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Daily Brief Industrials: Shenzhen International, Bababos, J&T Global Express, Carr’s Group PLC and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Shenzhen Intl (152 HK): Conversation with Company Affirms 2H23 Outlook
  • East Ventures Leads $3m Round of Indonesian Raw Materials Platform
  • J&T Global Express Pre-IPO – Thoughts on Valuation
  • Carr’s Group – Progressing to plan


Shenzhen Intl (152 HK): Conversation with Company Affirms 2H23 Outlook

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Shenzhen International (152 HK) is well set to post a significant YoY and HoH growth in earnings in 2H23. Our discussion with the company confirmed this.  
  • Profit from Yicheng Qiwanli is expected to be booked and there will be profit upside from REIT listing with logistics hubs at Hangzhou and Guizhou as underlying assets.
  • Significant reduction in USD and HKD-denominated debt will reduce its exposure to foreign exchange losses as well as high interest rate, both will be reflected in 2H23.

East Ventures Leads $3m Round of Indonesian Raw Materials Platform

By Tech in Asia

  • MSMEs play a big role in Indonesia’s economy. In 2019, the Indonesian government reported that there were 65.4 million MSMEs in Indonesia, constituting 60.5% of its GDP.
  • But for many of these small companies across the region, digitalization is still a new concept, and this provides opportunities for big tech companies as well as startups to fill the gap.
  • One such player is Indonesia-based Bababos, which targets SMEs in the manufacturing space. The startup operates a platform that matches these SMEs with suppliers of raw materials like steel, polymers, and chemicals.

J&T Global Express Pre-IPO – Thoughts on Valuation

By Sumeet Singh

  • J&T Global Express, a global logistics service provider, is looking to raise about US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • As per Frost & Sullivan (F&S), the firm is the leading express delivery business in Southeast Asia, with a 22.5% market share as per 2022 parcel volume.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison in our earlier notes. In this note, we talk about valuations.

Carr’s Group – Progressing to plan

By Edison Investment Research

FY23 trading has continued according to the early August update, demonstrating the benefit of two unrelated activities at Carr’s Group: the Engineering division’s strength countering the weakness seen in the Speciality Agriculture business. Both have underlying longer-term growth attractions to drive earnings, along with the recovery potential in the agriculture end-markets.


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Daily Brief Industrials: Nws Holdings, Embraer SA, J&T Global Express and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • NWS (659 HK): Pre-Cons Done. Now, About That Final Divvie …
  • Embraer – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics
  • J&T Global Express Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison


NWS (659 HK): Pre-Cons Done. Now, About That Final Divvie …

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 26 June, Chow Tai Fook (CTFE) made a pre-conditional voluntary Offer for New World (17 HK)‘s 60.88%-held NWS (659 HK) at HK$9.15/share, a 22.2% premium to undisturbed.
  • The Cheng-family-backed CTFE and connected parties held 45.24% of NWD, therefore the parent was effectively injecting ~US$2.75bn of cash into NWD for its NWS stake.
  • The pre-cons are now done, with a 13 October despatch date for the Composite Document. Technically, this could be wrapped up before NWS’ final dividend ex-date. That’s worth exploring further.

Embraer – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics’ ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable).
We assess Embraer’s ESG as “Adequate”, in line with its “Adequate” Environmental and Governance scores. The company has a “Strong” score for the Social pillar. Controversies are “Immaterial” and Disclosure is “Strong”.


J&T Global Express Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison

By Sumeet Singh

  • J&T Global Express, a global logistics service provider, is looking to raise about US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • As per Frost & Sullivan (F&S), the firm is the leading express delivery business in Southeast Asia, with a 22.5% market share as per 2022 parcel volume.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance and its PHIP updates in our earlier notes. In this note we will undertake a peer comparison.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Nws Holdings, Embraer SA, J&T Global Express and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • NWS (659 HK): Pre-Cons Done. Now, About That Final Divvie …
  • Embraer – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics
  • J&T Global Express Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison


NWS (659 HK): Pre-Cons Done. Now, About That Final Divvie …

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on the 26 June, Chow Tai Fook (CTFE) made a pre-conditional voluntary Offer for New World (17 HK)‘s 60.88%-held NWS (659 HK) at HK$9.15/share, a 22.2% premium to undisturbed.
  • The Cheng-family-backed CTFE and connected parties held 45.24% of NWD, therefore the parent was effectively injecting ~US$2.75bn of cash into NWD for its NWS stake.
  • The pre-cons are now done, with a 13 October despatch date for the Composite Document. Technically, this could be wrapped up before NWS’ final dividend ex-date. That’s worth exploring further.

