Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Ltd. manufactures integrated circuits based on its proprietary designs.  The Company offers a comprehensive set of integrated circuit fabrication processes to manufacture CMOS logic, mixed-mode, volatile and non-volatile memory and BiCMOS chips.  Taiwan Semiconductor is an affiliate of Philips Electronics N.V.

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR (TSM US)

<ul>
<li>Taiwan Tech Rallies Along With Rebound In Global Tech; Hon Hai, Asustek Top Gainers; KYEC a Top Loser After Announcing China Market Divestment</li>
<li>PC Monitor: The Next Version of MSFT CoPilot Will Be the Killer App for a Global AI PC Upgrade Cycle </li>
<li>ASMedia GDR Early Look - Momentum Has Been Strong, and Raising Would Grow Its Cash Base Almost 6x </li>
</ul>


Taiwan Tech Rallies Along With Rebound In Global Tech; Hon Hai, Asustek Top Gainers; KYEC a Top Loser After Announcing China Market Divestment
PC Monitor: The Next Version of MSFT CoPilot Will Be the Killer App for a Global AI PC Upgrade Cycle 
ASMedia GDR Early Look - Momentum Has Been Strong, and Raising Would Grow Its Cash Base Almost 6x 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hon Hai New All-Time Highs; Asustek Soars; Leading Chip Testing Firm Exits China

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Nintendo Co., Ltd. globally develops, manufactures and sells home-use video game hardware and software in home entertainment business.  The company also produces home-game products including cards.

<ul>
<li>Operating profit: FY3/24 OP was 529 billion yen (+4.9% YoY) vs analyst estimates of 537 billion (1.5% miss)</li>
<li>FY3/25 Operating guidance is 400 billion yen, significantly below analyst expectations of 480 billions (-16% miss).</li>
<li>The initial market reaction may be negative, we would use that as an opportunity to buy into the stock for the cyclical upturn in FY3/26.</li>
</ul>


Operating profit: FY3/24 OP was 529 billion yen (+4.9% YoY) vs analyst estimates of 537 billion (1.5% miss)
FY3/25 Operating guidance is 400 billion yen, significantly below analyst expectations of 480 billions (-16% miss).
The initial market reaction may be negative, we would use that as an opportunity to buy into the stock for the cyclical upturn in FY3/26.


Nintendo (7974) | Negative Surprise....Not Really

Silicon Motion Technology / Equity Bottom-Up

Silicon Motion Technology Corporation is a semiconductor company that designs, develops, and markets semiconductor products for the multimedia consumer electronics market. The Company's products include controllers used in mobile storage media and multimedia systems on a chip.

<ul>
<li>Silicon Motion's lQ24 results confirmed the company's end-demand strength as implied by previous Samsung and SK Hynix management commentary re: solid state memory.</li>
<li>Management has increased 2024E guidance, citing rising ASPs and strong demand due to its memory controller products' usage in edge AI applications such as AI PCs and AI smartphones.</li>
<li>The street upgraded target prices across the board after the results; however we note the stock remains below its past acquistion offer price by Maxlinear and we see further upside.</li>
</ul>


Silicon Motion's lQ24 results confirmed the company's end-demand strength as implied by previous Samsung and SK Hynix management commentary re: solid state memory.
Management has increased 2024E guidance, citing rising ASPs and strong demand due to its memory controller products' usage in edge AI applications such as AI PCs and AI smartphones.
The street upgraded target prices across the board after the results; however we note the stock remains below its past acquistion offer price by Maxlinear and we see further upside.


Silicon Motion: Leader in Powerful Niche for Edge AI Memory; Plus Key Wins for Data Center Solution

Equity Analyst, Event-driven, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Equity Analyst, Event-driven

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

Hangzhou EZVIZ Network Co.,Ltd. develops internet of things cloud platform and provides smart home services. The Company manufactures smart home products such as smart home cameras, home automation products, home automation products, accessory products, and offers cloud platform services. Hangzhou EZVIZ Network conducts businesses in China.

