent Inc (4751 JP) reported 3QFY09/2025 results on Friday aftermarket. Both revenue and OP beat consensus estimates with an upward revision to full-year guidance.
  • Gaming segment has begun to see recovery driven by the strong performance of newly released game titles which have become a hit. There are several new titles up for release.
  • Though CA’s share price has moved up with recovery in games and improved profitability of AbemaTV, we think there is further upside.

IFAST Corporation Limited: Undervalued for Its Prospects

By GEMS Research – Aletheia Capital

  • We initiated coverage on iFAST Corporation Limited (iFAST) a week ago.
  • Though stock has risen 21% since our note, we see a further 20% upside.
  • The market appears to be missing iFast’ s value in terms of P/AUM and EV/Revenue, in light of the AUM growth prospects. 2Q PAT was ahead of consensus expectations.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Remains Extreme; UMC ADR Short Interest Falling and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Remains Extreme; UMC ADR Short Interest Falling
  • Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (11 Aug)
  • COSCO Shipping Ports (1199 HK): Potential Involvement in CKH’s Port Sale
  • Case Study: Time-Based Exit in Two Long-Running Pair Trades
  • Apple. A Master Class On How To Win Friends & Influence People
  • Champion Iron (CIA AU) Vs. Stanmore (SMR AU): Coal–Steel Mean Reversion Targeting 12%
  • UCO Bank (UCO IN) Vs. Central Bank Of India (CBOI IN): Statistical Edge in India Bank Pair Trade
  • VEON 2Q25: Solid Digital Non-Telco Products Uplift, Kyivstar Listing in Focus
  • BeiGene (6160.HK/​ONC US) 25Q2 – The High Growth of BRUKINSA May Not Bring High Valuation
  • Haier D-Share (690D GR) — 2025 Update


Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Remains Extreme; UMC ADR Short Interest Falling

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC: +22.8% Premium; ADR Spread Remains at Historically Extreme Levels
  • UMC: -0.8% Discount; Wait for More Extreme Levels; Short Interest in ADRs Falling
  • ASE: -0.1% Discount; Continued Opportunity to Go Long the ADR Spread

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (11 Aug)

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.
  • Highlight: Currently nine pair trade opportunities across three markets and five sectors persist.
  • Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.

COSCO Shipping Ports (1199 HK): Potential Involvement in CKH’s Port Sale

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Cosco Shipping Ports (1199 HK) is a major beneficiary of its parent’s potential 20-30% stake in the consortium to acquire CK Hutchison Holdings (1 HK)‘s port portfolio. 
  • A potential injection of such assets from its parent will enhance its profitability, diversify its throughput mix, and expand its geographical coverage in the future. 
  • Its 8.3x PER and 0.43x P/B are not expensive relative to earnings outlook and ROE. The strong 1Q25 and upcoming 1H25 results mean earnings upgrade potential. 

Case Study: Time-Based Exit in Two Long-Running Pair Trades

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Context: This Insight is an update on two previously published relative value pairs.
  • Highlight: The trades provide a case study illustrating how mean-reversion trades can fail to revert or hit stop-losses within extended timeframes.
  • Why Read: Gain insights into timing-related challenges in mean-reversion strategies and time-based exit as a risk management choice.

Apple. A Master Class On How To Win Friends & Influence People

By William Keating

  • Apple CEO Tim Cook visited the White House announcing an additional $100 billion investment in the US over the next four years, on top of the $500 billion already committed.
  • He launched the American Manufacturing Program with nine initial members seven of which are already long terms partners and two of which have no direct relationship with Apple at all
  • Samsung with its image sensor deal (presumably) and MP Materials with its rare earth magnets deal are two clear winners from the Apple announcement. Overall, successful mission by Mr. Cook.

Champion Iron (CIA AU) Vs. Stanmore (SMR AU): Coal–Steel Mean Reversion Targeting 12%

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Context: The Champion Iron (CIA AU) vs. Stanmore Resources (SMR AU) price-ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.
  • Highlights: The trade targets ~12% return to the one-standard-deviation line.
  • Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.

UCO Bank (UCO IN) Vs. Central Bank Of India (CBOI IN): Statistical Edge in India Bank Pair Trade

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Context: The UCO Bank (UCO IN) vs. Central Bank Of India (CBOI IN) price-ratio has deviated two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.
  • Highlights: Both stocks are trading near 52-week lows, opening a window for a statistically supported mean-reversion setup.
  • Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.

VEON 2Q25: Solid Digital Non-Telco Products Uplift, Kyivstar Listing in Focus

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Digital Growth & Guidance Up: 2Q25 revenue +11.2% YoY (LCY), EBITDA margin 47.8%; digital revenue share hits 16.5%; Group FY25 guidance raised to +13–15% revenue, 14–16% EBITDA growth (LCY).
  • Uklon Boost: First consolidation of Uklon ridesharing acquisition added US$21.7m revenue, US$9.3m EBITDA to the quarter; expansion in Uzbekistan underway, Kazakhstan a likely future market.
  • Fintech Momentum: JazzCash +47% revenue; Banglalink digital bank license pending; Ukraine fintech optionality via Kyivstar, Helsi, and Uklon integration. We maintain our Structural Long rating for the shares.

BeiGene (6160.HK/​ONC US) 25Q2 – The High Growth of BRUKINSA May Not Bring High Valuation

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • BeiGene’s 25Q2 performance beat expectations. The main driver was still BRUKINSA. The growth rate of tislelizumab was surprising.Sales of tislelizumab in international market is expected to be reflected in 25H2.
  • BeiGene’s turnaround from losses to profits has entered the countdown.However, investors may not be happy with the net profit margin brought by single revenue driver Brukinsa based on our calculation.
  • There’s no next blockbuster that can drive BeiGene to a big step forward.This is why the market is reluctant to offer higher valuation, despite current high growth in product revenue.

Haier D-Share (690D GR) — 2025 Update

By Michael Fritzell

  • Haier is the world’s largest home appliances company, with particular strength in refrigerators and washing machines. It’s got multiple world-renowned brands, including Haier, GE Appliance, Fisher & Paykel, Candy and more.