Embraer – ESG Report – Lucror Analytics

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics’ ESG Scores are based on a 3-tiered scale and are adjusted for Controversies (if applicable).
We assess Embraer’s ESG as “Adequate”, in line with its “Adequate” Environmental and Governance scores. The company has a “Strong” score for the Social pillar. Controversies are “Immaterial” and Disclosure is “Strong”.


J&T Global Express Pre-IPO – Peer Comparison

By Sumeet Singh

  • J&T Global Express, a global logistics service provider, is looking to raise about US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • As per Frost & Sullivan (F&S), the firm is the leading express delivery business in Southeast Asia, with a 22.5% market share as per 2022 parcel volume.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance and its PHIP updates in our earlier notes. In this note we will undertake a peer comparison.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Nws Holdings, Dongfang Electric and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • NWS Holding (659 HK): Pre-Condition Satisfied
  • Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Don’t Miss Out on This Undervalued Play


NWS Holding (659 HK): Pre-Condition Satisfied

By Arun George

  • The pre-condition for the Nws Holdings (659 HK) voluntary general offer from the Cheng family is satisfied. The total offer (HK$9.15 + 2H dividend) is HK$9.46 per share.
  • The key condition is (majority vote) approval by independent NWD shareholders. NWD’s share price decline and dependency on NWS earnings/cash flow support a NO vote.
  • A reasonable offer which reduces NWD’s gearing, results in a special dividend and helps reduce the holding company discount supports the YES vote. We think that the YES vote prevails.

Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Don’t Miss Out on This Undervalued Play

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • The YTD underperformance of Dongfang Electric (1072 HK) has put it on very attractive PER of 5.8x for FY23. More importantly, it has delivered both earnings and new order growth. 
  • Financial position has improved with net cash of Rmb16.5bn and its recurring earnings soared 26.5% at 1H23. The adverse economic environment has not had an impact on its operations.
  • New orders amounted to Rmb48.9bn (+33.3% YoY), a record high, and we estimate backlog at Rmb166bn. This equals 2.5x FY23F revenue and suggests forward earnings are well covered.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Nws Holdings, Dongfang Electric and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • NWS Holding (659 HK): Pre-Condition Satisfied
  • Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Don’t Miss Out on This Undervalued Play


NWS Holding (659 HK): Pre-Condition Satisfied

By Arun George

  • The pre-condition for the Nws Holdings (659 HK) voluntary general offer from the Cheng family is satisfied. The total offer (HK$9.15 + 2H dividend) is HK$9.46 per share.
  • The key condition is (majority vote) approval by independent NWD shareholders. NWD’s share price decline and dependency on NWS earnings/cash flow support a NO vote.
  • A reasonable offer which reduces NWD’s gearing, results in a special dividend and helps reduce the holding company discount supports the YES vote. We think that the YES vote prevails.

Dongfang Electric (1072 HK): Don’t Miss Out on This Undervalued Play

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • The YTD underperformance of Dongfang Electric (1072 HK) has put it on very attractive PER of 5.8x for FY23. More importantly, it has delivered both earnings and new order growth. 
  • Financial position has improved with net cash of Rmb16.5bn and its recurring earnings soared 26.5% at 1H23. The adverse economic environment has not had an impact on its operations.
  • New orders amounted to Rmb48.9bn (+33.3% YoY), a record high, and we estimate backlog at Rmb166bn. This equals 2.5x FY23F revenue and suggests forward earnings are well covered.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Ecoeye and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Ecoeye IPO Valuation Analysis


