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Concerns about US fiscal policy have pushed term premium higher in the US, leading to a steeper yield curve globally.
US-China tariff de-escalation and improved sentiment have reduced recession risks in the US, leading to higher GDP forecasts and reduced easing expectations from central banks.
In Sweden, GDP forecasts have been revised higher, with a 25 basis point rate cut expected from the Riksbank in June. Opportunities in Sweden include cautious long positions in duration.
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