  • The company was largely built by visionary entrepreneur Zhang Ruimin, who created a corporate culture unique in China and beyond. He spearheaded Haier’s international expansion, acquiring companies such as America’s GE Appliances and Italy’s Candy, giving it local distribution networks for its lower-priced Haier offering.

  • In late 2020, Haier Smart Home merged with its separately-listed distribution subsidiary Haier Electronics. Following this complex transaction, Haier was left with three separate share classes: A-shares listed in Shanghai, H-shares listed in Hong Kong and D-shares listed in Frankfurt.


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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Intel. Crisis Mode All Over Again and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Intel. Crisis Mode All Over Again
  • Ford’s EV Division Is Bleeding Cash—And Investors Are Cheering Anyway
  • Axalta Coating Systems Taps China & Latin America: Can They Build Volumes & Enable Global Mobility Expansion?
  • Omada Health: 2Q’FY25 Net Loss Narrowed, Strong Progress Towards Adj. EBITDA Profitability
  • Q2 Holdings: Innovation Studio Adoption As A Significant Contributor To Growth!
  • Asian Dividend Gems: Korea District Heating Corp (KDHC)
  • China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.10)-Trump Plans Drug Tariff, Biosimilar VBP, BeiGene’s Headwind in 25Q2
  • MasterBrand Stakes Its Future On The $1.38 Billion Woodmark Merger: Are $90 Million In Synergies Possible?
  • Apple’s Massive Fall Line-Up! 15 New Products Could Supercharge Its Stock in 2025 & Beyond!
  • AMETEK Builds A $5 Billion M&A War Chest But Is Inorganic Growth The Only Way?


Intel. Crisis Mode All Over Again

By William Keating

  • President Trump wants Intel CEO Lip Bu Tan to resign immediately because he claims that he is “highly CONFLICTED”
  • The President’s concerns likely relate to a recent DoJ case against Cadence as well an investigation by the Select Committee on the CCP into Walden International’s Chinese investments
  • That both these topics weren’t comprehensively addressed and mitigated prior to Mr. Tan’s appointment beggars belief. Where was the due diligence Mr. Yeary?

Ford’s EV Division Is Bleeding Cash—And Investors Are Cheering Anyway

By Baptista Research

  • Ford Motor Company’s second-quarter 2025 performance paints a picture of a company executing on its strategic ambitions while managing through significant operational headwinds.
  • The automaker posted record quarterly revenue of $50.2 billion, up from $47.8 billion a year earlier, driven by solid demand across its divisions.
  • Adjusted EBIT came in at $2.1 billion, topping Wall Street estimates of $1.9 billion, while adjusted earnings per share were 37 cents versus an expected 33 cents.

Axalta Coating Systems Taps China & Latin America: Can They Build Volumes & Enable Global Mobility Expansion?

By Baptista Research

  • Axalta Coating Systems reported their Q2 2025 financial results, showcasing a mixed picture of performance and challenges in various segments.
  • The company’s record adjusted EBITDA of $292 million and adjusted diluted EPS underscore their ability to sustain profitability even in a volatile macroeconomic landscape.
  • Notably, adjusted EBITDA margins remained strong at over 22%, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of hitting or exceeding their 21% target outlined in their A Plan.

Omada Health: 2Q’FY25 Net Loss Narrowed, Strong Progress Towards Adj. EBITDA Profitability

By Andrei Zakharov

  • San Francisco-based Omada Health reported stronger than expected 2Q’FY25 revenues of $61.4M as a public company. Management provided FY25 revenue and adj. EBITDA guidance.
  • In May, Omada Health announced a new AI-agent, OmadaSpark. A member-facing AI agent directly works with Omada members. It was trained on ~3M foods and dishes.  
  • The company expects adj. EBITDA loss in the range of $9M to $5M in FY25. I forecast FCF losses to steadily dissipate until Omada Health becomes FCF positive in FY26.

Q2 Holdings: Innovation Studio Adoption As A Significant Contributor To Growth!

By Baptista Research

  • Q2 Holdings reported its financial results for the second quarter of 2025, demonstrating strong performance in several key areas.
  • The company achieved revenue of $195 million, representing a 13% increase compared to the previous year.
  • This growth was largely driven by subscription-based revenues, which saw a 16% year-overyear increase, contributing to 81% of the total revenue mix.

Asian Dividend Gems: Korea District Heating Corp (KDHC)

By Douglas Kim

  • There are three major reasons why we like Korea District Heating (071320 KS). First, the company has been sharply improving its shareholder return program (especially for dividends).
  • The BOD members of KDHC and other major Korean utility companies are increasingly likely to focus on improving shareholder value by raising prices.
  • Its valuations remain attractive. It is trading at P/E of 3.2x, P/B of 0.4x, and EV/EBITDA of 6.8x based on 2025 consensus estimates.

China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.10)-Trump Plans Drug Tariff, Biosimilar VBP, BeiGene’s Headwind in 25Q2

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Trump threatened to levy tariffs on pharmaceuticals, but the BD model of Chinese innovative drugs will be less affected, because the essence is licensing-out model, not physical drug exports.
  • The long-awaited national VBP of biosimilar drugs has moved from policy incubation period to substantive operation stage, which is expected to change the market structure after big price reduction.
  • BeiGene’s 25Q2 results beat expectations. Reasonable market value is about US$40-42.4 billion. However, the market is reluctant to offer higher valuation due to the concerns on the outlook of BeiGene. 

MasterBrand Stakes Its Future On The $1.38 Billion Woodmark Merger: Are $90 Million In Synergies Possible?

By Baptista Research

  • MasterBrand, Inc. recently announced an all-stock merger with American Woodmark Corporation, aiming to form an extensive portfolio of cabinet brands.
  • The merger is poised to create an entity with expansive geographic reach and a diversified customer base, which is seen as a significant step forward in bolstering both companies’ market positions.
  • Through the anticipated merger, MasterBrand expects to realize approximately $90 million in annual cost synergies by the end of the third year, driven by procurement efficiencies, manufacturing optimizations, and operational excellence.

Apple’s Massive Fall Line-Up! 15 New Products Could Supercharge Its Stock in 2025 & Beyond!

