Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>The SPX is back near YTD highs and testing resistance in the 5670-5783 range, and we view this as an ideal time to reduce risk and shift to defensives.</li>
<li>We continue to believe that the SPX and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) are going through a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation that could end up being a topping pattern.</li>
<li>After laying out expectations in our 8/13/24 Compass report for a bounce and test of YTD highs, we now expect SPX to roll over near current levels </li>
</ul>


The SPX is back near YTD highs and testing resistance in the 5670-5783 range, and we view this as an ideal time to reduce risk and shift to defensives.
We continue to believe that the SPX and Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) are going through a 1- to 4-month pullback/consolidation that could end up being a topping pattern.
After laying out expectations in our 8/13/24 Compass report for a bounce and test of YTD highs, we now expect SPX to roll over near current levels 


Upgrading Utilities to Overweight; Expecting $SPX to Roll Over; NVDA and SMH Topping?

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) - ADR

<ul>
<li>Nvidia, Dell, Marvell results coming out this week.. Apple iPhone 16 Reveal September 9th?</li>
<li>Micron progressing on potential Taiwan capacity expansion due to strong HBM DRAM demand</li>
<li>AMD acquires a key U.S. server systems integrator, expanding its enterprise server opportunity in a market including Taiwan's server ODM players such as Hon Hai, Wiwynn, Inventec, Quanta, and Compal.</li>
</ul>


Nvidia, Dell, Marvell results coming out this week.. Apple iPhone 16 Reveal September 9th?
Micron progressing on potential Taiwan capacity expansion due to strong HBM DRAM demand
AMD acquires a key U.S. server systems integrator, expanding its enterprise server opportunity in a market including Taiwan's server ODM players such as Hon Hai, Wiwynn, Inventec, Quanta, and Compal.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Results Imminent; Apple IPhone 16 Reveal Date; Micron's Taiwan Expansion

AI and Global Deep Tech, Mint Finance

Uttkarsh Kohli

AI and Global Deep Tech

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

<ul>
<li>
Diverse AI Portfolio: Microsoft’s diversified AI investments, including partnerships with G42 and Mistral AI, reduce reliance on OpenAI and ensure continued innovation across multiple AI ventures.</li>
<li>
Azure’s Competitive Edge: The partnership with OpenAI strengthens Azure’s position by offering exclusive AI-driven cloud services, boosting demand from enterprises seeking advanced automation and productivity tools.</li>
<li>
Industry Leadership: As AI investment intensifies across the tech sector, Microsoft’s significant spending outpaces peers, positioning the company as a frontrunner while highlighting competitive pressures in the growing AI landscape.</li>
</ul>



Diverse AI Portfolio: Microsoft’s diversified AI investments, including partnerships with G42 and Mistral AI, reduce reliance on OpenAI and ensure continued innovation across multiple AI ventures.

Azure’s Competitive Edge: The partnership with OpenAI strengthens Azure’s position by offering exclusive AI-driven cloud services, boosting demand from enterprises seeking advanced automation and productivity tools.

Industry Leadership: As AI investment intensifies across the tech sector, Microsoft’s significant spending outpaces peers, positioning the company as a frontrunner while highlighting competitive pressures in the growing AI landscape.


Microsoft's Billion Dollar Bets on OpenAI & G42; Azure to Benefit from Industry Growth

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>700 HK/BABA US:Taobao Deals App Now Supports WeChat Pay for All Users. (+)</li>
<li>700 HK: &lt;Arena Breakout: Infinite&gt; Developing AI Technology: Voice-Command Teammates (+)</li>
<li>NTES US: &lt;Where Winds Meet&gt; Final Pre-Launch Test Scheduled for August 28th (+)</li>
</ul>


700 HK/BABA US:Taobao Deals App Now Supports WeChat Pay for All Users. (+)
700 HK: &lt;Arena Breakout: Infinite&gt; Developing AI Technology: Voice-Command Teammates (+)
NTES US: &lt;Where Winds Meet&gt; Final Pre-Launch Test Scheduled for August 28th (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:700 HK/BABA US/NTES US/JD US/2618 HK/WMT US/BABAUS/AMZNUS/PDDUS/3690HK