Ecoeye IPO Valuation Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Our base case valuation of Ecoeye IPO is 45,421 won per share, representing 31% higher than the high end of the IPO price range. 
  • Given the solid upside, we have a positive view of Ecoeye IPO. The target P/E multiple of 28.8x is based on a 20% premium to the comps’ average valuation multiple.
  • We believe this premium valuation multiple is appropriate given higher sales growth rate and operating margin for Ecoeye as compared to the comps.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Ecoeye and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Ecoeye IPO Valuation Analysis


Ecoeye IPO Valuation Analysis

By Douglas Kim

  • Our base case valuation of Ecoeye IPO is 45,421 won per share, representing 31% higher than the high end of the IPO price range. 
  • Given the solid upside, we have a positive view of Ecoeye IPO. The target P/E multiple of 28.8x is based on a 20% premium to the comps’ average valuation multiple.
  • We believe this premium valuation multiple is appropriate given higher sales growth rate and operating margin for Ecoeye as compared to the comps.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Doosan Robotics, Taeyoung Engineering & Construction, Apar Industries, J&T Global Express, Amaero International Ltd, Qantm Intellectual Property and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Doosan Robotics IPO Trading – Strong Insti Subscription Rates but Still Feels like a Punt
  • Korea Small Cap Gem #25: Taeyoung E&C [P/E of 1x and P/B of 0.2x]
  • APAR Industries- Forensic Analysis
  • J&T Global Express IPO: Updates Tilts the Balance Positively
  • Amaero International Ltd – Transformative Decision to Dedicate First Atomiser to C-103
  • QANTM Intellectual Property Ltd – FY23 Peer Metrics Underscore QIP’s Relative Value


Doosan Robotics IPO Trading – Strong Insti Subscription Rates but Still Feels like a Punt

By Ethan Aw

  • Doosan Robotics (454910 KS) raised around US$318m in its Korea IPO, after pricing its IPO at the top end of the range at KRW26,000/share.
  • Doosan Robotics (DR) manufactures and sells collaborative robots (Cobots). The firm’s product portfolio primarily includes different series of robot arms as well as its coffee module.
  • In this note, we will talk about the demand for the deal and other trading dynamics.

Korea Small Cap Gem #25: Taeyoung E&C [P/E of 1x and P/B of 0.2x]

By Douglas Kim

  • Taeyoung Engineering & Construction (009410 KS) is the 25th company in our Korea Small Cap Gems series.
  • Taeyoung E&C is a mid-sized construction company in Korea with a market cap of 146 billion won. Its shares are trading at P/E of 1x and P/B of 0.2x. 
  • At the end of 1H 2023, the company had 6.1 trillion won in order backlog, representing a backlog/sales ratio is 2.3x.

APAR Industries- Forensic Analysis

By Nitin Mangal

  • Apar Industries (APR IN) is the global leader in aluminum and alloy conductor manufacturing. The company is also India’s largest and world’s third largest transformer oil manufacturers. 
  • After two silent years during covid, the company’s operations have taken off and there is growth reported in each of its three business segments.
  • The balance sheet has also shown improvement and looks stable. But, our principle concerns remain on the operating cash flow side, which looks to be misstated.

J&T Global Express IPO: Updates Tilts the Balance Positively

By Arun George


Amaero International Ltd – Transformative Decision to Dedicate First Atomiser to C-103

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Amaero International Ltd (ASX:3DA) is a global specialist in advanced materials manufacturing for the defence, aerospace, and other industrial sectors.
  • The company is developing a 1,000+-tonne a year critical metals alloy powder manufacturing facility in Tennessee, USA, and announced last week that its first EIGA gas atomiser would be dedicated to the refractory alloy powder, C103 (niobium 89%,-hafnium 10%,-titanium 1%), for hypersonic and space applications.
  • The decision to focus initially on C103 is in response to US industry demand for refractory alloy powders and driven by the talent and expertise that Amaero has brought together in its senior executive team. 