By Baptista Research

  • Apple delivered an impressive third-quarter performance in fiscal 2025, reporting a record $94 billion in revenue, up 10% year-over-year, and earnings per share of $1.57, marking a 12% increase.
  • This growth was fueled by robust double-digit revenue gains across several segments, particularly the iPhone, Mac, and Services.
  • The iPhone generated $44.6 billion in sales, a 13% jump, largely driven by strong global demand for the iPhone 16 series.

AMETEK Builds A $5 Billion M&A War Chest But Is Inorganic Growth The Only Way?

By Baptista Research

  • AMETEK Inc. delivered solid financial performance in the second quarter of 2025, with key highlights reflecting their robust operational capabilities and strategic growth plans.
  • The company reported record sales and EBITDA, despite a challenging macroeconomic environment.
  • The total sales reached $1.78 billion, marking a 2.5% increase compared to the same period in 2024.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Micro-Mechanics (Holdings) Limited – Next Generation Supplier of the Semicon Industry and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Micro-Mechanics (Holdings) Limited – Next Generation Supplier of the Semicon Industry
  • Yeouido Views Grow: Hynix’s Contract Risks & Samsung Supply Push Drive Long-Short Play Through 1H26
  • Grab Holdings (GRAB US) – Harvesting Sequentially
  • PG Electroplast: KMP Selling and Lowering Guidance
  • Lasertec Corp (6920 JP): Full-year FY06/25 flash update
  • Antero Resources: A Tale Of LNG Export Growth & Increased Demand at Plaquemines Terminal!
  • C.H. Robinson Is Betting Big on AI—Can Agentic Tech Revolutionize Logistics Forever?
  • Intel (INTC.US): Changing the CEO Could Save This Company? Probably the Wrong Direction.
  • Anicom Holdings (8715 JP): Q1 FY03/26 flash update
  • IAC: Reviewing Q2 and Updating My Valuation


Micro-Mechanics (Holdings) Limited – Next Generation Supplier of the Semicon Industry

By SAC Capital

  • Micro-Mechanics (Holdings) Limited is a Singapore-based precision engineering company that designs, manufactures, and markets high-precision tools and parts for process-critical applications for the semiconductor and other high technology industries.
  • The group operates across two segments: Consumable Tools, which are tiny, consumable precision tools used in the assembly and testing of semiconductor chips, and Wafer Fabrication Equipment (WFE) Parts, which are precision components used in semiconductor wafer fabrication equipment.
  • By serving both back-end and front-end processes, Micro-Mechanics operates in a niche and essential segment of the semiconductor supply chain.

Yeouido Views Grow: Hynix’s Contract Risks & Samsung Supply Push Drive Long-Short Play Through 1H26

By Sanghyun Park

  • Street chatter says Hynix’s HBM4 hike tops ~20%, not covering costs — and Nvidia’s pushing similar cuts on its flagship 12-Hi HBM3E.
  • Yeouido’s watching “Blind” posts from Samsung engineers saying 1c 12-Hi HBM4 yields look strong — fueling bets Samsung will cut prices, ramp HBM3E now, and challenge Hynix in HBM4.
  • In Yeouido, the Samsung long/Hynix short theme is seen as a structural trade through 1H next year amid Hynix’s contract uncertainty and Samsung’s supply entry potential.

Grab Holdings (GRAB US) – Harvesting Sequentially

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Grab reported a strong set of 2Q2025 results with growth accelerating across all three segments, with on-demand services driven by product-led initiatives, driving expansion in MTUs through Saver.
  • The company continues to increase efficiencies and reinvests those scale benefits to grow the business, with new product offerings making good headway, with Grab Unlimited subscribers spending 5X non-members.  
  • Financial services booked the highest growth in 2Q2025, driven by both GrabFin and three Digibanks. Management expects growth momentum to continue sequentially and margins to improve in 2H2025.

PG Electroplast: KMP Selling and Lowering Guidance

By Nitin Mangal

  • PG Electroplast (PGEL IN) is under limelight after the management cut its revenue guidance from 33% to 21-23%, within a single quarter.
  • The management has also flagged concerns regarding RAC demand which has affected performance.
  • Additionally, between Feb–Jun 2025, relatives of the CFO sold ~INR 376 mn worth of shares, mostly in June, shortly before the guidance cut, raising potential governance concerns.

Lasertec Corp (6920 JP): Full-year FY06/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • The company reported significant YoY growth in sales, operating profit, recurring profit, and net income, driven by AI semiconductor demand.
  • FY06/25 orders and backlog decreased sharply YoY, with the company ceasing quarterly order disclosures and forecasting weaker future orders.
  • The company plans increased R&D spending, reduced capital expenditures, and stable dividends, with a share repurchase program announced.

Antero Resources: A Tale Of LNG Export Growth & Increased Demand at Plaquemines Terminal!

By Baptista Research

  • Antero Resources recently reported its second-quarter results for 2025, revealing a mix of positive and negative developments that reflect its operational strategies and market dynamics.
  • On the positive side, Antero Resources has achieved notable improvements in capital efficiency, managing to increase its production guidance while reducing capital expenditures.
  • This improvement is underscored by a 26% decline in maintenance capital requirements from $900 million to $663 million since 2023.

C.H. Robinson Is Betting Big on AI—Can Agentic Tech Revolutionize Logistics Forever?

By Baptista Research

  • C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. has shown a performance bolstered by its ongoing transformation beginning in early 2024, marked by the implementation of a lean operating model.
  • Despite the challenges within the global market, the company has delivered six consecutive quarters of consistent outperformance.
  • This is attributed to the disciplined execution of its operating model and the adoption of advanced technological tools.

Intel (INTC.US): Changing the CEO Could Save This Company? Probably the Wrong Direction.

By Patrick Liao

  • US President Trump urged Intel Corp (INTC US) yesterday to replace its current CEO, Mr. Lip-Bu Tan.
  • We believe Intel Foundry Services (IFS) could be a highly challenging — or even misguided — strategy
  • Intel Corp’s share price has declined about 23% since Mr. Lip-Pu Tan took office.

Anicom Holdings (8715 JP): Q1 FY03/26 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Recurring revenue increased by 10.4% YoY to JPY18.2bn, driven by underwriting, investment, and non-insurance business growth.
  • Recurring profit decreased by 40.7% YoY to JPY960mn, impacted by increased costs from AXA Direct insurance contract transfers.
  • The combined ratio based on earned premiums rose 4.0pp YoY to 97.9%, influenced by higher medical costs and policy transfer expenses.