<ul>
<li>700 HK: &lt;Black Myth: WuKong&gt; Tops Steam’s Most Played Games Now with Over 1.2 million Concurrent Players (+)</li>
<li>700 HK: Tencent’s &lt;Rock Kingdom: World&gt; Begins Beta Testing Today: iOS Only, Android/PC Versions Not Yet Available (+)</li>
<li>700 HK: &lt;Honor of Kings&gt; Matchmaking Algorithm to Be Overhauled (+)</li>
</ul>


700 HK: &lt;Black Myth: WuKong&gt; Tops Steam’s Most Played Games Now with Over 1.2 million Concurrent Players (+)
700 HK: Tencent’s &lt;Rock Kingdom: World&gt; Begins Beta Testing Today: iOS Only, Android/PC Versions Not Yet Available (+)
700 HK: &lt;Honor of Kings&gt; Matchmaking Algorithm to Be Overhauled (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:700 HK/LCKNY US/NTES US/BABA US/PDD US/AMZN US/SHEIN/3690 HK

United States

Amazon.com, Inc. is an online retailer that offers a wide range of products. The Company's products include books, music, videotapes, computers, electronics, home and garden, and numerous other products.  Amazon offers personalized shopping services, Web-based credit card payment, and direct shipping to customers.

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Amazon (AMZN US)

Upgrading Utilities to Overweight; Expecting $SPX to Roll Over; NVDA and SMH Topping?

Upgrading Utilities $XLU to Overweight; Many Indexes Testing Resistance $SPX $DJI $IJH $IWM $XRT $EEM; Expecting SPX to Roll Over; $NVDA and $SMH...

Vermilion Research

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Results Imminent; Apple IPhone 16 Reveal Date; Micron's Taiwan Expansion

Nvidia, Dell, and Marvell to soon release results, while Micron considers Taiwan expansion and AMD acquires U.S. server integrator in industry of...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Microsoft's Billion Dollar Bets on OpenAI & G42; Azure to Benefit from Industry Growth

Microsoft's AI investments include $10B in OpenAI, $1.5B in G42, and $2.1B in Mistral AI. Azure's exclusivity with OpenAI ensures revenue. Leading...

Mint Finance

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:700 HK/BABA US/NTES US/JD US/2618 HK/WMT US/BABAUS/AMZNUS/PDDUS/3690HK

Taobao Deals app now accepts WeChat Pay, AI technology in development for <arena infinite breakout:="">, final pre-launch test for <where winds...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:700 HK/LCKNY US/NTES US/BABA US/PDD US/AMZN US/SHEIN/3690 HK

Popular games like <black wukong myth:=""> and <honor of kings> are making waves on Steam and in beta testing, while changes are coming to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Upgrading Utilities to Overweight; Expecting $SPX to Roll Over; NVDA and SMH Topping?

Upgrading Utilities $XLU to Overweight; Many Indexes Testing Resistance $SPX $DJI $IJH $IWM $XRT $EEM; Expecting SPX to Roll Over; $NVDA and $SMH...

Vermilion Research

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Nvidia Results Imminent; Apple IPhone 16 Reveal Date; Micron's Taiwan Expansion

Nvidia, Dell, and Marvell to soon release results, while Micron considers Taiwan expansion and AMD acquires U.S. server integrator in industry of...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Microsoft's Billion Dollar Bets on OpenAI & G42; Azure to Benefit from Industry Growth

Microsoft's AI investments include $10B in OpenAI, $1.5B in G42, and $2.1B in Mistral AI. Azure's exclusivity with OpenAI ensures revenue. Leading...

Mint Finance

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:700 HK/BABA US/NTES US/JD US/2618 HK/WMT US/BABAUS/AMZNUS/PDDUS/3690HK

​Taobao Deals app now accepts WeChat Pay, AI technology in development for <arena infinite breakout:="">, final pre-launch test for <where winds...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:700 HK/LCKNY US/NTES US/BABA US/PDD US/AMZN US/SHEIN/3690 HK

​Popular games like <black wukong myth:=""> and <honor of kings> are making waves on Steam and in beta testing, while changes are coming to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Taobao Deals app now accepts WeChat Pay, AI technology in development for <arena infinite breakout:="">, final pre-launch test for <where winds...

Popular games like <black wukong myth:=""> and <honor of kings> are making waves on Steam and in beta testing, while changes are coming to...