QANTM Intellectual Property Ltd – FY23 Peer Metrics Underscore QIP’s Relative Value

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • QANTM Intellectual Property Ltd (ASX:QIP) owns a group of intellectual property (IP) services businesses operating under the independent brands of Davies Collison Cave (DCC), FPA Patent Attorneys, and Sortify.tm.
  • It is a major player in the mature and regulated Australian patent, trade marks and IP legal services market with ~16.5% market share (FY23) in its key patents segment (67% of revenue) and a diversified mix of local and foreign clients (~45%/55% split; ~50% US$ revenue).
  • We have reviewed recent results from the listed Australian and UK companies that we consider to be peers and have found that QIP mostly outperformed the group in terms of EBITDA margin expansion in FY23.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Doosan Robotics, Taeyoung Engineering & Construction, Apar Industries, J&T Global Express, Amaero International Ltd, Qantm Intellectual Property and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • Doosan Robotics IPO Trading – Strong Insti Subscription Rates but Still Feels like a Punt
  • Korea Small Cap Gem #25: Taeyoung E&C [P/E of 1x and P/B of 0.2x]
  • APAR Industries- Forensic Analysis
  • J&T Global Express IPO: Updates Tilts the Balance Positively
  • Amaero International Ltd – Transformative Decision to Dedicate First Atomiser to C-103
  • QANTM Intellectual Property Ltd – FY23 Peer Metrics Underscore QIP’s Relative Value


Doosan Robotics IPO Trading – Strong Insti Subscription Rates but Still Feels like a Punt

By Ethan Aw

  • Doosan Robotics (454910 KS) raised around US$318m in its Korea IPO, after pricing its IPO at the top end of the range at KRW26,000/share.
  • Doosan Robotics (DR) manufactures and sells collaborative robots (Cobots). The firm’s product portfolio primarily includes different series of robot arms as well as its coffee module.
  • In this note, we will talk about the demand for the deal and other trading dynamics.

Korea Small Cap Gem #25: Taeyoung E&C [P/E of 1x and P/B of 0.2x]

By Douglas Kim

  • Taeyoung Engineering & Construction (009410 KS) is the 25th company in our Korea Small Cap Gems series.
  • Taeyoung E&C is a mid-sized construction company in Korea with a market cap of 146 billion won. Its shares are trading at P/E of 1x and P/B of 0.2x. 
  • At the end of 1H 2023, the company had 6.1 trillion won in order backlog, representing a backlog/sales ratio is 2.3x.

APAR Industries- Forensic Analysis

By Nitin Mangal

  • Apar Industries (APR IN) is the global leader in aluminum and alloy conductor manufacturing. The company is also India’s largest and world’s third largest transformer oil manufacturers. 
  • After two silent years during covid, the company’s operations have taken off and there is growth reported in each of its three business segments.
  • The balance sheet has also shown improvement and looks stable. But, our principle concerns remain on the operating cash flow side, which looks to be misstated.

J&T Global Express IPO: Updates Tilts the Balance Positively

By Arun George


Amaero International Ltd – Transformative Decision to Dedicate First Atomiser to C-103

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • Amaero International Ltd (ASX:3DA) is a global specialist in advanced materials manufacturing for the defence, aerospace, and other industrial sectors.
  • The company is developing a 1,000+-tonne a year critical metals alloy powder manufacturing facility in Tennessee, USA, and announced last week that its first EIGA gas atomiser would be dedicated to the refractory alloy powder, C103 (niobium 89%,-hafnium 10%,-titanium 1%), for hypersonic and space applications.
  • The decision to focus initially on C103 is in response to US industry demand for refractory alloy powders and driven by the talent and expertise that Amaero has brought together in its senior executive team. 

QANTM Intellectual Property Ltd – FY23 Peer Metrics Underscore QIP’s Relative Value

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • QANTM Intellectual Property Ltd (ASX:QIP) owns a group of intellectual property (IP) services businesses operating under the independent brands of Davies Collison Cave (DCC), FPA Patent Attorneys, and Sortify.tm.
  • It is a major player in the mature and regulated Australian patent, trade marks and IP legal services market with ~16.5% market share (FY23) in its key patents segment (67% of revenue) and a diversified mix of local and foreign clients (~45%/55% split; ~50% US$ revenue).
  • We have reviewed recent results from the listed Australian and UK companies that we consider to be peers and have found that QIP mostly outperformed the group in terms of EBITDA margin expansion in FY23.