IAC: Reviewing Q2 and Updating My Valuation

By Richard Howe

  • IAC reported its second-quarter results recently and sold off sharply. In my view, the market reaction was overly punitive. While results came in slightly below expectations, they were far from disastrous.
  • The stock now looks exceptionally cheap, trading at just 3.4x EBITDA, and I see 43% to 78% upside.
  • Over time, I’m confident that management will unlock value—most likely through strategic asset spin-offs.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: How Chip Tariffs Shake up Samsung’s HBM Pricing Play Based on Fresh Local Intel and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • How Chip Tariffs Shake up Samsung’s HBM Pricing Play Based on Fresh Local Intel
  • Toyota (7203 JP) Vs. Subaru (7270 JP): Rare Mean-Reversion Setup After Earnings
  • Korea Small Cap Gem #42: T&L Co
  • Keepers Holdings Solid Q2 2025: Multiple Catalysts Lined Up
  • KT&G: Solid Results in 2Q 2025 + Treasury Shares Cancellation of 300 Billion Won
  • Voltas Ltd: Forensic Analysis
  • Could Amphenol’s $10.5 Billion Commscope Deal Catalyze Growth—Or Backfire?
  • Cognizant Lands Mega-Deals & Doubles Down on AI—Can It Outrun the Competition?
  • Check Point Software: The 6 Most Significant Forces Steering Its Performance into 2025 & Beyond!
  • Capgemini’s Bold Growth Formula: Can Strategic Acquisitions & APAC Momentum Outpace the Competition?


How Chip Tariffs Shake up Samsung’s HBM Pricing Play Based on Fresh Local Intel

By Sanghyun Park

  • Samsung’s 12-high HBM3E qual at NVIDIA may slip to Oct–Nov. But tariff timing uncertainty still leaves room for a near-term demand spike.
  • Samsung’s 1c-based HBM4 is yielding better than expected, but it’s 30% pricier than Hynix’s. Tariff treatment of the Taylor fab could make or break its HBM4 competitiveness.
  • Too early to call HBM4, but Samsung’s HBM3E pricing plus tariff uncertainty could spark urgent NVIDIA buying — triggering a near-term volume spike before next-gen ramps.

Toyota (7203 JP) Vs. Subaru (7270 JP): Rare Mean-Reversion Setup After Earnings

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Context: The Toyota (7203 JP) vs. Subaru (7270 JP) price-ratio has deviated more than two standard deviations from its one-year average, presenting a potential relative value opportunity.
  • Highlight: Both companies in this highly correlated pair reported results on 7 August 2025, opening up a rare opportunity.
  • Why Read: Essential for quantitative traders seeking mean-reversion opportunities, with detailed execution framework, risk management protocols, and historical simulation showing the statistical basis for this relative value play.

Korea Small Cap Gem #42: T&L Co

By Douglas Kim

  • T&L’s key investment highlights include its exceptional sales growth led by its core wound dressing/cosmetic product Mighty Patch.
  • It had a CAGR sales growth of 44% from 2020 to 2024. Its operating profit increased at even faster rate (CAGR of 56% from 2020 to 2024. 
  • Considering T&L’s 40%+ per year sales growth and 50%+ per year operating profit growth from 2020 to 2024 combined with 30%+ ROE, the company is deeply undervalued. 

Keepers Holdings Solid Q2 2025: Multiple Catalysts Lined Up

By Sameer Taneja

  • The Keepers Holdings (KEEPR PM)  declared strong Q2FY25 results with revenues/profits up 14%/13% YoY. Net margins declined by 20 bps YoY to 18.7% due to the discounting/fx.
  • Currently in the final stages of acquiring Booze Online Inc., the company intends to finalize the transaction by the end of Q3, contingent upon the resolution of regulatory approvals.
  • The company trades at 9.7x FY25e, net cash, and an ROCE exceeding 20%. Supported by multiple growth levers, this presents an attractive opportunity within the Philippine domestic consumer discretionary sector.

KT&G: Solid Results in 2Q 2025 + Treasury Shares Cancellation of 300 Billion Won

By Douglas Kim

  • KT&G reported solid results in 2Q 2025. It had sales of 1.5 trillion won (up 8.7% YoY) and operating profit of 349.9 billion won (up 8.7% YoY).
  • KT&G plans to repurchase and cancel 300 billion won worth of treasury stock starting 8 August.
  • KT&G continues to have attractive valuation multiples. It is currently trading at P/E of 12.3x, P/B of 1.6x, and EV/EBITDA of 9.4x.

Voltas Ltd: Forensic Analysis

By Nitin Mangal

  • Voltas Ltd (VOLT IN) is a renowned name among the households in India.
  • The company is a prominent player in the field of air conditioning and cooling technology and offers a variety of services across different industrial sectors, both in India and internationally.
  • But there are few issues with respect to revenue recognition policy, capital allocation issues and falling market share.

Could Amphenol’s $10.5 Billion Commscope Deal Catalyze Growth—Or Backfire?

By Baptista Research

  • Amphenol’s aggressive pursuit of CommScope’s broadband connectivity and cable unit has reignited speculation about its next transformative move.
  • As of early August 2025, multiple sources report that Amphenol is on the verge of finalizing a roughly $10.5 billion acquisition of CCS, CommScope’s largest division by sales and operating income.
  • The deal aligns with Amphenol’s strategic thrust into high-growth markets—especially AI-powered data centers, where fiber-optic demand has surged—and mirrors last year’s $2 billion purchase of Carlisle Interconnect Technologies.

Cognizant Lands Mega-Deals & Doubles Down on AI—Can It Outrun the Competition?

By Baptista Research

  • Cognizant Technology Solutions’ second-quarter performance for 2025 highlighted a continuation of its revenue growth and expanding profit margins.
  • The company reported a 7.2% year-over-year increase in revenue, reaching $5.2 billion, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of organic growth.
  • This was predominantly driven by strong performance in the Financial Services and Health Sciences segments.

Check Point Software: The 6 Most Significant Forces Steering Its Performance into 2025 & Beyond!

