This weekly newsletter pulls together summaries of the top ten most-read Insights across Equity Derivatives on Smartkarma.
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1. SoftBank (9984 JP) Tactical Outlook: Buying Opportunity Despite Overvaluation Concerns
- Softbank Group (9984 JP) revealed in early November the sale of all its NVIDIA Corp (NVDA US) stake. Softbank sold off for the entire month, losing 44% of its value.
- The stock has remained flat since, and there is a lot of skepticism around SoftBank Group role as a major technology investor.
- The stock appears to be bottoming, our model indicate it is short-term oversold (WEEKLY time period) so this may be a good opportunity to buy it at a discounted price.
2. TSMC (2330 TT) Tactical Outlook AFTER January Earnings
- TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (2330 TT) released its Fourth Quarter 2025 earnings on January 15, 2026. Strong results, no significant news.
- The stock is incredibly overbought – this insight is an update to our insight published on Dec 30th. We discuss the stock’s most likely trajectory for the next few weeks.
- The general outlook remains bullish but the short-term tacticals suggest the stock is overdue for a pullback and the pullback can be bought.
3. Hong Kong Single Stock Options Weekly (Jan 12 – 16): Single Stocks Stir Beneath a Range Bound HSI
- Extended range contraction highlights a calm backdrop that stands out historically against muted implied volatility.
- Quiet index behavior alongside rising dispersion suggests conditions may favor stock specific strategies over broad market trades.
- Shifts in option volume highlight where investor attention is building, offering clues about where risk is being actively expressed.
4. Pan-Asian Stocks Tactical Outlook (Week Jan 12 – Jan 16)
- Tactical WEEKLY snapshot of the Asian indices and stocks we cover, the forecasts are based on our proprietary quantitative models.
- The picture is full of contrasts this week, some Pan-Asian stocks are overbought and some are oversold. Read the insight for the details and our comments/analysis.
- One additional thing worth mentioning: our Crude Oil model says that CL futures are WEEKLY OVERBOUGHT after a non-impressive rally (=weakness).
5. NIFTY 50 Tactical Outlook: Did Recent Volatility Create A Buying Opportunity?
- In our last NIFTY insight in mid December we identified a BUY opportunity at around 25860, with a target around 26291-26966. The NIFTY bottomed at 25726 and rallied to 26366.
- Last week the NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) pulled back to a support price (25683) that our PRICE MODEL identified as very oversold (80% probability of LONG reversal).
- The TIME MODEL is also oversold (70% probability of reversal), so we recently indicated in our Pan-Asian Stocks WEEKLY Tactical Outlook that the NIFTY was a candidate for reversal.