<ul>
<li>STAR 50 Index is a tech-focused, blue-chip index in Mainland China which tracks the top 50 largest and most liquid names in the STAR market of the Shanghai Stock Exchange.</li>
<li>In my last insight (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/quiddity-leaderboard-star-50-jun-24-3-adds-dels-possible-but-should-be-monitored-closely" target="_blank" rel="noopener">link</a>), I discussed how the rankings had to be monitored closely before finalizing the index change expectations for the June 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>Now that the reference period is complete, I have discussed my final expectations for the June 2024 review. The official index changes will be announced later this month.</li>
</ul>


STAR 50 Index is a tech-focused, blue-chip index in Mainland China which tracks the top 50 largest and most liquid names in the STAR market of the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
In my last insight (link), I discussed how the rankings had to be monitored closely before finalizing the index change expectations for the June 2024 index rebal event.
Now that the reference period is complete, I have discussed my final expectations for the June 2024 review. The official index changes will be announced later this month.


Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50 Jun 24: SHORTs Down 12% Vs Peers in 1 Month; Final Ranks & New Trade

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

KOSDAQ 150 Index is a base index for futures trading to hedge risks in KOSDAQ market. Base period and base index : Jan 4, 2010, 1,000p

<ul>
<li>Aggressively curbing naked short selling may enhance flow conditions for Value-Up stocks by reducing market turnover.</li>
<li>Liquidity decline may worsen KOSDAQ's underperformance relative to KOSPI stocks due to its higher vulnerability to liquidity fluctuations.</li>
<li>We should also monitor price impact from phased short selling in the absence of intra-day naked short selling post-regulation tightening.</li>
</ul>


Aggressively curbing naked short selling may enhance flow conditions for Value-Up stocks by reducing market turnover.
Liquidity decline may worsen KOSDAQ's underperformance relative to KOSPI stocks due to its higher vulnerability to liquidity fluctuations.
We should also monitor price impact from phased short selling in the absence of intra-day naked short selling post-regulation tightening.


Trading Implications Of Intra-Day Naked Short Selling Rule Tightening in Korea

Insights in the Information Technology Space

Information Technology
Insights in the Information Technology Space

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hon Hai New All-Time Highs; Asustek Soars; Leading Chip Testing Firm Exits China

Taiwan tech gains alongside global tech, with Hon Hai and Asustek leading. MSFT's next CoPilot expected to drive AI PC upgrades. ASMedia GDR shows...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Nintendo (7974) | Negative Surprise....Not Really

The initial market reaction may be negative, we would use that as an opportunity to buy into the stock for the cyclical upturn in FY3/26.

Mark Chadwick

Silicon Motion: Leader in Powerful Niche for Edge AI Memory; Plus Key Wins for Data Center Solution

SIMO increased 2024E guidance citing rising ASPs and demand for memory controller products in edge AI applications. Remains well below past...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50 Jun 24: SHORTs Down 12% Vs Peers in 1 Month; Final Ranks & New Trade

I see 3 expected ADDs/DELs for the June 2024 review and I believe the expected ADDs will outperform the expected DELs over the next few weeks.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Trading Implications Of Intra-Day Naked Short Selling Rule Tightening in Korea

This post examines the trading implications stemming from the recent tightening of Korea's intra-day naked short selling regulations.

Sanghyun Park

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Hon Hai New All-Time Highs; Asustek Soars; Leading Chip Testing Firm Exits China

​Taiwan tech gains alongside global tech, with Hon Hai and Asustek leading. MSFT's next CoPilot expected to drive AI PC upgrades. ASMedia GDR shows...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Nintendo (7974) | Negative Surprise....Not Really

The initial market reaction may be negative, we would use that as an opportunity to buy into the stock for the cyclical upturn in FY3/26.

Mark Chadwick

Silicon Motion: Leader in Powerful Niche for Edge AI Memory; Plus Key Wins for Data Center Solution

SIMO increased 2024E guidance citing rising ASPs and demand for memory controller products in edge AI applications. Remains well below past...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Quiddity Leaderboard STAR 50 Jun 24: SHORTs Down 12% Vs Peers in 1 Month; Final Ranks & New Trade

I see 3 expected ADDs/DELs for the June 2024 review and I believe the expected ADDs will outperform the expected DELs over the next few weeks.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Trading Implications Of Intra-Day Naked Short Selling Rule Tightening in Korea

This post examines the trading implications stemming from the recent tightening of Korea's intra-day naked short selling regulations.

Sanghyun Park

Taiwan tech gains alongside global tech, with Hon Hai and Asustek leading. MSFT's next CoPilot expected to drive AI PC upgrades. ASMedia GDR shows...