By Baptista Research

  • Check Point Software Technologies recently reported a solid quarter, with revenue and earnings per share (EPS) in line with expectations.
  • The company’s revenues exceeded projections slightly, reaching $665 million, with a non-GAAP EPS of $2.37, representing a 9% growth year-over-year.
  • This growth was driven primarily by strong customer demand for new appliances and a higher volume of product refreshes, particularly the Quantum Force AI-powered firewalls which posted a robust year-over-year growth of 12%.

Capgemini’s Bold Growth Formula: Can Strategic Acquisitions & APAC Momentum Outpace the Competition?

By Baptista Research

  • Capgemini has presented a mixed set of results for the first half of 2025.
  • The company has demonstrated resilience in a volatile economic environment, reporting revenue growth slightly above expectations, with H1 revenue reaching EUR 1.107 billion, a 0.2% increase year-on-year.
  • Bookings amounted to EUR 11.993 billion, representing a 2.1% year-on-year growth.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Tencent (700 HK): 2Q25 Preview and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Tencent (700 HK): 2Q25 Preview, Game Up by 16%
  • Korean Government Confirms Visa-Free Entry of Group Tourists from China to South Korea
  • How Microsoft Research Balances Exploration and Impact Globally with Doug Burger
  • American Electric Power (AEP): Regulatory & Legislative Developments As Significant Drivers For Future Performance!
  • Recruit Holdings: 1Q Earnings Is No Surprise but More Downside Ahead
  • Meta’s Record Revenues, Soaring Stock & Utopian AI: Will Zuckerberg’s $31 Billion AI Bet Pay Off?
  • Microsoft’s Cloud Tsunami: $46.7B Quarter
  • Qualcomm’s Personal AI Revolution—Prepping For A World Beyond Screens?
  • Google Is Our Biggest Rival, Kuaishou’s AI Video Chief Says
  • The Kopran Merger: From APIs to Diagnostics, A Blueprint for Healthcare Integration


Tencent (700 HK): 2Q25 Preview, Game Up by 16%

By Ming Lu

  • We believe game revenue will continue to recover in 2Q25, riding on the policy easing.
  • We also believe the operating margin will improve slightly due to the usage of AI.
  • We expect the stock has an upside of 23% for year end 2025.

Korean Government Confirms Visa-Free Entry of Group Tourists from China to South Korea

By Douglas Kim

  • On 6 August, the Korean government confirmed visa-free entry of group tourists from China to South Korea.
  • The new policy will allow the group tourists from China to visit South Korea on a visa-free basis from 29 September 2025 to end of June 2026.
  • We provide a list of top 20 companies in Korea that are key beneficiaries of the no visa policy for group tour visitors from China to South Korea.

How Microsoft Research Balances Exploration and Impact Globally with Doug Burger

By Analyse Asia with Bernard Leong

  • Expansion of Microsoft Research to Singapore as a regional research and development frontier
  • Focus on AI research in Singapore, including foundational AI, embodied AI, and AI in health
  • Importance of tapping into local talent and culture for AI development

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


American Electric Power (AEP): Regulatory & Legislative Developments As Significant Drivers For Future Performance!

By Baptista Research

  • American Electric Power’s (AEP) second quarter of 2025 showcased several pivotal developments and a strong financial performance, indicative of both strategic progress and growth potential.
  • This summary encapsulates the earnings call highlights, offering a balanced view of the company’s current state and future prospects.
  • First, AEP reported a record-breaking second quarter with operating earnings of $1.43 per share, a notable increase from the previous year’s $1.25 per share.

Recruit Holdings: 1Q Earnings Is No Surprise but More Downside Ahead

By Shifara Samsudeen, FCMA, CGMA

  • Recruit Holdings (6098 JP) reported 1Q results on Tuesday after market. As expected, topline declined 2.5% YoY falling below consensus. Productivity enhancements supported EBITDA growth.
  • With gradual cooling of labour markets, the HR Tech segment’s top line growth has declined and Recruit does not expect the segment to see strong growth in FY03/2026E.
  • Recruit’s share price dropped 4.4% during today’s trade and with further weakening of job markets, we think there is further opportunity to gain on the Short side.

Meta’s Record Revenues, Soaring Stock & Utopian AI: Will Zuckerberg’s $31 Billion AI Bet Pay Off?

By Baptista Research

  • Meta Platforms delivered a standout performance in the second quarter of 2025, with shares surging 12% to $779.70, just shy of its all-time high.
  • The company significantly exceeded Wall Street expectations, reporting earnings per share of $7.14 versus the expected $5.88 and revenue of $47.5 billion, up 22% year-over-year.
  • This strong financial showing was driven by growth in daily users, ad impressions, and price-per-ad across Meta’s platforms.

Microsoft’s Cloud Tsunami: $46.7B Quarter

By Baptista Research

  • Microsoft reported a strong finish to fiscal year 2025, delivering financial results that surpassed Wall Street’s expectations and underscored its continued momentum in cloud and AI-driven services.
  • For the fiscal fourth quarter, Microsoft posted adjusted earnings of $3.65 per share on revenue of $76.4 billion, handily beating the consensus estimates of $3.37 per share on $73.9 billion in revenue.
  • This marked a notable improvement over the prior year’s fourth-quarter figures of $2.95 per share on $64.7 billion in revenue.

Qualcomm’s Personal AI Revolution—Prepping For A World Beyond Screens?

By Baptista Research

  • Qualcomm recently reported its fiscal third-quarter 2025 results, delivering revenues of $10.4 billion and a nonGAAP EPS of $2.77, which were near the high end of guidance.
  • The company’s chipset business, QCT, recorded revenues of $9 billion, reflecting ongoing growth across automotive, IoT, and handset segments.
  • Notably, automotive and IoT revenues increased by 21% and 24% year-over-year, respectively, driven by Qualcomm’s strategy to diversify and expand its product offerings beyond mobile handsets.