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Daily Brief Industrials: Bharat Electronics, Cainiao Smart Logistics, J&T Global Express, FuelCell Energy, Cintas Corp and more

By | Daily Briefs, Industrials

In today’s briefing:

  • NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Two’s Company; Three’s A Crowd
  • Cainiao IPO: Index Inclusion Timeline
  • J&T Global Express IPO: PHIP Updates
  • J&T Global Express Pre-IPO, Part 5 | Analysis of H123 Performance | Updated EV Estimate US$9.1 Bn
  • FuelCell Energy Inc.: New Commercial Development Initiatives Explained! – Major Drivers
  • J&T Global Express Pre-IPO – PHIP Updates – Managed to Grow but Isn’t Sustainable Yet
  • Cintas Corporation: Collaboration With Honda & Other Major Developments


NIFTY50 Index Rebalance Preview: Two’s Company; Three’s A Crowd

By Brian Freitas

  • There should be two changes for the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) in March. That could increase to three, but that would take some big price moves from now to January.
  • Impact on the potential changes is pretty large at over 6 days of ADV to trade from passive trackers. The impact is over 11 days of delivery volume.
  • Inclusion of Avenue Supermarts Ltd (DMART IN) in the F&O segment before January could lead to another change.

Cainiao IPO: Index Inclusion Timeline

By Brian Freitas

  • Cainiao Smart Logistics (1437124D HK) has filed an application proof to list on the HKEX (388 HK) and could raise US$1bn at a valuation between US$15bn-20bn.
  • Cainiao Smart Logistics (1437124D HK) could get Fast Entry to the HSCI and be included in Southbound Stock Connect once the price stabilisation period is complete.
  • Inclusion in other indices will take longer with the highest probability of index inclusion in June. Earlier inclusion will depend on the IPO timing, size and allocation to strategic/cornerstone investors.

J&T Global Express IPO: PHIP Updates

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Global logistics and express delivery service provider J&T Express’ HKEx IPO application has been approved and this insight focuses on new data points from the PHIP filings.
  • SEA segment’s GPM has further declined during 1H2023, however, gross losses of the other two segments have declined significantly resulting in GPM for the company.
  • Our analysis suggests that with falling SEA margins, J&T Global Express (1936374D CH) may not be able to generate operating profits in the medium-term.

J&T Global Express Pre-IPO, Part 5 | Analysis of H123 Performance | Updated EV Estimate US$9.1 Bn

By Daniel Hellberg

  • In this insight we focus on J&T’s improved H123 performance in China and SE Asia
  • How did the company achieve these gains? And do the improvements appear sustainable?
  • We conclude with an updated estimate of J&T’s Enterprise Value: US$9.1 Bn

FuelCell Energy Inc.: New Commercial Development Initiatives Explained! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • FuelCell Energy, Inc. delivered a mixed result in the recent quarter, with revenues below market expectations, but it surpassed the analyst consensus regarding earnings.
  • The company reported total revenues of $25.5 million for the quarter.
  • The two latest module exchanges at the plant owned by Korea Southern Power Company and the module exchange at the plant at Trinity College were the main factors behind the increase in service agreement revenue for the third quarter of fiscal year 2023.

J&T Global Express Pre-IPO – PHIP Updates – Managed to Grow but Isn’t Sustainable Yet

By Sumeet Singh

  • J&T Global Express, a global logistics service provider, is looking to raise about US$500m in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO.
  • As per Frost & Sullivan (F&S), the firm is the leading express delivery business in Southeast Asia, with a 22.5% market share as per 2022 parcel volume.
  • We have looked at the company’s past performance in our earlier notes. In this note we will look at its PHIP updates.

Cintas Corporation: Collaboration With Honda & Other Major Developments

By Baptista Research

  • Cintas Corporation managed to surpass the revenue expectations as well as the earnings expectations of Wall Street.
  • The company’s bottom line reaps the rewards of its robust volume and revenue growth.
  • Besides, the Fire business generated $174.3 million in revenue, with a 14.2% organic revenue growth rate.

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