Google Is Our Biggest Rival, Kuaishou’s AI Video Chief Says

By Caixin Global

  • An executive at Kuaishou Technology has identified Google as the No. 1 rival to its artificial intelligence (AI) video generator Kling AI, as the short-video specialist tries to capitalize on growing public interest in the tools.
  • “Google is a very strong competitor to Kling AI in areas ranging from technology to AI infrastructure and talent, with co-founder Sergey Brin personally overseeing the research and development of its video generation models,” Wan Pengfei, head of Kuaishou’s visual generation and interaction center, said in an interview with Caixin on the sidelines of the World Artificial Intelligence Conference held in Shanghai from Saturday to Monday.
  • Riding the AI video wave sparked by OpenAI’s text-to-video model Sora in early 2024, Kuaishou in June that year launched Kling AI, which can create short videos from written prompts and images.

The Kopran Merger: From APIs to Diagnostics, A Blueprint for Healthcare Integration

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Kopran Limited has approved the merger of its diagnostics arm, Kopran Laboratories, aiming to become a fully integrated pharmaceutical and healthcare solutions provider. 
  • The merger diversifies Kopran’s revenue mix, enhances EBITDA margins with high-value consumables, and unlocks synergies across pharma and diagnostics distribution channels. 
  • Kopran transitions from a mid-scale exporter to a multi-vertical healthcare platform, with stronger earnings visibility, improved capital efficiency, and potential for valuation re-rating.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: AEM Holdings: Another CEO and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • AEM Holdings: Another CEO, Another Kitchen Sink?
  • Ecopro BM: Another Major Rechargeable Battery Play With A Sharp Improvement In Earnings in 2Q 2025
  • Unicharm Indonesia : Value Proposition
  • Intel. Was Tesla’s Deal With Samsung The Death Knell For IFS?
  • [Luckin Coffee (LKNCY US, BUY, TP US$45) TP Change]:Solid Execution Showcases Consolidator Potential
  • Nextracker Bets Big on AI & Robotics—Is This the Future of Solar Infrastructure?
  • All You Need to Know About Anil Ambani’s 17000Cr Loan Fraud Case
  • July’s Insider Playbook – Buying Activity In 14 Small Cap Companies
  • Electro Optic Systems — Major contract announcement
  • Korean Banks; Keep Buy on Hana (086790 KS), Take Profits on Woori (316140 KS)


AEM Holdings: Another CEO, Another Kitchen Sink?

By Nicolas Van Broekhoven

  • AEM (AEM SP) announced a new CEO, Samer Kabbani, would take over with immediate effect.
  • The previous CEO, Amy Leong, had only been in the job for about a year. The rapid change of CEO does not instill confidence going into 2Q25 results next week.
  • New CEO’s frequently kitchen sink upon their appointment, will Samer continue this trend?

Ecopro BM: Another Major Rechargeable Battery Play With A Sharp Improvement In Earnings in 2Q 2025

By Douglas Kim

  • Ecopro BM reported net profit of 34.3 billion won (up 397% YoY and TB YoY in 2Q25). Profits from its Indonesian investment also contributed to earnings, reaching 40.5 billion won.
  • The European EV market started to turn around in 2Q 2025 driven by OEM new car launches and customer inventory normalization compared to the end of 2024.
  • There are increasing signs of a positive turnaround at Ecopro BM. The company’s excellent results in 2Q 2025 are likely to result in higher earnings revisions by the consensus.

Unicharm Indonesia : Value Proposition

By Punit Khanna

  • Unicharm Indonesia looks very attractive on the basis os excess cash on its books and cash flow it generates. Trades at <1x EV?EBDITA
  • Its number 1 diaper and feminine pads company which is facing earnings headwinds
  • Any plans by the management to return cash, consumer demand recovery can lead to rerating in the stock.

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Intel. Was Tesla’s Deal With Samsung The Death Knell For IFS?

By William Keating

  • Tesla & Samsung just inked an eight year, $16.5 billion foundry deal set to run from July 24, 2025 through December 31, 2033.
  • Had Intel snagged this deal, it would have been a lifesaver for the company. Not getting it likely triggered the updated “Risk Factors” section in their latest 10K.
  • This isn’t Intel playing politics, there’s no point. It’s LBT laying it on the line for investors. Continued investment in 14A is no longer a given. It’s that simple…

[Luckin Coffee (LKNCY US, BUY, TP US$45) TP Change]:Solid Execution Showcases Consolidator Potential

By Eric Wen

  • Luckin reported C2Q25 revenue 9%/11% higher than our est./cons., and non-GAAP OP 37%/17% higher than our est./cons., driven by the extra demand from food delivery platforms’ promotional campaigns. 
  • As we now expect the food delivery war to persist, we raise Luckin’s C2H25 revenue/OP estimate by 6%/18% and raise the TP to US$45.
  • Luckin, however, managed margin and expenses well to deliver the profit beat;

Nextracker Bets Big on AI & Robotics—Is This the Future of Solar Infrastructure?

By Baptista Research

  • Nextracker, a provider of advanced solar tracking systems, reported its financial performance for the first quarter of fiscal year 2026, showcasing both strengths and underlying challenges.
  • The company achieved a significant year-over-year revenue increase of 20% to $864 million, buoyed by strong global demand and robust operational execution.
  • Adjusted EBITDA similarly grew by 23% to $215 million, representing an EBITDA margin of 25%, a 100 basis point improvement from the prior year.

All You Need to Know About Anil Ambani’s 17000Cr Loan Fraud Case

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Anil Ambani is being investigated by the ED for a massive INR 17,000 crore loan fraud case involving Reliance Group companies.
  • The case centers on allegations of fund diversion and financial irregularities related to loans from a consortium of nearly 20 public and private banks.
  • The investigation is being conducted under the PMLA, which involves even arrest and a parallel probe by SEBI into alleged fund diversion by Reliance Infrastructure.

July’s Insider Playbook – Buying Activity In 14 Small Cap Companies

By Sreemant Dudhoria,CFA


Electro Optic Systems — Major contract announcement

By Edison Investment Research

EOS Optic Systems has announced a landmark order. The group has been developing High Energy Laser Weapons (HELW) systems to expand on its traditional kinetic systems for a number of years. The €71.4m order provides a clear validation of the group’s strategy and technology as well as an income stream for the next three years.


Korean Banks; Keep Buy on Hana (086790 KS), Take Profits on Woori (316140 KS)

By Victor Galliano

  • We stick with Hana Financial as our sole buy in Korean banks; even though it does not top our proprietary scorecard, it remains attractively valued and its returns are improving
  • We downgrade Woori to a neutral from a buy, with Woori now trading at a PBV premium to Hana; historically, this has been an indicator of future poor share performance
  • KB Financial ranks top in our scorecard; KB is one watch, but remains a neutral due to limited appeal in terms of valuation

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Taiyo Yuden (6976):  A Slightly Different Path to Massively Higher Margins and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Taiyo Yuden (6976):  A Slightly Different Path to Massively Higher Margins
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC’s Arizona Surprise – 2nm by 2026?; Signs of Hyperscaler Growth Acceleration
  • Ferrari (RACE US): Deceleration in Q2 FY25, But Confident On Future Growth
  • Laopu Gold (6181.HK) – The Business Model, the Concerns, the Valuation Outlook
  • ASE Technology: Expanding Globally & Tackling Geopolitical Risks & Power AI Innovation!
  • M&B Engineering Ltd. IPO Analysis
  • The Beat Ideas: Thirumalai Chemicals – A ₹2,000 Cr Capex Bet on the Next Growth Cycle
  • T Hasegawa (4958 JP): Q3 FY09/25 flash update
  • Sambhv Steel: Anchor Lock-In Opens, Bet on Capacity Expansion, Debt Reduction & Value Addition
  • Business Breakdown: Pokarna Limited, A Niche Quartz Player Facing Challenge Due to US Tariff


Taiyo Yuden (6976):  A Slightly Different Path to Massively Higher Margins

By Michael Allen

  • Taiyo Yuden underperformed its peers in electronic components by 29% over the past year, but its change in operating profit margin should outperform peers by 68% in the current year.
  • Exposure to the U.S. is less than 7% of direct sales, but probably 25% including indirect exposure. Still, based on supply/demand analysis, we think Yuden is probably tariff proof.  
  • While rivals have prioritized high-margin device modules to offset component sales declines, Yuden doubled down on its core capacitor and inductor strengths and appears to be coming out ahead.

Taiwan Tech Weekly: TSMC’s Arizona Surprise – 2nm by 2026?; Signs of Hyperscaler Growth Acceleration

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • U.S. 2nm Production May Begin Sooner Than Expected — Is TSMC Responding to Unprecedented N2 Demand?
  • Hyperscalers 2Q25: Revenue Growth Accelerates, Cloud Revenues Accelerate, Capex Higher 
  • TechChain Insights: Taiwan’s Battery Cell Moment? USA & EU Supply Chain Under Strategic Pressure 

Ferrari (RACE US): Deceleration in Q2 FY25, But Confident On Future Growth

By Sameer Taneja

  • Ferrari N.V. (RACE US) reported Q2 FY25 revenue and earnings growth of 4.4% and 3% (a slight miss on analysts’ estimates) due to increased tax rates and slower growth.
  • Management is confident of meeting its conservative guidance for FY25, projecting baseline revenue and EPS growth of 5% and 2% YoY.
  • The stock trades at 41.6x FY25 PE and 24x EV-EBITDA. Ferrari N.V. (RACE US)  continues to maintain its unique pricing power position due to its loyal customer base.

Laopu Gold (6181.HK) – The Business Model, the Concerns, the Valuation Outlook

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The value of Laopu lies in its innovation in business model,successfully breaking away from the low-profit attribute of the industry by following the pricing and operation methods of luxury goods.
  • However, Laopu cannot enjoy the valuation system of luxury brands because it cannot “escape” gold price cycle.So, when valuation of Laopu approaches that of luxury brands, it has overvaluation risks.
  • Current valuation has priced in overseas expansion, which however isn’t a done deal.During upward cycle of gold prices,it’s easy to optimistically linearly extrapolate Laopu’s growth potential.Valuation faces downward revision risk  

ASE Technology: Expanding Globally & Tackling Geopolitical Risks & Power AI Innovation!

By Baptista Research

  • ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. delivered a robust performance in the second quarter of 2025, with advancements in several key business segments contributing to the company’s overall growth.
  • The company reported an unconsolidated revenue increase of 9% year-over-year and 2% on a sequential basis, expressed in new Taiwan dollars.
  • On a U.S. dollar basis, revenues grew by 7% sequentially and 11% annually.

M&B Engineering Ltd. IPO Analysis

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • M&B Engineering, a leader in the PEB space, launched a INR 650 crore IPO with a price band of INR 366-385, opening July 30, 2025.
  • The company will use the INR 275 crore fresh issue proceeds for capital expenditure to expand manufacturing facilities, upgrade technology, and repay certain borrowings.
  • Growth is fueled by 60% capacity expansion by FY28 and a booming PEB market; valuation appears reasonable given its high PAT CAGR of 53%.

The Beat Ideas: Thirumalai Chemicals – A ₹2,000 Cr Capex Bet on the Next Growth Cycle

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Thirumalai Chemicals is nearing completion of two transformative capex projects in Dahej (India) and West Virginia (USA) set to expand capacity by over 130,000 TPA across commodity and specialty chemicals. 
  • These investments position TCL to capture demand in both domestic import-substitution and underserved global food ingredient markets, while reducing dependency on cyclical PAN margins. 
  • The company is transitioning from a commodity-heavy profile to a more diversified, global specialty player, unlocking long-term margin expansion and reducing volatility in earnings.

T Hasegawa (4958 JP): Q3 FY09/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Revenue increased 3.5% YoY to JPY54.5bn, with major subsidiaries in the US, China, and Malaysia contributing growth.
  • Operating profit decreased 3.3% YoY to JPY7.2bn due to higher SG&A expenses, despite revenue growth and improved cost ratio.
  • Flavor Division revenue rose 4.4% YoY to JPY48.7bn, while Fragrance Division revenue declined 3.3% YoY to JPY5.8bn.

Sambhv Steel: Anchor Lock-In Opens, Bet on Capacity Expansion, Debt Reduction & Value Addition

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • In Sambhv Steel Tubes (SAMBHV IN), the anchor investor lock-in expiry ends brought expected selling pressure, testing the stock’s resilience and investor conviction in its fundamentals.
  • The company posted record Q1 revenue and profit, driven by strong volumes and margin expansion from its strategic value-added product focus.
  • Management guides for sustained 12-13% EBITDA margins, backed by aggressive brownfield and greenfield expansions to capture future market demand.

Business Breakdown: Pokarna Limited, A Niche Quartz Player Facing Challenge Due to US Tariff

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Pokarna is India’s leading quartz exporter, leveraging italian Bretonstone technology to deliver industry-leading margins, growth in Natural Quartz segment.
  • Company is doing major capex worth Rs. 440Crs, that will add an additional 500Cr in topline once fully operational.
  • The company is facing demand challenges due to the US 25% Tariff since more than 80% revenue is coming from the US.

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Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Tokyo Electron (8035 JP): Why the Big Downward Revision? and more

By | Daily Briefs, Equity Bottom-Up

In today’s briefing:

  • Tokyo Electron (8035 JP): Why the Big Downward Revision?
  • Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (04 Aug)
  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Short Setup, ASE ADR at Historically Rare Discount
  • Spindex Potential Privatisation
  • TechChain Insights: Taiwan’s Battery Cell Moment? USA & EU Supply Chain Under Strategic Pressure
  • Teradyne Transforms Robotics with U.S. Manufacturing Push & Operational Breakthroughs!
  • PayPal Holdings: Enhancement in Branded Checkout, Payment Systems & Other Major Drivers!
  • Boeing Co: Service Expansion Complexity
  • Seagate Technology: Initiation of Coverage- HAMR Technology Advancement
  • LRCX FY 25Q4. Record Quarter, Record Year But Beware Tariff Threats & China Exposure


Tokyo Electron (8035 JP): Why the Big Downward Revision?

By Scott Foster

  • Tokyo Electron’s share price dropped 18% on Friday following the announcement of weak Q1 results and a huge downward revision to H2 FY Mar-26 guidance. 
  • Push-Outs and/or cancellations of orders due to the uncertainty caused by President Trump apparently caught managment by surprise. Costs also rising as management ramps up capex and R&D.
  • Impact of Trump’s yet-to-be-announced tariffs on semiconductors is still unknown, but 15% base rate on Japan already a negative. 

Relative Value Opportunities in Asia-Pac, Pair Trade Roundup (04 Aug)

By Gaudenz Schneider

  • Context: This Insight follows up on previously highlighted relative value opportunities, using a statistical methodology based on mean-reversion to identify opportunities in paired securities.
  • Highlight: Currently six pair trade opportunities across three markets and three sectors persist.
  • Why read: Statistical analysis offers a unique perspective on relative value. Gain insights into actionable statistical pair trade opportunities and monitor performance of previously highlighted pairs.

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Spread Short Setup, ASE ADR at Historically Rare Discount

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC: +23.9% Premium; Continued Opportunity to Short the ADR Premium
  • UMC: -0.4% Discount; Wait for More Extreme Levels Before Going Long or Short
  • ASE: -1.5% Discount; Historically Rare Discount Presents Opportunity to Long the ADR Spread

Spindex Potential Privatisation

By Punit Khanna

  • Spindex has announced that they have been approached by a third party on a possible transaction in relation to shares of the company.
  • The discussions are ongoing and transaction may or may not happen
  • We have published insight on 22nd April highlighting that the stock trades below 2x EV/EBDITA and has 60% of market cap

TechChain Insights: Taiwan’s Battery Cell Moment? USA & EU Supply Chain Under Strategic Pressure

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Battery cells are the new chokepoint in the global clean energy supply chain, with China still controlling 75%+ of global capacity and exporting under increasingly restrictive terms.
  • Taiwan is emerging as a high-trust, high-precision hub for advanced cell manufacturing, applying its semiconductor model to batteries.
  • With pouch cells gaining traction across drones, robotics, and compact mobility, Taiwan’s lab-to-fab advantage positions it as a future anchor of the U.S. and European energy ecosystems.

Teradyne Transforms Robotics with U.S. Manufacturing Push & Operational Breakthroughs!

By Baptista Research

  • Teradyne, Inc. reported second-quarter results that showed a sequential and year-over-year improvement in its core business areas, led by strong demand in AI compute-related segments.
  • The company posted secondquarter revenue of $652 million and non-GAAP EPS of $0.57, both above the midpoint of guidance.
  • Semi Test revenue was $492 million, including $397 million from System-on-Chip (SOC) testing and $61 million from Memory.

PayPal Holdings: Enhancement in Branded Checkout, Payment Systems & Other Major Drivers!

By Baptista Research

  • PayPal Holdings, Inc. delivered mixed results for the second quarter of 2025, displaying both strong growth in certain key segments as well as some challenges.
  • The positive highlights from their results include continued profitability and expanding transaction volumes, driven by strategic initiatives across their platforms.
  • PayPal’s transaction margin dollars increased by 8% excluding interest on customer balances, marking their sixth consecutive quarter of profitable growth, and non-GAAP earnings per share surged by 18% year-over-year.

Boeing Co: Service Expansion Complexity

By Baptista Research

  • The Boeing Company reported its second-quarter 2025 financial results, showcasing a mixed bag of performance indicators, strategic progress, and notable challenges.
  • During this period, Boeing generated total revenue of $22.7 billion, marking a significant increase of 35% from the previous year.
  • This uptick was primarily driven by an increase in commercial airplane deliveries.

Seagate Technology: Initiation of Coverage- HAMR Technology Advancement

By Baptista Research

  • Seagate Technology reported a strong performance for the fiscal fourth quarter and the entire fiscal year 2025, characterized by significant year-over-year growth in key financial metrics.
  • The company’s results highlighted a 30% year-over-year increase in quarterly revenue and record gross margins, marking the ninth consecutive quarter of gross margin improvement.
  • This performance was attributed to increased adoption of Seagate’s heatassisted magnetic recording (HAMR) technology and a robust demand for nearline products in global cloud markets.

LRCX FY 25Q4. Record Quarter, Record Year But Beware Tariff Threats & China Exposure

By William Keating

  • LRCX reported FY 25Q4 revenues of $5.17 billion, + 10% QoQ, + 33% YoY and up $170 million from the guided midpoint.  
  • For FY 2025 as a whole, revenue amounted to $18.44 billion, up 23% YoY and their highest ever annual revenue, exceeding the previous record by roughly $1 billion.
  • China revenues are climbing once again and now represent 35% of sales and are on track to go even higher in the current quarter. That’s a concern..

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